Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#347 New Mexico State 68 vs.
#348 New Mexico -4.5
Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 4:30pm EDT
Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque
Written by Sporty Jordy

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#347 New Mexico State University
#348 University of New Mexico
0-3
1-1
1-2
1-1
1-2
2-0
8
26
50
48

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This article covers a past game!

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When and where: September 21, 2019, Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, NM, 4:30 PM ET

The New Mexico State Aggies will be looking for their first win of the season when taking a road trip to Albuquerque for Saturday’s tilt against the New Mexico Lobos. A pair of road games against Washington State and Alabama didn’t do the Aggies any favors to start off the season. Of course, they were completely crushed by a 120-17 point differential in those two games combined. That’s without mentioning the 31 points they gave up to San Diego State in Week 3.

Meanwhile, the Lobos opened their season up with a win over Sam Houston State before getting trounced at Notre Dame in a game no one expected them to win. They’ll try to get back on track against a far less talented team in the Aggies.

Not a fair start for the Aggies

Imagine being forced to start the season off with back-to-back road games against Washington State and Alabama.

The poor Aggies didn’t have to imagine it after basically getting sent to the gallows by their 2019 schedule. They were completely dominated on both sides of the ball, leaving few takeaways other than the simple fact they weren’t talented enough to compete.

Things didn’t go any better against San Diego State, either.

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They’re hoping the same isn’t the case when taking on the Lobos on Saturday. The Lobos haven’t shown much defensive efficiency, if any at all, in their first two games of the season. That should at least aid in the confidence of New Mexico State quarterback Josh Adkins to remain in attack mode, despite already throwing five interceptions on the season.

The Lobos are giving up an average of 438.5 passing yards per game to opponents. This game must be about Adkins’ ability to remain poised in the pocket and put the ball in the air with confidence. Perhaps we can finally see the Aggies get the ground game going without the concern of facing an elite defensive front.

Davie slated to return on September 28

The Lobos will be without head coach Bob Davie until September 28, according to ESPN’s Adam Rittenberg. After coaching in the season opener against Sam Houston State, Davie was taken to the hospital with what was believed to be a serious condition. He is currently resting and listening to the advice of his doctors in hopes of being back on the field with his team.

Without their coach on the sidelines, the Lobos were trounced 66-14 in a road game against Notre Dame. In all honesty, it wouldn’t have mattered if Bill Belichick was coaching the Lobos in that game.

That was a loss the moment the schedule was printed.

The goal in Saturday’s attempted bounce-back game against New Mexico State is to put as much pressure on Adkins as possible. He has already shown he’s a turnover-prone quarterback behind center and the Lobos can give themselves an edge if they’re able to pressure him up front and force him into making bad throws.

At least they shouldn’t have to worry about the run game. The Aggies haven’t shown the ability to establish a rushing attack with their team averaging only 75.7 yards per game on the ground.

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We’ll finally get to see these two teams compete on a more neutral playing field after getting blown out by some of the best teams in the country. Yet, it’s still hard to side with the Aggies considering they haven’t won a game since November 3 of last year. There is also the shaky play of Adkins, who gives away interceptions like free food samples in the middle of a mall.

We’ve seen this same song and dance when these two teams met last season.

Adkins threw for 168 yards, one touchdown, two interceptions and finished the game with a 17.6 QBR. The turnovers have continued to be a problem for him this season as well with him averaging around two interceptions per game. As long as the Lobos commit to the running attack and avoid unnecessary turnovers, they’ll be fine in this game.

The Aggies only won one game all season in 2018 on the road. They could be heading down a similar path this season being handcuffed to Adkins’ arm. I’m taking the Lobos and the points on Saturday.

Prediction: New Mexico Lobos (-4.5)

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The Aggies and Lobos are giving up a combined average of 1,113.5 total yards of offense per game. Not to mention they’re both allowing around an average of 50 points per game. If you enjoy watching blown assignments and overall bad defense, this game is for you. Give me the over betting total here.

Prediction: Over (68.5)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.