Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#371 Hawaii vs.
#372 New Mexico State
Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 8:00pm EDT
Written by Mason Folz

This Saturday, the (1-3) Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and the (0-4) New Mexico State Aggies will match up in the fourth week of the 2022 college football season. Kick-off will be at 8:00 PM EST inside Aggie Memorial Stadium. Both of these teams have struggled to begin the season, but they will be aiming to play better in this one.

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors took down Duquesne 24-14 last week for their first win of the season. They were able to consistently move the ball up and down the field and their defense played great against the pass. They will need to build off of this win if they want to challenge the Aggies on the road.

The New Mexico State Aggies are entering this one after getting blown out by the Wisconsin Badgers, 66-7 in week 3. The Aggies will be looking to quickly forget about that game and move on to the rest of their schedule. Their defense has to be better in this one if they want to show up at home against the Rainbow Warriors.

Looking for my Best Bet?

Last Saturday I went (3-1) and I'm (9-4) on the college football season. Now, I am looking to keep this run alive today! I've got my three best college football picks in this package, as I'm looking to bring you back to the GREEN. Trust me on this one and buy my "Pick Me Up 3-Pack", as if they don't go (2-1) or better, you'll get your money back. I love today's slate of games and can't wait for all of you to join my team!

Can Hawaii Make it Two in a Row?

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have not had the season that they were hoping for, but they were able to achieve their first win of the season last week. They will be looking to carry that momentum over into this game. According to Sports Reference, the Warriors are averaging 15.2 points per game, which is the 120th most in the country. Hawaii will look to move the ball on the ground and through the air, as they are averaging the 109th most passing yards per game and the 111th most rushing yards. As an offense, Hawaii is averaging 289.5 yards per game, which is the 120th most in the country. Watch for Joey Yellen, as the Warrior's quarterback has thrown for 324 yards this season and thrown two interceptions. He took the majority of the snaps last week and he will be starting in this one. He hasn't thrown a touchdown pass this season, either. The Warriors will look to get the ball to their leading receiver, Jonah Panoke. He has already recorded 172 yards this season, which leads the team. Hawaii is also averaging 109 rush yards per game, as Dedrick Parson has been the leading back for the Warriors in 2022. He has already run for 197 yards and four touchdowns this season.

On defense, the Warriors have been up and down. Last week, they looked great, as they only allowed Duquesne to score 14 points. On the season, they are allowing 45.5 points per game, though. They got torched by Michigan, Western Kentucky, and Vanderbilt in the first three weeks of the season. They are also allowing 493.3 yards per game, which is the 125th most yards allowed per game. They have been better against the pass, though. They are surrendering 180.5 passing yards per game, as their secondary has been tough. This is the 92nd least amount of receiving yards given up per game. The Rainbow Warrior's biggest problems come against the run. They are allowing 238.8 rushing yards per game, which is the 126th most in the country. They got gashed by the Wolverines on the ground, but they did hold Duquesne to just 91 rushing yards in week 3. I would also watch for Virile Edwards II, as he is leading the team with 18 solo tackles. He has been all over the field to begin this 2022 season.

Can New Mexico St. Get Win Number One?

The New Mexico State Aggies are yet to win a game this season, as they have struggled to begin the year. They were blown out by the Wisconsin Badgers last week, as they will be looking to turn the page on that one. On offense, the Aggies are scoring 8.0 points per game and they are averaging 237.3 yards. This is the least amount of points scored in the country and the second least amount of yards averaged per game. They have struggled to move the ball, which has made it much more difficult to score. They have also been rotating quarterbacks, as I would be prepared to see Gavin Frakes and Diego Pavia in this one. Frakes has thrown for 263 yards this season and one touchdown, but five interceptions and Pavia has only thrown for 237 yards and four interceptions. They have to limit their turnovers if they want to change the results that they have been getting. The Aggies are only averaging 126.5 passing yards per game, which is the 122nd most in college football. They are also only running for 110.8 more, as this is the 109th most rushing yards per game. Watch for Star Thomas in this one, as he is the Aggies leading running back. He has already rushed for 109 yards this season.

On defense, the Aggies have also struggled to stop their opponents. They are currently allowing 36.8 points per game and 411 total yards. According to Covers.com, this is the 117th most points given up per game and the 98th most yards allowed. New Mexico State has been exceptional against the pass, as they are allowing 191.8 yards. They only gave up 153 passing yards to UTEP and 188 to the Golden Gophers. This is the 37th least amount of yards given up per game, as their secondary continues to play strong. They are allowing 219.3 rushing yards per game, though. This is the 121st most yards allowed, as their front seven has struggled to rally to the ball over the first few weeks of the season. I would recommend watching Bryce Jackson, as he leads the team with 18 solo tackles.

Best Bets for this Game

All predictions are made well in advance of game time. Don't bet this pick before calling the free Winners And Whiners Hotline to make sure the pick is still good.

Call 1-213-205-3114 (recorded message)

By calling, you are agreeing to our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I like Hawaii (+5.5) in this one, as the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams. The Aggies were also dominated by the Badgers in week 3, as I don't see them coming into this game with any confidence. They will struggle to move the ball on offense, as they are scoring the least amount of points per game in the country. They have struggled to score in the red zone and they are passing for the 122nd most yards. They don't have a secure starting quarterback, as Frakes and Pavia will continue to battle and they will fail to consistently move the ball down the field. Hawaii will be able to lock in on the run and force the Aggies to lean on the pass, which they aren't good at. This will allow the Rainbow Warriors to force turnovers and give extra possessions to their offense.

I also liked the way the Warriors looked last week in their first win. Joey Yellen was slinging the ball all over the yard and the Aggies won't be able to stop him. They also ran the ball all over Duquesne, as I see that trend continuing in this one. The Aggies are allowing the 121st most rushing yards per game, as this will allow the Rainbow Warriors to control possession and this game. The New Mexico State Aggies won't be able to cover this spread and the Rainbow Warriors will keep it close on the road.

Hammer Hawaii (+5.5) and trust their rushing attack in this one.

Prediction: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This total is too high, as the New Mexico State Aggies aren't good enough on offense to score enough points to push this total over (57.5). The Aggies are currently scoring 8.0 points per game and they are averaging the second least amount of yards. They will continue to struggle on the offensive side of the field, as the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will keep them off the scoreboard for the majority of the game. Yes, Hawaii's defense has given up a ton of points this season, but they haven't played an offense this bad either. Hawaii's secondary has been the strongest part of their defense and they won't allow the Aggies to consistently move the ball through the air. Both of these teams will also be looking to lean on the run, as they have both struggled to pass this season. This will keep the clock running and won't allow either of these teams to have enough opportunities to push this total over (57.5).  Hawaii is also only scoring 15.2 points per game, as they have also struggled on the offensive side of the field. The Aggies are decent against the pass, as they will force the Warriors to keep the ball on the ground. This isn't good for the Warriors either, as they are running for the 111th most yards per game.

Both of these teams struggle to move the ball and I don't see either of them scoring enough points to push this total over (57.5). Take the under.

Prediction: Under 57.5
Loading...

Written By Mason Folz , "Mason Folz"

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let's win some money!