Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#117 Texas State vs.
#118 Baylor
Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 12:00pm EDT
Written by Bosun Akinpelu

The Texas State Bobcats (1-1, 0-0 Sun Belt) will be going for their second consecutive win when they face the Baylor Bears (1-1, 0-0 Big 12) on Saturday afternoon. The Bobcats are coming off a 41-12 win over Florida International as 13.5-point favorites. The Bears are coming off a 26-20 loss to BYU as 2.5-point underdogs.

Baylor is 3-0 in its three games against Texas State.

Bobcats Going For The Upset

The Bobcats bounced back from their loss to Nevada with an easy win over Florida International in their last game. They will try be trying to pull off an upset of the Bears with a win on Saturday, which will give them their second win in a row.

Texas State played well offensively in their last game, scoring 41 points in the win. They are now averaging 27.5npoints per game through their first two games. They are throwing for 259.5 yards and rushing for 107.5 yards per game.

Layne Hatcher struggled with his accuracy in the game, completing 50 percent of his passes for 226 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Calvin Hill had 28 carries for 195 yards and one touchdown, while Charles Brown had two catches for 68 yards and one touchdown.

Texas State has struggled defensively, giving up 25 points per game. They’ve been especially bad against the run and will need to play better if they want to slow the Bears down.

Bears Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Bears followed up their blowout win over FCS Albany with a loss to the Cougars in their last game. They are back at home where they have gone 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games and will try to bounce back from the loss with a win over the Bobcats, which will give them their second win in three games.

Baylor has done well offensively, scoring 44.5 points per game through their first two games. They are throwing for 222.5 yards and rushing for 205.5 yards per game.

Blake Shapen completed 64 percent of his passes for 137 yards and one touchdown. Qualan Jones had 16 carries for 67 yards and two touchdowns, while Ben Sims had four catches for 30 yards and one score. Taye McWilliams, who had six carries for 22 yards, is listed as questionable for this game.

Baylor’s defense has been good, with the team giving up 18 points per game. They have been great against the run and they’ve also done a good job defending the pass and will need to keep it up if they want to get the win.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Bobcats split their first two games, losing their first road game to a Nevada team that lost to FCS Incarnate Word at home in their last game. They played well offensively in their last game and ran the ball very well in the win. However, they were unable to run against the Wolf Pack, who gave up over 200 yards in their last game and they’re facing a Baylor team that held their first two opponents under 100 yards rushing and will have a hard time moving the ball on the ground in this game. Even though they threw the ball well in their first two games, Hatcher has been careless with the ball, turning it over three times. The Bears haven’t picked off an opposing quarterback yet, but they have played well against the pass and do a good job bringing pressure, so expect them to force Hatcher into making costly mistakes in this game. The Bears were held to only 20 points by a good BYU team in their last game, but they did a good job moving the ball, especially on the ground. The Bobcats couldn’t slow down Nevada’s ground game and will have a hard time slowing down Baylor’s ground game, which is picking up more than 200 yards per game, so go with the Bears to cover the spread.

Prediction: Baylor Bears -30

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Bobcats have played well offensively so far, averaging 27.5 points per game. They played well in their three games against the Bears, averaging 21.3 points per game. They will have a hard time moving the ball on the ground, but they should be able to move it through the air, so expect them to score at least two touchdowns in this game. The Bears have also played well offensively through two games, averaging 44.5 points per game. They put up 29 points per game in their last three games against the Bobcats. They move the ball very well on the ground, which is something the Bobcats have struggled against, and also do a good job throwing it. The Bobcats will have a hard time against a balanced offense like Baylor’s and will give up a lot of points in this game, so go with the over in this one.

Prediction: Over 53

Written By Bosun Akinpelu , "Bosun Akinpelu"

Bosun is very passionate about sports and he feels bad to get paid for doing this, but we here at Winners and Whiners are glad to have him as a part of the team. As someone who minored in Mathematics, Bosun has a lot of faith in numbers and will make his picks based on stats and not emotions. He has been successfully picking and betting on winners for quite some time, so if you want to crush the books, then stick with Bosun.