Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#407 Arkansas State vs.
#408 Tulsa
Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 5:00pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head to Oklahoma to battle the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in an inter-conference bout on Saturday evening. The Red Wolves have lost two in a row after an ugly road defeat against the Washington Huskies last week. The Golden Hurricane are searching for their first win of the season after an 0-3 start. These foes last met in 2018 in a clash Arkansas State won by a 29-20 score.

Red Wolves Manage Only Three Points in Second Consecutive Loss

The Arkansas State Red Wolves enter the final game of their non-conference portion of their schedule attempting to avoid a third straight defeat. It’s been a difficult schedule after their easy win against non-FBS opponent Central Arkansas in the opener. They lost 55-50 to Memphis followed by an ugly 52-3 road loss against the Washington Huskies of the PAC-12 last week in a bout that had the Red Wolves labeled as large 17.5 point dogs.

Arkansas State features two capable quarterbacks. Former Seminole James Blackman has seen the most action, accruing 651 yards accompanied by a 4:0 TD to INT ratio, while sophomore QB Layne Hatcher has 470 passing yards. Hatcher tallied over 2000 passing yards in his freshman season.

The Red Wolves rely primarily on the passing offense. They do not have a 100-yard RB through the first three games. Senior RB Alan Lamar leads the way with 98 rushing yards. Arkansas State has a talented assortment of receivers. Te’Vailance Hunt came over in a transfer from TCU and has registered 242 yards. It’s safe to stay this team relies on offense to win games.

The Red Wolves' defense is a work in progress. They have no answer for the opposing QB’s, surrendering over 300 passing yards in back-to-back games. They stand 128th against the pass as a result. The rush defense has struggled as well, ranking 92nd in the FBS. Arkansas State is scoring an average of 31 points, placing them 60th in the FBS. They are squandering an average of 42.7 points, pegging them 125th overall.

Tulsa Competitive in Loss to Ohio State, Remain Winless

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane is looking to avoid their fourth consecutive defeat. The season began with a stunning 19-17 home loss to non-FBS opponent UCD Davis. They were competitive in a 28-23 road loss to Oklahoma State in week two and they covered the 24.5-point spread in a 41-20 road loss to Ohio State of the Big Ten last week.

Davis Brin enters this one with confidence. The junior QB struggled in the first two defeats and countered with a stellar 429 passing yards against a Big Ten defense in Ohio State. This is Brin’s first season as the #1 QB. He should steadily improve after recording 853 passing yards and a 2:4 TD to INT ratio on the season.

The running game is mediocre. Deneric Prince has only posted 72 rushing yards in his last two games after collecting 151 on the opener. The Golden Hurricane feature a strong receiving core. Unfortunately, #1 WR Keylon Stokes is questionable after missing last week’s game with an undisclosed injury. Overall, Tulsa’s offensive play has been encouraging after the week one disaster against OK State and Ohio State.

The Golden Hurricane defense fared reasonably well in the first two clashes but squandered 501 yards against Ohio State. They are tabbed 76th against the pass and 82nd against the run. Tulsa is averaging 20 points in three games, ranking them 113th in the FBS. They are conceding an average of 29.3 points, placing them 100th overall.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Tulsa has covered the points in consecutive games. They have rebounded from their week one loss with competitive performances. The Golden Hurricane only lost by five points to Oklahoma State and was only down by a 27-20 score at Ohio State of the Big Ten with five minutes remaining in the fourth quarter last week before squandering two late touchdowns.

Furthermore, the big storyline to watch is the Red Wolves' defense. It has been a disaster early this season as they have surrendered 50 points in back-to-back games. They even squandered 292 passing yards to Central Arkansas of the FCS in their season opener. Tulsa was able to collect a dazzling 501 yards against Ohio State and QB Davis Brin should thrive against a pass defense that ranks 128th in the FBS.

Prediction: Tulsa Golden Hurricane -13.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This one is going to be a shootout. QB Davis Brin exploited the Ohio State defense for over 400 yards along with two touchdowns last week and he will shine again in this matchup. The Arkansas State rush defense isn’t much better, standing 82nd in the country. The over is 4-1 in Tulsa’s last five games against a team with a losing record.

In addition, the Red Wolves' offense is potent and will score their fair share of points in this matchup. They have former Florida State QB James Blackman along with an experienced Layne Hatcher at QB. The offense was able to accumulate 50 points against Memphis and they will produce against a Tulsa pass defense that is tabled 76th in the FBS. The over is also 7-3 in the Red Wolves' last 10 road games.

Prediction: Over 62.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Tulsa team total should deliver. The Golden Hurricane had to play two power conference teams in their last two games which provided them with valuable experience. QB Davis Brin tallied over 400 yards against Ohio State last week and has an easier defense to battle in this game.

Prediction: Tulsa Team Total Over

Half-Time Side Pick

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Tulsa will have a solid lead by the half. They are at home after two tough road games and will be eager to put up some points as they search for their first win. Arkansas State was down 28-0 at halftime last week and has surrendered an average of 30 points in the opening half this season. Tulsa has fared well, conceding only 20 points in the first half in their also two games.

Prediction: Tulsa -7.5

Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.