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Army vs. Oklahoma,
9-22-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#381 Army
Black Knights
#382 Oklahoma
Sooners

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Army Black Knights

2 - 1

1-1
ATS
1-2
O/U
26
PPG
22
OPPG

Oklahoma Sooners

3 - 0

1-2
ATS
3-0
O/U
49
PPG
20
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The fifth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will be hunting for their fourth straight win when they host the Army Black Knights Saturday night from Owen Field. The Black Knights are coming off a 28-21 home win against Hawaii, and the Sooners registered a 37-27 road win against Iowa State last week. There is no previous meeting between these two teams.

Army Defeats Hawaii in Second Straight Win

The Army Black Knights will be hunting for their third straight win after recording a solid 28-21 home win against Hawaii last week. QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. was terrific, amassing 162 passing yards along with 110 rushing yards. The mobile quarterback doesn’t attempt many passes as Army relies primarily on their running game to generate offense. He has tallied 420 passing yards along with 206 rushing yards in three games. Darnell Woolfolk only averaged 3.7 yards per carry for 70 rushing yards last week. The senior running back has seen a bulk of the carries on the ground, and he has tallied 188 rushing yards through three games. The Black Knights do not have a receiver that has cracked 100 receiving yards this season, and do not expect many pass attempts again this week. Army will run the ball plenty of times in this matchup, and they will need to be at their best against a Sooners rush defense that has been sharp. The Black Knights are averaging 26.7 points in three games, pegging them 90th overall.

The Black Knights defense was solid against Hawaii last week, limiting them to 362 total yards and a 1 for 7 mark on third downs. They did have trouble in their 34-14 loss to Duke in their season opener, and their pass defense has looked vulnerable. Army is allowing an average of 23 points in two games, placing them 58th overall.

Kyler Murray Shines in Third Straight Win

The #5 Oklahoma Sooners opened their BIG 12 schedule with a 37-27 road win against Iowa State in a game they were favored by 18.5 points. Kyler Murray was outstanding for the third straight week, amassing 348 passing yards with three TD’s. The junior QB is off to an outstanding start in his first year as the Sooners #1 QB in place of Baker Mayfield, accumulating 863 passing yards with a 8:1 TD to INT ratio, and he will be up against an Army team that will give up passing yards. Trey Sermon played well against Iowa State, collecting 74 rushing yards. The sophomore RB will see a majority of the carries the rest of the way now that Rodney Anderson is out for the season with a knee injury. Marquise Brown is off to a spectacular start to the season, notching 412 receiving yards in three games which included 191 yards at Iowa State last week. The Sooners offense has been sharp in all three games which included 49 points against UCLA in week two.  The Sooners are averaging 50 points in three games, good for 10th in the country.

The Oklahoma defense did have some trouble against the pass against the Cyclones, conceding 360 passing yards, although they did hold them to only 87 rushing yards. The Oklahoma pass defense has been shaky early this season. They are conceding an average of 20.7 points in three games, positioning them 46th overall.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking Oklahoma in this contest. Army relies on their running game to generate a good portion of their offense and the Sooners rush defense has been stellar through three games, holding opponents to an average of only 116 rushing yards, good for 33rd in the country. Furthermore, the Army pass defense is having some trouble, conceding an average of 275 passing yards in three games, and Sooners QB Kyler Murray has already accumulated 863 passing yards this season. Army lost by 20 points to Duke in week one, and I anticipate a convincing win from the Sooners in this one.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners -31

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The over is a solid play in this matchup. Army conceded 34 points in week one against Duke and they are up against the best offensive team they have faced this season in this one. Army has allowed an average of 386 total yards through three games, and that spells trouble against the Sooners potent offense, plus the over is 5-0 in the Sooners’ last five September games. The Sooners defense allowed 447 total yards last week, and they have allowed 21 and 27 points respectively in their last two games, plus the over is 4-0 in their last four non-conference games.

Prediction: Over 63

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The over on the Sooners team total is a strong play. Army conceded 34 points against Duke in their only road game, and their secondary doesn’t have the tools to contain the Sooners’ potent passing game. Oklahoma is averaging 49.7 points on the season, and they should put up another big number in this one.

Prediction: Sooners Team Total: Over

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

I am taking Oklahoma on the halftime line as well. The Sooners defense has been outstanding in the first half, holding their opponents to an average of only 5.7 points through three games. In addition, Army was shutout in the first half against Duke in their only road game this season.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners -18.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

I am staying with the over on the halftime total as well. Oklahoma has been more productive in the opening half this season. They have piled on the points in the first half, averaging 29 points in three games played, good for sixth in the country. In addition, Army conceded 17 points in the first half in their lone road game this season.

Prediction: Over 34.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am taking Oklahoma to score first in the form of a touchdown. The Sooners rank third in the country with an average of 17.3 points in the first quarter this season. In addition, Army is only averaging seven points in the first quarter, and they have allowed their opponent to score first in two of their three games.

Prediction: First Score of Game: Sooners Touchdown -150

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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