Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#353 Florida Atlantic (FAU) vs.
#354 Air Force
Saturday, September 25, 2021 at 8:00pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

Florida Atlantic Owls (2-1) vs. Air Force Academy Falcons (2-1)

The Florida Atlantic Owls will be looking for their third straight victory when they take on the Air Force Academy Falcons on Saturday. Florida Atlantic defeated Fordham on Saturday, 45-14. Utah State defeated Air Force on Saturday, 49-45, snapping the Falcons two-game winning streak.

FAU defeated Air Force the last time these teams met, winning 33-27 in September 2018. Air Force is favored by 4.5-points.

Defense Stymies Rams in 45-14 Victory

A week after allowing Georgia Southern just six points, the Florida Atlantic defense dominated once again, holding Fordham to nine first downs and 14 points in a 45-14 victory. The Owls were in complete command of this game, as the Rams had the ball for just 21:52 and were 1-15 on third-down conversions. FAU put up 547 yards of total offense.

FAU is allowing 18.3 points and 349.3 yards per game. Surprisingly, the defense has only three sacks this season, but they have recorded five interceptions and a fumble recovery. Teja Young leads the team with two picks and is tied for second with 21 tackles. Jaylen Joyner has two of the team’s three sacks.

On offense, quarterback N’Kosi Perry has been impressive. He has completed 63.1% of his passes for 871 yards and seven touchdowns. Most importantly, no interceptions. His favorite target has been LaJohntay Wester with 21 catches for 254 yards and two TDs. Johnny Ford (25 carries, 123 yards, TD) and Malcolm Davidson (30, 165) have combined for nearly 200 yards on the ground.

Aggies Rally to Down Falcons

The Air Force Academy held a 24-13 lead at half, but Utah State battled back with 21 points in the third quarter and 15 in the fourth to defeat the Falcons, 49-45. Air Force held a 45-34 lead with a little over 10 minutes left, but the Aggies scored the final 15 points of the game to earn the victory. Quarterback Haaziq Daniels threw for 182 yards and rushed for 102 more.

The Air Force offense has been impressive this season, averaging 34 points and 421.3 yards per game. It has been a bruising ground attack that has led the way, averaging 327.7 yards per contest. Brad Roberts leads the ground attack with 321 yards and two touchdowns on 75 carries. Daniels has rushed for 225 yards and five scores and thrown for 281 yards and a touchdown. However, he has completed just 12 of 27 pass attempts (44.4%).

This is a defense getting after the quarterback, recording 10 sacks and three turnovers. Demonte Meeks leads the team with 2.5 sacks and is tied for second with 15 total tackles. Vince Sanford is right behind with 2.0 sacks and he also has 15 tackles. Covan Taylor has both interceptions.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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I will state up front that I believe that the Air Force will win this contest. It is going to be that ground game that helps lead them, as the Owls are susceptible to a solid rushing attack. Air Force can definitely deliver, averaging better than 327 yards per game while Florida Atlantic is allowing nearly 190 yards per contest.

However, I believe that the Owls are going to have success moving the ball as well. They are averaging 32.3 points and 476.3 yards per game. Their offense is going to help to keep this game close, helping them to cover the spread.

Prediction: Take the Florida Atlantic at +4.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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In today’s college football, 54.5 points does not seem like much. You have a lot of contests where the total has reached that number by the end of the third quarter. However, this is going to be another grind-it-out type of game for the Falcons, which eats up a lot of clocks. There is no denying that they are still putting up points with that ground attack. They scored 35 against Lafayette, 23 against Navy, and 45 against Utah State.

After a tough loss against Florida to begin the season, FAU has scored 38 and 45 in their last two contests. I look for this contest to go over. Not by much, but it is going over.

Take the Air Force to win, 31-28.

Prediction: over 54.5 (-106)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.