Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#3333 Youngstown State vs.
#3334 Missouri State
Saturday, April 10, 2021 at 3:00pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

Youngstown State Penguins (1-5) vs. Missouri State Bears (4-4)

The Missouri State Bears will be looking to extend their winning streak to four when they take on the Youngstown State Penguins on Saturday. Missouri State is coming off a 30-27 victory over Southern Illinois two weeks ago. Their contest against North Dakota was canceled last week. Youngstown State fell to Western Illinois last Saturday, 27-24. That is their fifth loss in the first six games.

Missouri State is favored by 3.0-points in this game.

Western Illinois Rallies to Down Penguins

Western Illinois scored the final 14 points of the game to rally to defeat Youngstown State on Saturday, 27-24. The Penguins put up 362 yards of total offense, but three turnovers proved to be costly. Quarterback Mark Waid threw for 186 yards and a touchdown but threw two interceptions. Jaleel McLaughlin rushed for 122 yards and a score.

Youngstown State is averaging 16.3 ppg while allowing 22.0 points per game. They are only averaging 100.5 yards passing per game and 267.2 yards of total offense per contest. The defense is yielding 319.5 yards per game. The Penguins are 13 of 15 inside the red zone. The offensive line has allowed 14 sacks this season.

McLaughlin leads the offense with 591 yards rushing and five touchdowns. He has a 5.2 yards per carry average. Waid has thrown for just 527 yards and three touchdowns. He is completing 63.9% of his passes.

The defense has produced six sacks, four interceptions, and three fumble recovery. Grant Dixon and Griffin Hoak are tied for the team lead in tackles with 43. Hoak is tied for the team lead in sacks with two. Dixon has a sack, an interception, and a fumble recovery.

Pizano Wins It for Bears as Time Expires

Jose Pizano hit a 33-yard field goal as time expired to give Missouri State a 30-27 victory over Southern Illinois. The Bears rallied from a 12-point deficit at the half behind quarterback Matt Struck who threw for 245 yards and a touchdown. Celdon Manning has six catches for 117 yards and a score.

Missouri State is averaging 18.0 ppg while allowing 26.8 points per contest. The Bears are producing 293.5 yards per game, 105.3 of those coming on the ground. They are allowing 362.8 per contest. The team has lost eight fumbles this season and have thrown nine interceptions.

Struck will be under center on Saturday. He has completed 69.0% of his passes for 468 yards and two touchdowns. Jaden Johnson started the season as the team’s quarterback, but after throwing six interceptions against one touchdown he will see limited action if any. Jeremiah Johnson leads the team in rushing with 264 yards and three touchdowns.

The defense has produced 27 sacks, 11 interceptions, and six fumble recoveries. Kevin Ellis leads the team in sacks with six. Jeremy Webb and Montrae Braswell each have three interceptions. Tyler Wiltz is the team leader in tackles with 63.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Youngstown State is struggling. They are getting inconsistent play out of their offense, and their defense has not been very good. While the Missouri State offense has not been particularly good either, their defense is solid. They make teams make mistakes, and this is the kind of game where they should produce turnovers and sacks.

Look for pressure from that Bears front seven to be the difference in this game. Isaiah Sayles and Ellis have been very difficult to contain, combining for 9.5 sacks, and they should have some success getting after Waid.

Prediction: Take Missouri State and give up the points (-3.0)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


The total is set at 41.0. This contest looks like it would be a sure under. The Penguins are producing just barely over 16 points per game, but they have looked a lot better of late. Youngstown State has produced at least 22 points in three of their last four games, including averaging 26.0 points over their last two contests. 

Missouri State is only averaging 18.0 points per game, but they have scored 27 or more in two of their last three games. It has been inconsistency that has been the problem for both teams, but the Bears should have some success moving the ball in this game, and could have their best offensive showing of the season. I will take the slightly over here.

Take Missouri State to win, 34-10.

Prediction: Go over 41.0 (-110)

Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so the Admiral knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.