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Bowling Green vs. Georgia Tech,
9-29-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#123 Bowling Green
Falcons
#124 Georgia Tech
Yellow Jackets

Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Bowling Green Falcons

1 - 3

0-4
ATS
2-1
O/U
25
PPG
43
OPPG

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

1 - 3

0-4
ATS
2-1
O/U
29
PPG
30
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will be hunting for their first win of the season when they host the Bowling Green Falcons in an inter-conference battle Saturday afternoon from Boddy Dodd Stadium.  The Falcons are coming off a 38-23 home loss to Miami Ohio, and the Yellow Jackets were overmatched in a 49-21 home loss to #3 Clemson in their previous contest. There is no previous meeting between these two schools.

Bowling Green’s Defense Struggles in MAC Opener

The Bowling Green Falcons head into this tough matchup with a 1-3 record after their defensive struggles resumed in a 38-23 home loss to Miami Ohio in their conference opener last week. Jarret Doege didn’t find his groove until the fourth quarter in the defeat, and he finished with 237 passing yards and two TD’s. The sophomore quarterback played well in the Falcon’s first three games, and he enters this one with 891 passing yards paired with a solid 10:4 TD to INT ratio. Falcons’ leading rusher Andrew Clair struggled last week, rushing for only 37 yards on 16 carries. The sophomore running back is only averaging 3.5 yards per carry, and he has tallied 284 receiving yards on the year. Bowling Green’s leading receiver Quintin Morris added another 53 receiving yards last week, and he is now up to 266 receiving yards this season. The Falcons have received minimal production from their running game, and they have scored 24 or fewer points in three out of their last four games.

The Bowling Green defense held Miami Ohio to only 408 total yards last week which is an improvement on their season average of 493 yards against. Their rush defense has struggled in all four games, and they will be challenged by a potent Yellow Jackets running game this week. The Falcons are currently averaging 25.8 points per game, ranking them 91st overall. Bowling Green’s poor defense is conceding an average of 44 points, placing them down at 129th in the country.

Yellow Jackets Falls to Clemson, Remain Winless

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets head into this inter-conference matchup riding a three-game losing streak which included a 49-21 home loss to #3 Clemson last week. TaQuon Marshall only attempted six passes against Clemson, and he was only able to manage 47 rushing yards on 25 carries. The senior QB hasn’t fared well in the air, posting 382 passing yards with a 2:4 TD to INT ratio, however, the dual-threat QB has collected a team-leading 340 rushing yards. Jordan Mason was able to register 30 rushing yards on four carries against Clemson. The freshman RB is off to a stellar start to his collegiate career, notching 304 rushing yards in four games. Clinton Lynch is Georgia Tech’s only player with over 100 receiving yards, and he has tallied 168 receiving yards in four games. The Yellow Jackets offense has struggled in two straight games which included a 24-19 road loss to Pittsburgh in week two.

The Georgia Tech defense had no answer for Clemson’s potent offense last week, surrendering 480 total yards. They feature a strong pass defense, while their rush defense has been below average, ranking down at 80th in the country. The Yellow Jackets are currently averaging 29.8 points per game, placing them 70th overall. They are conceding an average of 30.5 points, pegging them 94th in the country.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking Georgia Tech in this one. This is an ideal matchup for the Yellow Jackets against a poor Bowling Green defense. The Falcons rush defense is struggling in a big way, squandering an average of 333 rushing yards per game, placing them down at 130th in the country, and they are up against a tremendous running game. The Yellow Jackets rely on their running game to generate a significant portion of their offense, and they rank third in the nation with an average of 331 rushing yards per game, so I expect a big game on the ground. Furthermore, Bowling Green leans on their passing game heavily, and they will have to solve a solid Georgia Tech secondary that has held their opposition to an average of only 175 passing yards per game.

Prediction: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -27.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The under is a solid play in this contest. While I expect a solid afternoon offensively from Georgia Tech, the same can’t be said about Bowling Green. They only scored 23 points at home to Miami Ohio last week, and the Yellow Jackets are a better defensive team than Miami Ohio, plus the under is 4-0 in their last four road games against a team with a losing home record. Bowling Green owns a mediocre passing offense that ranks down at 65th overall, and their running game has struggled as well, ranking down at 125th in the country. The under is 9-3-1 in the Yellow Jackets’ last 13 September games, and their defense should allow the under to covert in this one.

Prediction: Under 65

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

I am taking the over on the Yellow Jackets team total. The Falcons defense has been one of the worst in the country this season as they are allowing an average of 44 points per game, and they have surrendered at least 35 points in all three games. Georgia Tech is averaging a terrific 433 yards per game, and they should put up big points in this one.

Prediction: Georgia Tech Team Total: Over

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

I am staying with Georgia Tech on the halftime line. I expect the Yellow Jackets to be in control from start to finish in this contest. Bowling Green has struggled defensively in the first half this season, allowing an average of 19 points in the first half, ranking them down at 95th in the country. Also, Bowling Green surrendered 37 points in the first half against Oregon in their lone road game this season.

Prediction: Georgia Tech -18

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

I am leaning towards the over on the halftime total. Georgia Tech should be able to take control early on their home field against a weak Bowling Green defense. In addition, the Falcons best chance to score points will likely occur in the first half as Georgia Tech has struggled defensively in the opening half, allowing an average of 17.5 points.

Prediction: Over 36

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

I am taking the first score of the game to come in the form of a Georgia Tech touchdown. Bowling Green is having trouble scoring in the first quarter, averaging only 4.3 points in the opening quarter this season, and they have been outscored in the opening quarter by a wide 21-0 margin in their last two games.

Prediction: First Score of Game: Georgia Tech Touchdown -125

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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