Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#163 Arkansas State vs.
#164 Washington
Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 4:15pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will head on the road to Husky Stadium in Seattle, Washington on Saturday afternoon for a non-conference tilt against the Washington Huskies.

Washington comes into its final non-conference game with an 0-2 record. A season with high expectations has suddenly come crashing back down to earth for the Huskies, who entered 2021 ranked No. 20 in the nation. Meanwhile, Arkansas State(1-1) is coming off of a heartbreaking loss versus Memphis and will be looking to pull off a similar upset this week.

Can the Huskies bounce back with a win at home against Arkansas State on Saturday afternoon?

Blackman nearly leads Red Wolves to comeback vs. Memphis

Arkansas State was unable to complete an 18-point fourth-quarter comeback in a 55-50 loss versus Memphis last week. Quarterback James Blackman completed 19 of 28 passes for 208 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions on the day. Top target Jeff Foreman caught eight balls for 198 yards and a score while The’Vailance Hunt added 123 receiving yards and a touchdown in the loss.

Blackman, a 6-foot-5 transfer from Florida State, relieved incumbent starter, Layne Hatcher, at quarterback in the third quarter, throwing four total touchdowns, including two late in the game. Known as a gunslinger under center, Blackman has a lot of playing experience from his days at FSU. For his career, he’s thrown for 5,920 yards with 47 touchdowns and 26 interceptions.

After leading the Red Wolves to the game-winning score against Central Arkansas and performing well in the second half last week, Blackman appears to have the edge in Arkansas State’s ongoing quarterback competition.

On defense, Arkansas State has given up a whopping 38 points and 509 yards of total offense per contest, including 356.5 yards per game through the air.

Huskies can't stop the run, lose on the road vs. Michigan

Washington couldn’t keep up against Michigan last weekend, falling on the road 31-10 in Ann Arbor. Dylan Morris completed 20 of 37 passes for 293 yards and a touchdown while Terrell Bynum caught five passes for 115 yards and a score in the loss. The Huskies’ offense was unable to get into the end zone until the fourth quarter, continuing a trend from its season-opening loss versus Montana. The loss dropped Washington to 0-2 for the first time since 2008 when they finished 0-12.

A redshirt freshman, Morris has had a tough time moving the ball in his first two games as a starter. Under his watch, the Huskies offense has scored just 17 points in two games while averaging just 317 yards of total offense per contest. It hasn’t helped that Morris hasn’t had much of a run game to work with. Washington has averaged only 57.5 yards per game on the ground this season, which ranks 127th in the FBS. Richard Newton leads the team in rushing with just 86 yards and is averaging just 3.0 yards per carry this season.

On defense, Washington has held its own, giving up just 22.0 points per game and 309.5 yards of total offense per contest. The Huskies have been particularly tough against the pass, giving up just 74.5 yards per game through the air, the best mark in the country.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


It’s hard to trust Washington to cover this spread, especially against a high-powered offensive team like Arkansas State. The Huskies have scored just two offensive touchdowns this season and those scores came 20 offensive series apart, so there’s no real reason to lay the juice with them in this spot. While Washington has the best pass defense in the country, the Huskies have failed to stop the run through two weeks, giving up an average of 235 rushing yards per game. Unless the offense can get the ball moving downfield with consistency, the Huskies will have a tough time covering this number here. Take Arkansas State to cover the spread on the road in this non-conference clash on Saturday.

Prediction: Arkansas State Red Wolves +16

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Washington has only given up 22 points per game through two weeks but the Huskies are fresh off of giving up 31 in last week’s loss versus Michigan. James Blackman looked terrific under center for the Red Wolves in the second half versus Memphis, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the junior quarterback get his fair share of snaps in Arkansas State’s two-quarterback system this week. While he will be up against the nation’s top pass defense, Blackman has the talent and experience to keep the Red Wolves competitive in this game. Meanwhile, I’m expecting a breakout performance from the Washington offense here against a Red Wolves defense that ranks near the bottom of the country. Take this game to stay under the projected total on Saturday.

Prediction: Over 57.5

Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.