Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (2-1) vs. Georgia Southern Eagles (1-2)
It is a battle in the Sun Belt Conference when the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns take on the Georgia Southern Eagles on Saturday. The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off a decisive 49-14 victory over Ohio on September 16. The Eagles dropped their second straight game with a 45-10 loss to Arkansas last Saturday.
Louisiana enters this contest as 16.0-point favorites. The Ragin’ Cajuns have won three of the last four meetings between these teams, including a 20-18 victory in September last year.
Ragin’ Cajuns Ground Out VictoryThe Ragin’ Cajuns ground out 310 yards rushing helping them to a decisive 49-14 victory over Ohio. Louisiana recorded 33 first downs while allowing the Bobcats just 16. Four different players rushed for at least 60 yards in the game, including Levi Lewis, who rushed for 61 and threw for 212 more. Montre Johnson had 84 yards rushing and scored four touchdowns.
Louisiana is averaging 31.3 points and 438 yards of offense per game. The team is averaging 158.7 yards rushing per contest, but no single back has led the way. This is a team that spreads the wealth, with Chris Smith leading the team with 168 yards rushing and two touchdowns. He is averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Lewis has completed 66.7% of his passes for 798 yards and four touchdowns.
The defense is allowing 25.3 points and 400 yards per game. This is not a big-play defense by any stretch of the imagination, as they have just one sack and one turnover this season. Lorenzo McCaskill leads the team with 23 tackles.
Razorbacks Ground EaglesArkansas held Georgia Southern to 11 first downs while putting up 633 yards of offense in a 45-10 victory over the Eagles. Georgia Southern had the ball for just 26:54 and converted five of 18 third-down opportunities. Justin Tomlin had a tough day, completing 11 of 23 passes for 65 yards. He did rush for 65 yards on 10 carries, scoring the team’s only touchdown.
This is a struggling Eagles offense, averaging 15 points and 330.3 yards per game. The team is led by Logan Wright, who has rushed for 243 yards on 39 carries, an impressive 6.2 yards per carry average. He has also scored two touchdowns. Quarterback Cam Ransom has completed 56.4% of his passes for 204 yards and a touchdown.
The defense is allowing 36 points and 525.7 yards per game. It has primarily been through the air where they have been blitzed, allowing 353.7 yards passing. The Eagles have eight sacks but have yet to record a turnover this season. AJ Watkins leads the team with two sacks.
- 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a victory.
- 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games on the road against teams with a losing record at home.
- 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September.
- 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a loss where they allowed more than 40 points.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
I like to shy away from situations where a team is favored by 14 points or more. That is a lot of points to try to cover, but Georgia Southern is an offensively challenged team. This is not a team that is simply struggling against high-quality opponents. It is understandable that they would only score 10 against Arkansas, but six against Florida Atlantic is not impressive at all. They should have rolled over Gardner-Webb but came away with a five-point victory there.
Meanwhile, the Ragin’ Cajuns have an impressive ground attack that should keep the Eagles off the field. If the Eagles have more than 26 minutes of possession time in this game, I will be surprised. They are not a big-play offense and are simply not going to score many points in this game. That makes Louisiana able to easily cover the spread.
Full-Game Total Pick
This is a very tough call. You have a Ragin’ Cajuns defense that simply does not create turnovers and can’t get to the quarterback. However, you have a Georgia Southern offense that is not very good. They did put up 500 yards of offense against Gardner-Webb, 365 of which came on the ground with Logan Wright producing 177 yards in that game. However, since then, he has 66 total yards.
Louisiana is going to have success moving the ball. Georgia Southern does not have the players to slow down the Ragin’ Cajuns and their offense is not going to be on the field long enough to keep Louisiana from scoring.
Take Louisiana to win, 35-14.