Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#367 UCLA vs.
#368 Colorado
Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 2:00pm EDT
Written by The Dominator

College football action on Saturday afternoon and we will see a pair of teams from the PAC-12 Conference square off as the UCLA Bruins invade Folsom Field in Boulder Colorado to grapple with the Colorado Buffaloes. The Bruins enter this game off a 32-31 home win over south Alabama to move to 3-0 on the year. The Buffaloes fell to 0-3 in their last game with a 49-7 road loss to Minnesota.

 

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Bruins Squeak By Jaguars

UCLA is 3-0 on the year, but after crushing their first two opponents, they needed a FG from Nicholas Barr-Mira as time expired to beat South Alabama by a score of 32-31. the Bruins were favored by 16 points in the contest, so it was a shocker that they needed the late FG to win it. The Bruins have just eight starters back from a team that went 8-4 last year, but still, many feel they will be a factor in the PAC-12 this year.

With Six starters back on offense, the Bruins have been very strong on that side of the ball so far. They enter this game ranked 17th in total offense and 28th in scoring, putting up a healthy 40.7 ppg so far. The Bruins racked up 407 yards of total offense against the Jaguars, including 263 yards through the air. Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for those 263 yards and he had three TD passes with no INT. He is in his 5th year of action and he has thrown for 662 yards with six TDs and just one INT on the year.

The Bruins are 25th in the nation in passing and 33rd in rushing, so they do have a balanced offense. The run game could be key here as the Buffaloes have not been able to stop the run at all so far. The defense has been no slouch either as the Bruins come in ranked 30th in total yards allowed, 45th against the pass, 40th against the run, and 41st in points allowed, giving up just 18.3 ppg. Those are solid numbers for a team that has just two starters back on that side of the ball. UCLA allowed 399 yards to South Alabama, but they will be facing one of the worst offensive teams in the nation in this one.

The Buffaloes are A Bad, Bad Team

The Colorado Buffaloes went just 4-8 last year and the prospects of them turning things around this year are not good at all. Colorado has been picked for last in the PAC-12 South and so far they have looked like a last-place team. The Buffaloes are not only 0-3 on the year but they have been outscored by 32.7 ppg in the process. This is a bad, bad team and now the real fun begins for them as they are about to enter Pac-12 play. So Far, the Buffs have lost by 25 to TCU, but 31 to Air Force and in their last game, they fell 49-7 to Minnesota on the road.

Colorado was underdogs by 27.5 in that game and they were never in it, falling behind 14-0 after the first quarter and 35-0 at the break while getting outgained 500-226 in the contest. The Run defense has been abysmal so far as they have allowed 362.7ypg on the ground so far, including 334 yards to Minnesota. The Pass defense is ranked 5th in the nation, but why would teams throw on them when they could just run over them? UCLA has a solid ground game on once that get's going, then DTR could have a good game against his pass defense.

The offense does have seven starters back from last year, but it has been pathetic in the early going, ranking 127th in total yards, 125th in passing, 100th in rushing, and 130th in scoring, putting up just 10.0 ppg. They will need far more than 10 points if they hope to take down the bruins in this one. JT Shrout transferred in from Tennessee this year and he has not looked great, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and one INT. His yards per attempt is a horrible 4.0. UCLA has been solid on defense so far and if Shrout can't figure things out, then the Buffs will struggle to score again.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Sometimes handicapping games is not rocket science and this is one of those games. I get that UCLA struggled last week to take down the South Alabama Jaguars, but the Bruins are still the far better team in this clash of Pac-12 Foes. UCLA has a good ground game and they will take aim at a Colorado defense that has allowed 362.7 ypg on the ground so far. Once the ground game gets going then DTR will hit some big easy plays down the field. The Bruins have also been solid on defense in the early going, allowing just 18.3 ppg and they should have no trouble in stopping a weak Buffalo attack that has averaged just 10.0 ppg so far. UCLA has lost their last three games at this venue, but they have a massive talent edge in this one and Chip Kelley is 23-11 ATS in his last 34 games against teams with a losing record.

Prediction: UCLA -21.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Colorado offense is very bad right now as they have averaged just 10.0 ppg and UCLA has allowed just 18.3 ppg. I can not see the Buffaloes scoring enough to push this game over the total. UCLA will win this game very easily, but when they are up huge, they will just run, run, run the ball against a Colorado defense that has allowed 362.7 ypg on the ground so far. That will eat up a lot of the clock late in the game and keep this one from going Over the total. Lastly, the Under is 6-2 in UCLA's last 8 vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2 in Colorado's last 8 home games.

Prediction: Under 57
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.