Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#383 Stanford vs.
#384 Washington
Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 10:30pm EDT
Written by Chris King

A pair of programs from the Pac-12 take the field in search of a victory as they clash up in the Pacific Northwest. The Stanford Cardinal are on the road as they make the trip up the west coast to take on the #18 Washington Huskies Saturday night. Stanford had a bye week last week: they were defeated 41-28 by #10 USC in their previous contest back on September 10. Washington remained unbeaten as they took care of business against #11 Michigan State 39-28 at home last Saturday. In the all-time series between the programs, the Huskies own a narrow 44-43-4 advantage, including a 20-13 road victory in the most recent matchup on October 30, 2021.

Stanford Cardinal Hoping to Bounce Back From Blowout

Stanford had a week off last week, giving them two weeks to prepare after getting taken to the woodshed by USC in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. The Cardinal now get a second straight game against a ranked foe as they try to get back over the .500 mark on the year. Against USC, Stanford found themselves down 21-7 after one quarter, 35-14 at the half and 41-14 after three quarters before narrowing the margin in garbage time. The Cardinal gave up 505 yards of total offense while recording 441, lost the time of possession 30:33 to 29:27 and committed four turnovers while failing to record a takeaway. Those numbers more than negated their 33-25 edge in first downs in the game.

On the year, the Cardinal are tied for 37th in the nation in passing offense as they average 274 yards per game through the air and 46th in rushing offense with an average of 195 yards per contest. Stanford is 59th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 34.5 points per game while they are 69th in scoring defense by allowing 25.5 points per contest. Tanner McKee has completed 42 of 62 passes for 528 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions on the year. Ari Patu is two of three for 20 yards plus a score plus five rushing yards. E.J. Smith leads the ground game with 30 carries for 206 yards and three scores. Casey Filkins (22 carries, 97 yards, two TD) is the second back in the system when Smith needs a breather. Smith leads the team in receptions with eight for 63 yards plus a score. Michael Wilson (seven grabs, 112 yards, two TD), John Humphries (six catches, 105 yards), Brycen Tremaine (five receptions, 72 yards) and Elijah Higgins (five catches, 66 yards) are other competent options in the passing game. Joshua Karty has hit all nine extra point attempts while not attempting a field goal this season.

Washington Huskies Look to Remain Unbeaten

Washington ran their record to 3-0 on the season as they took care of #11 Michigan State at home last week as they continue to make strides under Kaleb DeBoer. The Huskies now look to open conference play on a positive note as they host the Cardinal in this contest. Against Michigan State, Washington rolled to a 9-0 lead after the opening quarter and extended to a 22-0 mark in the second quarter. The Huskies were up 29-8 at the half and didn’t let their lead drop below 11 the rest of the way. Washington held a 503-365 edge in total offense, picked up 24 first downs while allowing 21 and forced the game’s lone turnover to help negate a 30:13 to 29:47 disadvantage in time of possession.

This season, the Huskies are 2nd in the nation in passing offense with 388.7 yards per game through the air while they are 74th in rushing offense with 159.7 yards per contest. Washington is 14th in the FBS in scoring offense with 45.3 points per game and stand 38th in scoring defense by allowing an average of 18 points per contest. Michael Penix Jr. has completed 78 of 106 passes for 1,079 yards with 10 touchdowns and one interception while adding 31 yards on the ground. Dylan Morris (four of eight, 63 yards) and Sam Huard (two of two, 24 yards) have seen limited work as well. Wayne Taulapapa leads the team on the ground with 35 carries for 187 yards and two scores this season. Cameron Davis (35 carries, 157 yards, four scores), Richard Newton (10 carries, 59 yards) and Will Nixon (12 carries, 46 yards, TD) have had their share of work as well. In the passing game, Jalen McMillan leads the team with 16 receptions for 308 yards and three scores this season. Ja’Lynn Polk (12 grabs, 245 yards, four TD), Giles Jackson (nine catches, 136 yards) and Rome Odunza (10 catches, 132 yards, TD) are all over the century mark in receiving yards. Peyton Henry has hit all 17 extra points and three of three field goal attempts with a long of 38 this season.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Stanford has already faced a high-octane offense in USC and we saw the issues they had in that game as they were scorched by getting lit up to the tune of 41 points. While the Cardinal has had two weeks to prepare for this game, the fact remains that the loss to the Trojans came at home while this game is on the road. Penix Jr. has been explosive and shown fans the player he was expected to flourish into at Indiana. The Huskies have been tremendous on both sides of the ball in the early going as DeBoer has seemed to change the mindset of the program. Washington controls Stanford’s offense while they put points on the board in bunches. Look for the Huskies to defend their home field and run their record to 4-0 on the season.

Prediction: Washington Huskies -13.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Stanford has split their two games in relation to the total so far this season. The Cardinal saw totals of 51 points in the game with Colgate before winding up with 69 points in the USC contest. Those games had totals at the sportsbook of 52 and 66.5 points, respectively, so the Cardinal could easily have been 2-0 either way had things gone slightly different. Washington has gone over in all three games this season and five of their last six dating back to last year. The Huskies have seen totals of 65 points (vs. Kent State), 58 (vs. Portland State) and 67 (vs. Michigan State) this season. Those games had totals of 62.5, 55 and 56 points at kickoff. Look for this game to be another high-scoring affair as Washington piles up points to put this over the total.

Prediction: Over 63.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.