Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#361 Kentucky 49 vs.
#362 Mississippi St -6
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 4:00pm EDT
Written by Bosun Akinpelu

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#361 University of Kentucky
#362 Mississippi State University
2-1
2-1
3-0
1-2
3-0
3-0
32
33
23
24

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Where: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

When: Saturday, September 21, 4:00 PM. ET.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will kick off SEC conference play with a matchup against the Kentucky Wildcats, who will be trying to bounce back from an emotional loss to Florida.

Wildcats Looking For First Road Win

The Wildcats had their two-game winning streak snapped by the Florida Gators in their last game and will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their first road win of the year when they play the Bulldogs.

The Wildcats played well defensively in the first three-quarters of their loss to Florida, but couldn’t hang on in the fourth quarter, allowing the Gators to score 19 unanswered points, which ended up costing them the game. They will be trying to avoid the same fate as they try to pick up a rare win in Starkville on Saturday.

The issue with the defense right now is the play of the secondary. The pass defense ranks 101st in the nation in yards allowed per game in the air.

Kentucky’s offense has played well so far, averaging 32.3 points per game, which is 63rd in the country. Sawyer Smith, who made his first start of the season against the Gators while filling in for an injured Terry Wilson, completed 25 of 35 passes for 267 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions. With the team hitting the road for the first time, they will need him to take better control of the ball than he did in his previous game.

“We don’t have much time to dwell on it,” head coach Mark Stoops said. “It’s next man up, next battle, next punch, next time to get another opportunity against a quality team on the road.”

Bulldogs Trying To Bounce Back From First Loss

Like the Wildcats, the Bulldogs suffered their first loss of the season in their last game, losing to Kansas State 31-24. They will try to regroup from the loss and pick up their second home win in their last three games when they play on Saturday.

“We have to put this game to bed, understand the things we did well and continue to do them,” MSU head coach Joe Moorhead said Monday. “Understand the things we did poorly and work to correct them. And, now get on to our first SEC game against a great opponent.”

Mississippi State has played well offensively, averaging 33.3 points per game. They have been great on the ground, averaging 224 rushing yards per game. Kylin Hill, who leads the team with 441 yards, was held to 111in the loss. With Kentucky giving up 5.1 rushing yards per carry and three rushing touchdowns in their last game, expect a heavy dose of Hill on Saturday.

The quarterback situation for the Bulldogs is something to keep an eye on. Starting quarterback Tommy Stevens suffered a shoulder injury that forced him out of each of their last two games. He is currently listed as day-to-day and freshman Garrett Shrader is expected to start if Stevens is unable to go.

Stevens completed 7 of 15 passes for 100 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions before leaving the last game. Shrader finished the game completing four of 12 passes for 51 yards.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Wildcats and Bulldogs are playing well right now but the Bulldogs have the edge because they have dominated the series over the last decade and have won eight of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. The last two times the Wildcats played in Starkville, they lost to the Bulldogs by a combined score of 87-23. The fact that the home team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings makes the Bulldogs the best bet here.

Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs -6

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Wildcats have played over the total in their last six games while the Bulldogs have played over the total in their last four games. With both teams averaging 65.6 combined points per game, expect them to go over the total on Saturday.

Prediction: Over 48.5

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Bulldogs will cover the first half total in this game because they have outplayed the Wildcats in the first half of their last three games averaging 18.7 points per game while the Bulldogs average 15 points per game.

Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Bulldogs and Wildcats are averaging 33.7 combined points per game in the first half of their last three games and they will go over the first half total in this game if they maintain their current scoring pace.

Prediction: Over 24
Loading...

Written By Bosun Akinpelu

Bosun is very passionate about sports and he feels bad to get paid for doing this, but we here at Winners and Whiners are glad to have him as a part of the team. As someone who minored in Mathematics, Bosun has a lot of faith in numbers, and will make his picks based on stats and not emotions. He has been successfully picking winners for quite some time, so if you want to get paid, then stick with Bosun.