Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#195 Tulane vs.
#196 Ole Miss
Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 8:00pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

It’s a non-conference matchup on the gridiron in the Magnolia State when the AAC travels to take on the SEC. The Tulane Green Wave are on the road as they travel to face the #17 Ole Miss Rebels Saturday night. Tulane clobbered Morgan State 69-20 last Saturday in a game that was moved to Birmingham due to the effects of Hurricane Ida in Louisiana. Ole Miss cruised to an easy 54-17 home win over Austin Peay last Saturday in their most recent contest. In the all-time series between the teams, the Rebels own a 39-23 advantage and have taken the last 11 meetings. That includes a 39-0 blanking of the Green Wave at home in the most recent matchup on September 22, 2012.

Tulane Green Wave Looking to Earn Road Upset

Tulane gave then-#2 Oklahoma all they wanted in a season-opening loss in a game that was moved to Norman due to Hurricane Ida. The Green Wave bounced back by waffling Morgan State last week and look to take what they learned in those two games to pull an upset over a ranked foe. Against the Bears, Tulane was up 17-0 after the opening quarter and 52-7 at the half before easing off the gas the rest of the way. The Green Wave piled up a 584-228 advantage in total offense, racked up a 32-14 edge in first downs and held a 30:27 to 29:33 margin in time of possession. Tulane forced three turnovers, scoring on a pick-six and a scoop-six, while turning the ball over twice.

This season, the Green Wave are tied for 30th in the nation in passing offense with 293 yards per game through the air and 43rd in rushing offense with 197 yards per contest on the ground. Tulane is third in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 52 points per game while they are 100th in scoring defense by allowing 30 points per contest. Michael Pratt is 35 of 57 for 420 yards with five touchdowns against no interceptions. He adds 45 yards plus two scores on the ground this season. Justin Ibieta is 13 of 22 for 166 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions while contributing 57 yards plus a score on the ground. The run game is led by Iverson Celestine, who has 13 carries for 77 yards, while Cameron Carroll (19 carries, 66 yards), Devin Brumfield (five carries, 50 yards) and Tyjae Spears (seven carries, 26 yards, TD) are also in the mix. Tight end Tyrick James leads the team with eight catches for 142 yards plus a score this season. Jaetavian Toles (seven grabs, 106 yards, TD) and Shae Wyatt (five receptions, 58 yards) are good secondary options. Merek Glover has hit all nine extra-point attempts and hit his lone field goal try from 40 yards. Graham Dable is three of three on extra points and zero for two on field goal attempts while Bobby Noel has yet to try an extra point and hit his lone field goal try from 19 yards on the year.

Tulane has been good offensively in the first two weeks but they’re going to have to tighten up defensively in this one if they hope to hang in with Ole Miss. The Green Wave gave up 314 yards through the air to the Sooners in week one and that’s Ole Miss’s bread and butter. Tulane has to take care of the ball and not give the Rebels short fields to work with. In their first two games this season, the Green Wave turned the ball over five times. Three fumbles may have made the difference in the loss to Oklahoma and Tulane can’t afford mistakes here.

Ole Miss Rebels Seek 3-0 Start

Ole Miss has had fun in their first two games of the season as Lane Kiffin’s group has rolled to wins by 19 and 37 points to open the year. The Rebels now look to run their mark to a perfect 3-0 as they host the Green Wave in this one. Against Austin Peay, Ole Miss led 14-0 after the opening quarter and 37-0 late in the first half before the Governors got on the board. The Rebels took it easy after the opening drive of the second half, at which point they were up 44-7, and coasted the rest of the way. Ole Miss rolled up a 630-404 edge in total offense, picked up 29 first downs while allowing 26 and forced two turnovers while committing only one. Those numbers far overshadowed a 30:21 to 29:39 disadvantage in time of possession.

On the year, the Rebels are 15th in the nation in passing offense with 337.5 yards per game through the air and 14th in rushing offense with 262 yards per contest on the ground this season. Ole Miss is sixth in the FBS in scoring offense with 48.5 points per game and rank 57th in scoring defense by allowing 20.5 points per contest. Matt Corral is 43 of 65 passing for 662 yards with six touchdowns and no interceptions. He is second on the team with 90 rushing yards plus a score. Kinkead Dent is two of two for seven yards while John Rhys Plumlee (one for one, six yards) and Luke Altmeyer (zero of three) have thrown the ball as well. Henry Parrish Jr. leads the team with 16 carries for 110 yards while Jerrion Ealy (16 carries, 85 yards, TD) and Snoop Conner (13 carries, 83 yards, three TD) have had success on the ground as well. Dontario Drummond leads the team with 15 receptions for 284 yards plus three scores while Jonathan Mingo (nine catches, 154 yards, two TD), Ealy (five grabs, 77 yards) and Braylon Sanders (four receptions, 59 yards, TD) are more than capable of making plays. Caden Costa has hit all 11 extra-point attempts and four of four field-goal attempts with a long of 47.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Defense may be optional in this contest as two of the top six scoring offenses in the nation take the field. Neither team has been overwhelming on the defensive side of the ball as Tulane is giving up 30 points and 332 yards per game, though the yardage total is tempered by their contest with Morgan State. Ole Miss is allowing 20.5 points per game but they’ve surrendered 364.5 yards per contest. The Rebels have a high-octane offensive attack with Corral among the early frontrunners for Heisman consideration and that means taking care of business against teams that you should beat. Tulane has played well in the first two games but they don’t have enough weapons to keep up with Ole Miss in a track meet. Corral has another big game and the Rebels run to a 3-0 start.

Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels -14

Full-Game Total Pick

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Tulane has gone over the mark in both their games this season as they’ve posted totals of 75 and 89 points, respectively. The Green Wave have gone over the mark in each of their last three games, dating to last season’s bowl contest. Tulane has seen the over go 4-0 in their last four after throwing for at least 280 yards in their previous game, 6-0-1 in their last seven in September and 5-0-1 in their last six non-conference tilts. Ole Miss has seen the over go 5-0 in their last five after a straight up win of at least 20 points, 8-1 in their last nine after a straight up win, 6-1 in their last seven after allowing less than 20 points and 5-1 in their last six in September. With this one expected to be a track meet with video game type numbers, look for this one to wind up over the mark as Ole Miss puts up a 50 burger.

Prediction: Over 76
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Written By Chris Kubala , "Chris Kubala"

Chris Kubala has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well. as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.