Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#129 FAU -2.5 vs.
#130 Ball State 65
Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 2:00pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino



#129 Florida Atlantic University
#130 Ball State University


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The FAU Owls will head on the road to take on the Ball State Cardinals in non-conference week three action Saturday afternoon from Scheumann Stadium. The Owls were crushed 48-14 at #18 UCF last week, and the Cardinals recorded a 57-29 rout of Fordham of the FCS in their previous tilt. These schools last met in 2016 in a game Ball State won 31-27.

FAU Hunting for First Win After Facing Two Tough Opponents

The FAU Owls have the toughest portion of their schedule out of the way. HC Lane Kiffin and the Owls kicked off their regular season with a 45-21 loss to #5 Ohio State, succeeded by a terrible 48-14 home loss to #18 UCF in their home opener last week. QB Chris Robison was decent against the Buckeyes but struggled last week. The sophomore QB has only notched 355 passing yards with a 1:1 TD to INT ratio in two games. The Owls running game has not been able to fill the void left by star Devin Singletary, rushing for an average of only 80 yards in two games. Freshman Larry McCammon III leads the way with 70 yards.

The Owls also lost last year’s leading receiver and they are leaning on tight end Harrison Bryant in the air. The senior will likely be targeted frequently in this one after making 10 receptions for 130 yards in two games. The FAU offense does have potential considering they were able to score 21 points against Ohio State.

The Owls defense has struggled in their first two games against two ranked opponents. Their defense was an issue in 2018, and they are especially having trouble against the run early this season, however, Ball State hasn’t done a whole lot on the ground through two games. FAU has averaged 17.5 points in their two games, and they have allowed an average of 46.5 points.

Cardinals Defeat Fordham After Week One Loss

The Ball State Cardinals enter this challenging matchup with confidence. They were very competitive in a 34-24 loss to Indiana of the Big Ten in their season opener, and they stomped Fordham of the FCS by a 57-29 score last week. Cardinals’ QB Drew Plitt is off to a sizzling start to the season, accumulating a remarkable 737 passing yards with a dazzling 8:2 TD to INT ratio. The junior QB appears he is ready to take a step forward after posting a 6:8 TD to INT ratio last year.

Watch for Caleb Huntley as the junior RB has seen several carries already this season. Huntley was able to rush for 81 yards on 22 carries against Indiana in week one, and he rushed for 64 yards last week. Huntley did not play much last year, however, he amassed over 1000 yards in 2017.

Cardinals’ top receiver Riley Miller is enjoying a nice start, collecting 10 grabs for 167 yards in two games. The senior WR tallied 878 yards last year, and he could eclipse 1000 yards this season. Ball State struggled to generate offense with any consistency in 2018, but they have already displayed improvement this year.

The Ball State defense allowed 29 points to Fordham who is not even in the FBS circuit which is not a good sign. They conceded 326 passing yards to Indiana in week one, and their pass defense could be a big issue. The Cardinals have averaged 40.5 points in their first two games, while conceding an average of 31 points.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


I am taking the points with Ball State in this one. Ball State was very competitive in a 34-24 loss to Indiana of the Big Ten in their season opener, and their passing game is a big threat. QB Drew Plitt is off to a dazzling start, accumulating 737 passing yards with eight TD’s in two games. I expect the junior QB to come through with another stellar performance considering the FAU pass defense ranks 93rd in the FBS after two games

Furthermore, FAU has a big hole to fill as their all-time leading rusher Devin Singletary is gone and they have not done anything on the ground in their first two games. Moreover, QB Chris Robison has not fared well either, connecting on only 54% of his passes for 355 yards in two games.

Prediction: Ball State Cardinals

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I am opting with the over in this clash. The Ball State offense was able to accumulate 398 yards in week one against Indiana, and FAU has surrendered 45 and 48 points respectively in their last two contests, so I expect plenty of offense from the Cardinals. Also, the over is 4-1 in the Cardinals’ last five games after accumulating more than 280 passing yards in their previous game.

In addition, Ball State will give up points. They squandered 29 points to Fordham of the FCS last week, and this FAU team was able to manage 21 points against Ohio State last week. The over is 8-3-1 in the Owls’ last 12 road games and it should convert in this one.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


The over on the Ball State team total offered on PointsBet is a strong option. Ball State’s strength lies in their offense and so far so good from the Cardinals. Scoring 24 points against a Big Ten defense against Indiana is no easy task. Drew Plitt was able to tally just under 300 passing yards in that one which shows the talent the junior QB has. FAU is not known for their defense and I expect a solid performance from the Cardinals.

Prediction: Ball State Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:


The over on the first half total is a recommended option. FAU’s defense has not fared well in the first half, surrendering 28 points in each of their two games, and Ball State has collected 38 points in the opening half in their two clashes. Moreover, FAU should find a groove offensively against a subpar Ball State offense.

Prediction: First Half Total Over

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.