Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#313 Miami - OH vs.
#314 Ohio State
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 3:30pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala



#313 Miami University
#314 Ohio State University


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A pair of teams from the Buckeye State lock up on the gridiron when the MAC travels to face the Big Ten in non-conference action. The Miami (OH) RedHawks are on the road as they travel within the state to take on the #6 Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday afternoon. Miami (OH) was dropped 35-13 on the road by Cincinnati last Saturday in their previous contest. Ohio State rolled to an easy 51-10 demolition of Indiana on the road in their conference opener last Saturday. The Buckeyes have won the three previous meetings between the teams, including a 56-10 romp at home in the last matchup on September 1, 2012.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Hope for Massive Upset

Miami (OH) tried to build off their week 2 win over Tennessee Tech but they were handled by Cincinnati: they lost to the Bearcats for the 14th straight time. The RedHawks now have to go on the road as they make the trip to Columbus for this contest. Miami (OH) led 10-0 after the opening quarter and still held the lead in the final minute of the half before giving up the go-ahead score with 10 seconds to play before intermission. The RedHawks never recovered as they gave up three third-quarter touchdowns to put the game out of reach. Miami (OH) was outgained 420-207, lost the first down battle 23-14 and dropped the time of possession battle 32:52 to 27:08 in the game. Both teams turned the ball over once in the contest.

The RedHawks have struggled on the offensive side of the ball this season: they enter this game 115th in the nation in passing offense (162.7 yards per game) and 116th in rushing (104.3 yards per game) so far. Miami (OH) is 94th in scoring offense by putting up 25 points per contest and are tied for 91st in scoring defense in the FBS by allowing 30 points per game. Brett Gabbert has completed 37 of 62 passes for 481 yards with two touchdowns and one interception this season. Jackson Williamson hit his lone pass attempt for seven yards. Tyre Shelton leads the team with 24 carries for 108 yards and a score on the ground. Davion Johnson (26 carries, 71 yards, two TD) and Maurice Thomas (15 carries, 57 yards) are the next backs in the system. Johnson leads the team with eight receptions for 82 yards while Jack Sorenson (seven catches, 54 yards, TD) and Dominique Robinson (five grabs, 106 yards) are next in line. Sam Sloman is seven of seven on extra point attempts and has hit all four field goal tries with a long of 41. Jacob Swartz hit both his extra point tries while not attempting a field goal this season.

Obviously, this should be an uphill battle for the RedHaawks.

“Offensively, there’s no margin of error for our defense because any of their skill guys, including the quarterback and tight ends, if they get the ball and they get out in space, it can go the distance,” head coach Chuck Martin said of the Buckeyes. “They have so many chunk plays, plays that most normal teams wouldn’t get chunk plays on. They get eight-yard runs that turn into 80-yard runs just because of the overall speed of their team.

“The same thing defensively. Things just close up so fast. They close so much space. Windows open and close in the passing game so fast. In the run game, you think you have a little bit of air and it shuts down so quickly. So their speed is overwhelming to the opposition and it really can wear teams down.”

Ohio State Buckeyes Cruising Along

Ohio State shrugged off a slow first quarter as they blew the game open in the middle two quarters to bury Indiana on the road. The Buckeyes now look to keep cruising along as they have won their first three games by at least 24 points. Ohio State led 7-3 after the opening quarter before outscoring Indiana 44-7 over the second and third quarters to put the game away. The Buckeyes outgained the Hoosiers 510-257 and won the first down battle 30-15: that helped negate a 32:10 to 27:50 disadvantage in time of possession. Both teams turned the ball over once: Ohio State scored on a pick-six and also blocked a punt for a safety.

The Buckeyes are 76th in the nation in passing offense (228 yards per game) and a stellar 15th in rushing offense as they average 271 yards per contest. Ohio State stands 18th in the FBS in scoring offense with 46 points per contest and are 10th in scoring defense by allowing 10.3 points per game. Justin Fields is 52 of 74 for 657 yards with nine touchdowns and no interceptions: he’s added 114 yards and four scores on the ground. Chris Chugunov is five of seven for 18 yards while Gunnar Hoak completed his lone throw for nine yards. J.K. Dobbins leads the team with 60 carries for 425 yards and four scores: Master Teague III (29 carries, 215 yards, TD) is next in line. K.J. Hill has caught 13 passes for 101 yards plus two scores to lead the team. Binjimen Victor (11 receptions, 200 yards, TD) and Chris Olave (10 receptions, 198 yards, two TD) are other top targets in the aerial game. Blake Haubell has hit all 19 extra point attempts and is one of two on field goals with a long of 46.

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Miami (OH) played one decent quarter against Cincinnati before getting wiped out the rest of the way. Having to go on the road, especially to a hostile environment like Columbus, to face Ohio State is no picnic for Big Ten teams, much less a mid-major program like Miami (OH) here. The RedHawks faced a Big Ten team in their opener and were dumped 35-13 by Iowa. It’s safe to say that Ohio State is more explosive than the Hawkeyes are at this stage of the season. Fields, Dobbins and company are too much for the RedHawks as the Buckeyes get the victory.

Prediction: Ohio State Buckeyes -39

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Seeing how much Miami (OH) has struggled this season against Iowa and then against Cincinnati, you have to wonder if the RedHawks have even the remotest chance against the Buckeyes here. Ohio State showed that they are ready to get things going as they have their sights set on winning the College Football Playoff. The Buckeyes obliterated Indiana on the road last week in a complete performance. Seeing Ohio State make mincemeat out of a Big Ten program doesn’t instill much confidence in a team from the MAC: will the Buckeyes get complacent and start looking ahead to conference play or bury Miami (OH) first?

The over is 5-0 in the Redhawks’ last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-1 in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Ohio State has seen the over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 17-4 in their last 21 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The Buckeyes rack up the points and yards to push this one over the total.

Prediction: Over 58

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.