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Virginia Tech vs. ODU,
9-22-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#399 Virginia Tech
Hokies
#400 ODU
Monarchs

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 3:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Virginia Tech Hokies

2 - 0

2-0
ATS
1-1
O/U
42
PPG
9
OPPG

ODU Monarchs

0 - 3

0-3
ATS
2-1
O/U
18
PPG
35
OPPG

Betting Trends

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It’s a non-conference tilt on the Week 4 slate of the college football season between a pair of teams from the Old Dominion State. The #13 Virginia Tech Hokies are on the road as they take the short trip to face the Old Dominion Monarchs Saturday afternoon. Virginia Tech had their game at home against East Carolina washed out last week thanks to Hurricane Florence: they beat William & Mary 62-17 in their last contest. Old Dominion was defeated 28-25 on the road by Charlotte in a game last Thursday in a game that was moved up thanks to Hurricane Florence. The Hokies won the lone matchup between the schools where both were FBS programs, taking a 38-0 win at home on September 23, 2017.

Virginia Tech Hokies Seek to Remain Unbeaten

Virginia Tech had their previous game washed away by Hurricane Florence and has instead had two weeks to prepare for this contest. The Hokies were up 17-0 after the first quarter against William & Mary, extended their edge to 38-7 at the half and didn’t look back. Virginia Tech piled up a 586-286 advantage in total offense, picked up 32 first downs while allowing 12 and won the time of possession battle by a 30:46 to 29:14 margin. The Hokies forced two turnovers while committing only one turnover of their own.

The Hokies enter this contest tied for 60th in the FBS in passing offense with 244 yards per game through the air and tied for 41st in rushing offense with 208.5 yards per contest. Virginia Tech is 26th in scoring offense with 43 points per game and an impressive 10th in scoring defense as opposing teams average 10 points per contest. Josh Jackson has completed 28 of 42 passes for 424 yards with three touchdowns against no picks while adding three yards plus a score on the ground. Ryan Willis is four of seven for 64 yards with seven rushing yards and a score. Deshawn McClease (23 carries, team-high 112 yards, TD), Steven Peoples (19 carries, 99 yards, two TD) and Jalen Holston (12 carries, 55 yards) have all had a chance to carry the rock early on. Hezekiah Grimsley leads the team with seven receptions for 96 yards. Damon Hazelton (six catches, 129 yards, two TD) and Eric Kumah (six grabs, 109 yards, TD) are solid targets. Brian Johnson has hit nine four extra points and all three field goal attempts with a long of 45. Jordan Stout has booted both extra points without attempting a field goal this season.

Old Dominion Monarchs Try to Pull Off Upset

Old Dominion saw their game moved up because of Hurricane Florence but they couldn’t deliver a road win as they were dumped by Charlotte. The Monarchs now return home to face a ranked opponent, which is a tough challenge to say the least. Old Dominion led 18-13 early in the second half but couldn’t hold on as they gave up 15 unanswered points. The Monarchs punched in a score with under three minutes to play to make it a team-high game but drew no closer. Old Dominion was outgained 373-338, gave up 27 first downs while picking up 16 and was dominated in time of possession by a 38:17 to 21:43 margin.

The Monarchs enter this contest 71st in the FBS in passing offense with an average of 230 yards per game through the air and 114th in rushing with 115 yards per contest. Old Dominion is 117th in scoring offense as they average 18.3 points per contest and tied for 109th in scoring defense by allowing 36 points per game. Steven Williams is 41 of 80 passing for 507 yards with two touchdowns against two interceptions while adding 83 yards plus a score on the ground. Blake LaRussa is 12 of 19 for 183 yards with a touchdown. Jeremy Cox leads the team with 32 carries for 123 yards while Lala Davis adds 10 carries for 63 yards plus two scores. Jonathan Duhart has a team-leading 17 receptions for 360 yards plus three scores. Travis Fulgham (five receptions, 64 yards) and Isaiah Harper (12 catches, 78 yards) are also targets for Williams. Nick Rice is four of five on extra points and three of six on field goals with a long of 48 this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Old Dominion made Charlotte look like a competent offensive attack, which isn’t something to overlook. The Monarchs are allowing opponents to complete 66.7 percent of their passes and give up 285 yards per game through the air. Virginia Tech hasn’t run the ball all that well but Jackson should be able to take advantage of the Monarchs’ defensive woes. The Hokies should stifle Old Dominion’s offense and pick up the victory in this contest.

Prediction: Virginia Tech Hokies -27.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Virginia Tech has been known for their defense over the last couple of decades and the start of this season has been no different. The Hokies are getting decent offensive production as Jackson continues to develop at quarterback. If the run game gets going, the Hokies will be a threat in the ACC. Old Dominion has to try and move the ball against a Virginia Tech defense that has been very good at keeping opponents in check. Could the Monarchs find a way to catch Virginia Tech off guard?

The under is 4-0 in the Hokies’ last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, 5-0 in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 7-1 in their last 8 games following an ATS win. Old Dominion has seen the under go 5-2 in their last seven non-conference games. The Hokies will move the ball and pile up a lead before the defense does the rest. This one stays under the total.

Prediction: Under 52

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

Virginia Tech has plenty of offensive talent to work with and they ended up with a week off last week thanks the Hurricane Florence. That game wiped out a home tilt with East Carolina. The Hokies now face an Old Dominion team that has struggled out of the gate and is coming off a loss to Charlotte. The Monarchs are just 117th in scoring offense and stand tied for 109th in scoring defense. Virginia Tech should take advantage of the weak Monarchs’ defense to cover the line at the half.

Prediction: Virginia Tech Hokies -17

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

Virginia Tech has piled up 55 of their 86 points in the first two games this season in the opening half. The Hokies had a 17-3 halftime edge over Florida State and ran to a 38-7 advantage over William & Mary in their second game. With having the extra week to see how suspect Old Dominion’s defense is, the Hokies should move the ball on a regular basis. Jackson and Virginia Tech pile up their points and they should help push this over the total at halftime.

Prediction: Over 28 -110

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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