Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-1) vs. Ole Miss Rebels (3-0)
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane head to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Mississippi, to take on the Ole Miss Rebels in Week 4 of the 2022 college football season. These two schools meet for the first time since 1964 when Tulsa outlasted Ole Miss 14-7, so let’s see what’s the best Golden Hurricane vs. Rebels betting pick for Saturday, September 24, 2022.
The Rebels are listed as firm 21-point favorites. The Golden Hurricane sit at +945 money line odds, while the totals open at 65.5 points.
Tulsa hammered Jacksonville State for its second straight WThe Tulsa Golden Hurricane started their 2022 campaign with a tough 40-37 double-overtime defeat at the Wyoming Cowboys. They couldn’t satisfy the odds as 6.5-point road favorites, and the Golden Hurricane failed to cover the spread once more in Week 2, beating the Northern Illinois Huskies 38-35 as 6.5-point home favorites.
“I was very pleased with the way our team played on Saturday”, Tulsa head coach Philip Montgomery said following Week 2 victory over NIU. “Just continuing to stay together through some adverse things that happened. But finding a way to win, that’s important at this time of the year.”
Tulsa finally covered in Week 3, dismantling the Jacksonville State Gamecocks 54-17 as a 12-point home fave. The Golden Hurricane outgained the Gamecocks 621-295 while scoring 40 first-half points. Senior QB Davis Brin tossed for 424 yards and four touchdowns, wideouts Keylon Stokes and JuanCarlos Santana combined for 290 yards and a couple of scores, while senior RB had seven totes for 32 yards and two touchdowns.
The Golden Hurricane are still without RB Anthony Watkins, who has sat out the first three games of the season due to an undisclosed injury. Last year, Watkins had 86 carries for 634 yards and four touchdowns. Tulsa will continue to lean on its passing offense, and Davis Brin has already tossed for 1,206 yards, 11 touchdowns, and one interception so far this season.
Ole Miss shut down Georgia Tech in Week 3The No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels steamrolled the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 42-0 this past Saturday, improving to 3-0 straight up and 2-1 ATS on the season. They easily covered a 17-point spread away from home, outgaining the Jackets 547-214 in total yards and posting 31 first downs. The Rebels posted a whopping 316 rushing yards on 62 carries (5.1 per rush), and running backs Zach Evans, Quinshon Judkins, and Ulysses Bentley IV accounted for two rushing touchdowns apiece.
"Everybody thinks you throw the ball in this system," Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin said. "You really don't. You run the ball a lot in this system when you really have it going."
After Luke Altmyer got the starting call under center in a 59-3 thrashing of Central Arkansas in Week 2, Jaxson Dart returned as the starting quarterback in Week 3. Dart went 10-of-16 for 207 yards and an interception while carrying the pigskin ten times for 40 yards. He’s thrown for 543 yards, three touchdowns, and a couple of picks so far this season.
Senior wideout Jaylon Robinson missed the Georgia Tech game due to an injury, and he’s listed as questionable to play Saturday against Tulsa. It looks like the Rebels will continue to rely on their ground game after averaging 5.7 yards per rush through their first three showings in 2022.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Tulsa’s offense will be properly tested in this matchup. The Rebels have dominated their rivals on the defensive end thus far, surrendering just 71.7 rushing yards and 192.7 passing yards per game while posting 13 sacks and three interceptions. I’m expecting Ole Miss to continue with a strong defensive performance because the Golden Hurricane’s offense is pretty much one-dimensional. Tulsa’s offensive line will be under huge pressure, so give me the hosts and points.
The Golden Hurricane have covered the spread in six of their last eight outings, but they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games played in Week 4. On the other side, the Rebels are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 contests overall and 6-2-1 ATS in their previous nine outings as double-digit favorites.
Full-Game Total Pick
As I’ve mentioned above, the Rebels’ rushing offense has been outstanding so far, but the Golden Hurricane’s run D has done a good job, too, allowing 3.8 yards per carry. On the other side, Tulsa will struggle to move the ball against Ole Miss, so I’m taking the under on the totals.
Ole Miss has allowed a paltry 13 points over its first three games in 2022. The total has gone under in ten of the Rebels’ last 11 games at any location. Also, the under is 5-1 in their previous six showings at home. On the flip side, the over is 5-1 in the Hurricane’s last six games overall, but none of their last eight showings as double-digit underdogs has produced more than 65 points in total.