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Oklahoma vs. Iowa State,
9-15-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#127 Oklahoma
Sooners -18.5
#128 Iowa State
Cyclones 57.5

Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Oklahoma Sooners

2 - 0


Iowa State Cyclones

0 - 1


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College Football action on Saturday afternoon and a pair of teams from the Big 12 Conference will square off as the Oklahoma Sooners invade Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, Iowa to rumble with the Iowa State Cyclones. This contest has a start time of 12:00 pm ET. The Cyclones shocked the Sooners on the road last year by a score of 38-31. The Sooners enter this game off a 49-21 home win over UCLA, while ISU comes in off a 13-3 loss at Iowa.  

Kyler Murray Is For Real, Anderson Lost For The Year

The Oklahoma Sooners lost a Heisman-winning quarterback during the offense, but they have gained another possible winning of the honor in Kyler Murray. He is off to a strong start with 515 yards passing and five TDs in his first two games. He has played very weak competition so far in UCLA and FAU, but still, he looks like the real deal and remember that he was the 2nd rated QB in the nation when he came out of high school three years back. This past week, the Sooners beat UCLA 49-21 and Murray threw for 306 yards with three TDs and an INT, while also rushing for 69 yards and two TDs. It will be interesting to see if he can keep it up this week and the Iowa State defense looked pretty good last week and they have one of the best front sevens in the league.

The bigger concern for the Sooners is the fact they have lost running back Rodney Anderson for the season. He was one of the best backs in the league and was injured in their win over the Bruins. They could have really used him in this one as his running would have helped to keep a solid ISU front wall from teeing off on Murray. Anderson’s loss will really be felt throughout the year. The defense for the Sooners will be very average this year. It has looked good so far, but we shall see how it does against some of the high-powered attacks in the Big 12. This will not be one of them as the Cyclones really struggled last week.     

The Sooners enter this contest ranked 15th in the nation in total offense (567.5 ypg), 23rd in passing (320.0 ypg), 32nd in rushing (247.5 ypg), and 9th in scoring at 56.0 ppg. On defense, they enter this contest ranked 58th in total yards allowed (353.5 ypg), 78th against the pass (223.0 ypg) and 50th vs the run (130.5 ypg), while allowing 17.5 ppg, which is 44th in the nation.

The Offense Did Not Show Against The Hawkeyes

The Iowa State Cyclones put up 29.2 ppg last year and they have six starters back on that side of the ball, but they just didn’t get the memo that there was against this past weekend. They scored just three points on 188 total yards of offense in a 13-3 loss to Iowa on the road. Kyle Kempt got his first college start last year against the Sooners and it was a doozy as he threw for 343 yards and three TDs in a 38-31 upset win on the road. He was rather average the rest of the season and did not have a good start this year as he threw for just 126 yards in the loss to the Hawkeyes. Zeb Noland would go if he can’t. He was also injured in that game and is listed as day-to-day. That Iowa defense is tougher than the one he will face in this one and he does have confidence after what he did to the Sooners last year. It will be interesting to see if the Sooners can slow him down this time around.

Getting that offense going will be key here as the Sooners will get their points. Still, they will need their defense to step up as well. This Oklahoma offense is just as good as last year’s squad and the Cyclones did allow them t0o pile up 513 yards of total offense, including 323 through the air. The Cyclones looked very good against a very averaged Iowa offense last week, but the Sooners are a different animal entirely. Iowa State does have a very good front seven and if they can get pressure on Murray, then they have a shot at slowing this offense down.

Iowa State comes in ranked 130th in the nation in total offense (188.0 ypg), 107th in passing (169.0 ypg), 130th in rushing (19.0 ypg), and 130th in scoring at 3.0 ppg. On defense, they have been very solid so far as they rank 18th in total yards allowed (271.0 ypg), 35th against the pass (166.0 ypg) and 3nd vs the run (105.0 ypg), while allowing just 13.0 ppg, which is 24th in the nation.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The Sooners just lost RB Rodney Anderson for the year and he will be missed, but they do have plenty of weapons to take down Iowa State in this one. The Sooners also have revenge on their minds after losing at home to the Cyclones last year as 31 point favorites. Kyler Murray has shown that he is for real and while the Cyclones will have a tough defense this year, he should have a good showing against them. He can run or pass and is very difficult to defend, plus he has some outstanding receivers to throw to. The ISU offense did not look good at all in their opener and the Sooners will not let Kempt go off on them like he did last year. If Kempt doesn’t play, then it will be Zeb Noland and the Sooners would shut him down as well. This game might be close at the half, but the Sooners will pull away in the 2nd half.

Prediction: Oklahoma -18.5

Full-Game Total Pick

The Sooners have a very strong offense, despite the fact that they have lost Rodney Anderson. His loss will be felt throughout the year, but many times you will see a team rally around a fallen player in their first game without him. The Cyclones will have a good defense this year, but the Sooners will get their points. The problem for ISU is that they will not score a ton this year and for that reason, I see the under cashing in this one. ISU had just 188 yards of total offense last week and while they will have more in this game, it won’t be enough to put the game Over the total, especially if Kempt doesn’t play. I look for a 38-14 win by the Sooners in this one.  

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

I fully expect the Sooners to win this one easily, but they will not score more than 35 points. The Cyclones do have a good defense and this will be Kyler Murray’s first road game, plus the Sooners are without RB Rodney Anderson. I will look for the Sooners to win this one by a score of 34-10.

Prediction: Oklahoma Team Total Under 36.5

Half-Time Side Pick

The Sooners took a bad home loss to the Cyclones last year, so I will look for them to start strong in this one as they seek revenge. ISU has a solid defense, but the Sooners on offense have looked unstoppable. The Cyclones don’t really have an offense and just won’t be able to keep pace from the start. Take the Sooners in the first half.

Prediction: Oklahoma -10

Half-Time Total Bet

The Sooners will look to get off to a fast start offensively, but I still like the under in the first half. The Cyclones don’t have a very good offense this year and the Sooners should be able to shut them down in the first and that will keep the total from going over in the first half.

Prediction: Under 28.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

The Sooners should be a bit sluggish on offense as they are without Rodney Anderson and this is Kyler Murray’s first road game. They will also be taking on a good defense. The Cyclones have struggled out the gate on offense and I do not see them scoring early in this game either. I don’t see any scoring till the 2nd half of the first quarter.

Prediction: Score in the first 5.5 Minutes – No (-125)

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.


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