College Football action on Saturday evening and we will see the 7th ranked Stanford Cardinal take on the 8th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish. This contest will take place at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Indiana. The Cardinal enter this game off a 38-31 road win over Oregon in OT, while the Irish are off a 56-27 road win over Wake Forest. Stanford won last year’s game at home by a score of 38-20.
Stanford Pulls Improbable Comeback vs Ducks
The Stanford Cardinal really escaped Autzen Stadium with a win on Saturday night. They trailed the game 24-7 in the third and the Ducks were on the one-yard line about scored and make it 31-7. That’s when disaster struck for the feathery ones as they fumbled twice with the 2nd one being returned 80 yards for a score. Then they trailed 31-28 with the Ducks, while trying to run out the clock when Oregon fumbled again, grabbed that turnover and used it to tie the score and send it to OT, where the Cardinal won it. Stanford was outgained 524-398 in the game, but all that matters to them was that they won the game. Quarterback KJ Costello had a very solid outing as he hit 19/26 passes for 327 yards with three TDs and no INTs. he could have a decent game in this one as the Irish have been below average against the pass so far. Stanford is 47th in the nation in passing at 264 ypg.
The running game has struggled this year, which is surprising as they have Bryce Love toting the ball. He had 89 yards and a TD against the Ducks, but still, has run for just 254 yards and two TDs on the year. He had 2118 yards rushing last year with 19 TDs. The Cardinal are just 120th in the nation in rushing and will be facing a top 40 run defense in this one. The defense is still the staple of this team and while they are 56th in the nation in yards allowed and 84th against the pass, they are 12th in the nation in points allowed, giving up just 13.5 ypg. The Irish are just 71st in passing, so they pass defense could improve in this one. The Cardinal are 38th against the run and will face a very average ground attack in this one.
Irish Throw The “Book” At Demon Deacons
Ian Book, that is. The Notre Dame offense was expected to be one of the better in the nation this year as they had a solid running game, a strong receiving corps, and Brandon Wimbush. Put checkmarks by the first two, but Wimbush has struggled in the early going. The Irish then decided to go with Ian Book in their road game against Wake Forest this past week and all he did was lead them to a 56-27 win. The offense finally looked like it was supposed and he has earned himself another start over Wimbush this week. Book threw for 325 yards and two TDs without an INT in the win against the Deacons. He also ran for 43 yards and three scores. He will now take aim at a Stanford defense that has not been great against the pass. Notre Dame is 71st in passing and 66th in total offense at 416.5 ypg.
The ground game also had a good showing as they ran for 241 yards in the win, with Jafar Armstrong leading the way as he had 98 yards and two TDs. They are 60th in the nation in rushing, but the Cardinal are always tough against the run. The Notre Dame defense has been rather average overall, but they have allowed 19.2 ppg on the year, which is 33rd in the land. Their strength has been their run defense, but still, it ranks just 63rd in the nation. They will need a bit more from it in this one as the Cardinal will look to get Bryce Love going in this one. The Cardinal is just 120th in the nation in Rushing, but Love ran for 125 yards on the Irish in last year’s game, which Stanford won 38-20. Notre Dame allowed 398 yards, including 259 yards on the ground to Wake Forest last week.
Notre Dame is:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points
- The Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a winning record
- The Under is 16-5 in their last 21 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game
- 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win
- The Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
- The Under is 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Stanford is off a huge win against the Ducks and that gives them some momentum as they head to this game. Still, the Notre Dame offense looked so much better with Ian Book running the show and they have revenge on their minds after losing 38-20 last year at Stanford. Notre Dame is an excellent home team and they have some momentum of their own after a 56-27 pasting of Wake Forest last week. Oregon gave that game away to the Ducks last week and Notre Dame will not do that here as Book does take care of the ball. The dog has played well in this series, but I see the Irish winning by at least a TD in this one.
Prediction: Notre Dame -4.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The Irish finally got their offense going last week, but it will not put up 56 or even 40 points on this defense. The Cardinal have not looked great on offense so far, especially their running game. They will look to get it going in this one and that will eat clock. The Under is 7-1 the last eight games in this series overall and the last three meeting between these teams here in South Bend have produced 33, 31 and 27 points. That compares to the 47, 74 and 58 points the teams have combined for in the last three meetings at Stanford. That’s right folks, we are going Under the total in this clash of Top 10 foes.
Full-Game Prop Bet
Both offenses can be explosive, especially with Byrce Love toting the ball for the Cardinal and Ian Book throwing the ball for the Irish. Still, these defenses are sound and are not prone to give up the big play. I like the Under in this prop.
Prediction: Longest TD Under 50.5 (-115)
Half-Time Side Pick
The Irish looked like a completely different offensive team with Ian Book at the helm and they should be able st score some on a Stanford defense that struggled last week in Oregon. The Irish also want some revenge for last year’s pasting at the hands of the Cardinal and that should have them very focused from the start. look for Notre Dat to have at least a seven-point lead at the break.
Prediction: Notre Dame -3
Half-Time Total Bet
The last three in this series at Stanford have all been high-scoring, but the last three games between these teams here in South Bend have averaged just 30.3 ppg. this is a huge game for both teams and I look for the defenses to have a good showing early on. 14-7 ND at the break.
Prediction: Under 26.5
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I kinda gave this away in an earlier prop. I see a very good Notre Dame defense holding the cardinal to just seven points in the first half. The Cardinal have averaged 11.8 ppg in the first half, but the Irish have allowed just 8.0 ppg over the first 30 minutes.
Prediction: Stanford Team Total Under 11 (First Half)