Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#327 Central Michigan vs.
#328 Miami - FL
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 4:00pm EDT
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Written by David Hess

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#327 Central Michigan University
#328 University of Miami
2-1
1-2
2-1
1-1
3-0
1-1
27
35
35
17

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Saturday afternoon on the college gridiron and the Mid-American Conference will square off with the Atlantic Coast Conference as the Central Michigan Chippewas rumble with the Miami-Fla Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. These teams have never met.

The Chippewas enter this game at 2-1 and are off a 45-24 home win over Akron, while the Hurricanes are off a 63-0 home win over Bethune Cookman to move to 1-2 on the year.

Chippewas Have Doubled Last Year’s Win Total

The Central Michigan Chippewas were 8-5 back in 2017, but last year, they fell completely apart by going 1-11. The Chipps are a better team this year and they have already doubled last year’s win total. They beat Albany in their opener by a score of 38-21 but lost to Wisconsin on the road by a score of 61-0 in game two. Game three was a different story altogether as CMU beat Akron at home by a score of 45-24. The offense struggled last year as the Chipps averaged just 15.0 ppg, but with eight starters back this year, they have averaged 27.7 ppg through their first three games. They are 82 or worse in both rushing and passing so far and will be facing a tough Miami defense in this one, so we will see if they if the offense can continue to improve in this one.

Central Michigan rolled up 533 yards in their win over Akron last week, including 344 yards through the air. David Moore got the start in the game and he threw for 317 yards with two TDs and no INTs. It was his first start of the year. He is expected to get the start here as well and will be facing a much tougher defense than he did a week ago, but we do note that Miami is 60th in the nation against the pass, allowing 207.3 ypg through the air so far. Kobe Lewis had a big game with 146 yards and three TDs on the ground last week, but he will be facing the 8th ranked run defense in this one.

The defense is where the Chippewas could struggle this year as they have just three starters back from a team that allowed 27.3 ppg a year ago. So far, they are 113th in the nation in points allowed, giving up 35.3 ppg and in their lone game vs a Power Five team, they allowed 61 points. Miami does not have an overly explosive offense, but they have still averaged 36 ppg, which is not good news for the Central Michigan defense. The pass defense is 115th in the nation, allowing 293.7 ypg, compared to their run defense, which is 32nd in the nation, giving up just 97 ypg on the ground this far. Miami is a better passing team than a running team, so the CMU secondary could be under siege all game long.

Canes Snatch Up Their First Win Of The Year

The Miami Hurricanes were 10-3 back in 2017, but they dipped to just 7-6 last year. They are expected to have a better season this year and are picked by most to win the ACC’s Coastal Division. Well, it didn’t start off all that good for them as the Canes dropped their first two games of the year to Florida and North Carolina on the road. The North Carolina loss was a tough one as they were five-point favorites in the contest. Miami was finally able to notch a win this past week as they beat Bethune Cookman by a score of 63-0. This is the stretch that the Hurricanes will use to get back on track as they are in the midst of a five-game homestand. Miami will need to play well in this stretch as four of their last five games are on the road, but we not that the four road games over that stretch are against Pitt, Florida State, which is struggling, FIU and Duke. Miami could very well run the table the rest of the way. We shall see.

The Miami offense has been solid in the early going and they looked great last week, but it was against an FCS team. Still, Miami rolled up 590 yards of total offense in the contest, including 257 yards on the ground and 333 yards through the air. It was a very balanced attack for them and they will look to keep it going this week against a CMU team that has just three starters back on defense. Jarren Williams has had a strong start to the year as he has thrown for 777 yards with six TDs and no INTs through three games. He had 254 yards passing with three TDs and no INTs against the Wildcats last week and will face the 115th ranked pass defense in the nation. Deejay Dallas led the attack on the ground last week with 108 yards rushing and three TDs. He has now rushed for 310 yards and four TDs on the year.

Miami has allowed 21 ppg or less in each of the last three years and they should do so again as the Canes have back six starters. Miami allowed just 137 yards of total offense last week to Bethune Cookman, with 61 coming on the ground and just 76 through the air. The Canes have struggled some against the pass this year and that gives the CMU passing game a shot at having a good showing. Miami is 26th in the nation in yards allowed, giving up just 277.3 ypg and 36th in points allowed, giving up just 17.3 ppg. On deck for the Canes is a home game against Virginia Tech, followed by a home game against Virginia and a home game against Georgia Tech.

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I will look for the Canes to win this one big. The Chippewas are 2-1 on the year but were crushed 61-0 in their lone game against a power five team, plus we note that CMU has gone 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against the ACC. The Chippewas was just 1-11 last year and while they are an improved team, the Chipps are not even close to the ACC in terms of talent. their defense has back just three starters and it has struggled mightily against the pass so far. Jalen Williams should have a field day with this defense, especially since he has thrown for 777 yards with six TDs and no INTs in the early going. The Miami defense has been solid in the early going and the Chipps were blanked against Wisconsin and they averaged just 15.0 ppg a year ago. Miami could very well run the table the rest of the way, while CMU will not be bowl eligible at season’s end. Take Miami to win by at least five TDs in this one.

Prediction: Miami -29.5

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Miami has a  very good passing game led by Jalen Williams and the Chippewas are 115th in the nation against the Pass. Williams will have a field day in this one, but Miami can also run the ball and that will make his job even easier. Wisconsin hung 61 points on this defense and the Miami offense isn’t far behind that one. The Canes have averaged 36 ppg on the year while the Chippewas have allowed 35.3 ppg so far. The Miami defense is tough, but they will not shutout the Chippewas as that offense has five starters back and is much improved over last year’s squad that averaged 15 ppg. The Over is 7-0 in Central Michigan’s last seven games following a straight-up win and 6-1 in Miami’s last seven games in September. CMU will not score enough to cover the game, but they will score enough to put it over the total. Miami wins 45-10

Prediction: Over 48
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.