Upcoming Free Picks

UL Lafayette vs. Alabama,
9-29-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#173 UL Lafayette
Ragin Cajuns
#174 Alabama
Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

1 - 2

1-2
ATS
1-1
O/U
28
PPG
34
OPPG

Alabama Crimson Tide

4 - 0

3-1
ATS
3-1
O/U
53
PPG
12
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAF.

It’s a non-conference matchup when a member of the Sun Belt has to make the trip to take on a SEC powerhouse in the Yellowhammer State. The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns are on the road as they make the trip to face the #1 Alabama Crimson Tide Saturday afternoon. Louisiana dropped their second straight as they fell 30-28 at home to Coastal Carolina last Saturday. Alabama rolled to a 45-23 win over #22 Texas A&M at home in their last contest last Saturday. The Crimson Tide has won all five previous meetings between the schools, including a 25-6 win on the road in the last meeting on October 6, 1990.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Hoping for Massive Upset

Louisiana dropped their second straight as they were defeated at home by Coastal Carolina last week. Now the Ragin’ Cajuns have to go on the road to face the top team in the country to try and spring an upset to even their record. Louisiana led 7-3 after the opening quarter before allowing 20 unanswered points: they drew no closer than two the rest of the way. The Ragin’ Cajuns lost the total offense battle by a 497-381 margin and gave up 25 first downs while picking up 17. Louisiana forced the game’s only turnover but couldn’t get off the field: Coastal Carolina controlled time of possession by a 38:56 to 21:04 margin in the contest.

The Ragin’ Cajuns are 85th in the FBS as they put up an average of 209.7 yards per game through the air and 39th in rushing offense with 206 yards per contest. Louisiana is tied for 77th in the country in scoring offense as they average 29 points per game but they stand 108th in scoring defense as they give up 34.3 points per contest. Andre Nunez is 47 of 65 for 541 yards with four scores against one interception plus six rushing yards and a score. Levi Lewis is nine of 17 passing for 88 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Trey Ragas (35 carries, team-high 294 yards, two TD) and Elijah Mitchell (18 carries, 77 yards, TD) provide a solid 1-2 punch in the ground game. Raymond Calais (13 carries, 186 yards, two TD) has proven to be effective in his limited carries. Keenan Barnes is second on the team with 10 receptions for 143 yards plus a score. Ryheem Malone (team-high 13 receptions, 122 yards) and Ja’Marcus Bradley (nine catches, 125 yards, three TD) are good receivers as well. Kyle Pfau is 12 of 12 on extra points and one of two on field goals with a long of 38 this season.

Alabama Crimson Tide Shoots for 5-0 Start

Alabama remained unbeaten as they took care of business against #22 Texas A&M at home last week. The Crimson Tide now looks to improve to 5-0 on the season as they host an overmatched Sun Belt opponent. Alabama broke open a close game with 10 points in the final 1:09 of the first half to take a 31-13 lead and they weren’t threatened again. The Crimson Tide had a 524-393 edge in total offense, had a narrow 24-22 advantage in first downs and forced two turnovers while not committing any of their own. Alabama outscored Texas A&M 31-9 in the middle two quarters to turn the game into a romp.

The Crimson Tide put up an average of 334.8 yards per game through the air this season (13th in the FBS) and pounded opponents to the tune of 204.8 yards per game (42nd) on the ground. Alabama currently stands 3rd in the FBS in scoring offense by putting up an average of 53.8 points per game this season. The team is tied for 4th in the nation in scoring defense as they limit the opposition to just 12.8 points a contest. Jalen Hurts (22 of 31, 276 yards, four TD, INT, 54 rushing yards) and Tua Tagovailoa (58 of 80, 1033 yards, 12 TD, no INT, 103 rushing yards, two TD) have both seen action at quarterback this season. Running back is an embarrassment of riches as the team has Damien Harris (31 carries, 230 yards, TD) second on the team. Behind him is Najee Harris (38 carries, 246 yards, three TD), Josh Jacobs (23 carries, 88 yards, 3 TD) and Brian Robinson Jr. (22 carries, 90 yards) in the mix. Jerry Jeudy (17 catches, 365 yards, six TD), Henry Ruggs III (11 grabs, 180 yards, three TD), Irv Smith Jr. (13 grabs, 196 yards, two TD) and DeVonta Smith (14 catches, 260 yards, two TD) are going to be looked at more in the passing game. Joseph Bulovas, a freshman, has hit all 19 extra points and four of five field goals with a long of 47. Austin Jones is seven of 10 on extra points and one of two on field goals with a long of 39 this year.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Louisiana has back to back losses and there’s not a lot of optimism to think that they can match up with the powerhouse that Alabama is. The Ragin’ Cajuns couldn’t beat Coastal Carolina at home and now has to face the #1 Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa. Alabama is averaging 539.5 yards per game and 7.9 yards per play so far this year. Facing a Louisiana defense that is getting gashed for 265 yards per game and 5.8 yards per carry is a nice boost for the Crimson Tide. Alabama should roll all over the Ragin’ Cajuns en route to an easy win in this one.

Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide -49

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

We’ve seen Alabama pile up a total of 215 points in their first four games of the season. It’s pretty impressive when 45 points is the low mark of the season for a team but that’s where we stand after four games for the Crimson Tide. Louisiana has been tagged for a total of 103 points in their first three games and 56 of those came at the hands of Mississippi State. Seeing that the Ragin’ Cajuns were torched by the Bulldogs already this season, one has to think that things could get ugly here as well.

The over is 6-0 in the Ragin’ Cajuns last 6 non-conference games, 6-0 in their last six against SEC foes, 4-0 in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 7-1-1 in their last 9 games on grass. Alabama has seen the over go 6-1 in their last seven in September and 4-1 in their last five overall. Look for this one to be a high scoring affair for Alabama, helping push this one over the number.

Prediction: Over 68

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

One can’t have a ton of optimism for Louisiana as they head into Tuscaloosa for this one. The Crimson Tide has battered the opposition so far and in their lone game against a mid-major program, they obliterated Arkansas State 57-7 back in week 2. The score at the half in that game was 40-0 in favor of the Crimson Tide before they eased off the gas pedal in the second half. Expect something similar here as the Crimson Tide rolls over another hapless opponent.

Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide -30.5 (-110)

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

The first half point totals for the Crimson Tide this season are impressive. Alabama has put up 28, 40, 49 and 31 points in the first half of their first four games. That is an average of 37 points in the first half this season. Facing a team like Louisiana, who seemingly is allergic to defense so far this season and who gave up 56 to Mississippi State, should be right up their alley. The Crimson Tide should have another big showing in the first half and help push this over the number at intermission. They could pull it off on their own.

Prediction: Over 42 -110

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Saturday, Oct 20
NCAAF
#323 FAU -2.5
#324 Marshall 59.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#359 Utah State -14
#360 Wyoming 53.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#337 Eastern Michigan -3
#338 Ball State 51.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#395 Charlotte 52.5
#396 Middle Tennessee State -16.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#363 Western Michigan -4
#364 Central Michigan 58
3:00pm
View Pick
#379 Minnesota 56
#380 Nebraska -5
3:30pm
View Pick
#369 Colorado 51
#370 Washington -17.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#347 Houston -11
#348 Navy 61.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#391 Kansas 61.5
#392 Texas Tech -17.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 NC State 53.5
#390 Clemson -17.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#387 SMU 61
#388 Tulane -7
3:30pm
View Pick
#353 UL Lafayette
#354 Appalachian State
3:30pm
View Pick
#373 Wake Forest 60
#374 Florida State -9.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#343 Penn State -14
#344 Indiana 61
3:30pm
View Pick
#341 Akron -5
#342 Kent State 54.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Alabama
#336 Tennessee
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Coastal Carolina 74.5
#328 UMass -3
3:30pm
View Pick
#349 UTEP
#350 Louisiana Tech
3:30pm
View Pick
#397 Memphis 74
#398 Missouri -9.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#357 Georgia Southern -9.5
#358 New Mexico State 53.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#371 California -7.5
#372 Oregon State 59
4:00pm
View Pick
#315 UCF
#316 East Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#377 Texas State 59
#378 UL Monroe -10.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#381 UConn
#382 USF
7:00pm
View Pick
#393 UTSA 45
#394 Southern Miss -16
7:00pm
View Pick
#403 Mississippi St 44.5
#404 LSU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#311 Vanderbilt 48
#312 Kentucky -13
7:30pm
View Pick
#333 Ohio State -12
#334 Purdue 63.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#351 Rice
#352 FIU
7:30pm
View Pick
#361 Fresno State -13
#362 New Mexico 55.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#367 Oregon 66
#368 Washington State -3
7:30pm
View Pick
#385 North Texas 52
#386 UAB -1.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#401 ODU 57.5
#402 Western Kentucky -3.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#405 USC 49
#406 Utah -6.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#365 Arizona 55
#366 UCLA -10
10:30pm
View Pick
#407 San Jose State
#408 San Diego State
10:30pm
View Pick
NBA
#501 Toronto Raptors -1
#502 Washington Wizards 216.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#503 Brooklyn Nets 211
#504 Indiana Pacers -8.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#505 Orlando Magic 217
#506 Philadelphia 76ers -12.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#507 Boston Celtics -8.5
#508 New York Knicks 211.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#509 Charlotte Hornets 216.5
#510 Miami Heat -4
8:05pm
View Pick
#511 Detroit Pistons -4.5
#512 Chicago Bulls 214
8:05pm
View Pick
#513 Minnesota Timberwolves -3
#514 Dallas Mavericks 216
8:35pm
View Pick
#515 Phoenix Suns 223
#516 Denver Nuggets -10
9:05pm
View Pick
#517 San Antonio Spurs 213
#518 Portland Trailblazers -4
10:05pm
View Pick
#519 Houston Rockets -3
#520 Los Angeles Lakers 235
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#961 Los Angeles Dodgers -115
#962 Milwaukee Brewers 8
8:05pm
View Pick
NHL
#7 Buffalo 5.5
#8 Los Angeles -185
3:35pm
View Pick
#5 Arizona 5.5
#6 Winnipeg -200
4:05pm
View Pick
#9 Detroit 6.5
#10 Florida -210
7:05pm
View Pick
#11 Chicago 6
#12 Columbus -155
7:05pm
View Pick
#13 St. Louis 6
#14 Toronto -155
7:05pm
View Pick
#15 Montreal -125
#16 Ottawa 6
7:05pm
View Pick
#17 Tampa Bay -140
#18 Minnesota 6
8:05pm
View Pick
#19 Anaheim 5.5
#20 Vegas -165
10:05pm
View Pick
#21 Nashville -110
#22 Edmonton -110
10:05pm
View Pick
#23 Boston -160
#24 Vancouver 6
10:05pm
View Pick
#25 N.Y. Islanders 6
#26 San Jose -240
10:35pm
View Pick
Sunday, Oct 21
NFL
#451 Tennessee Titans 45.5
#452 Los Angeles Chargers -6.5
9:30am
View Pick
#453 New England Patriots -2.5
#454 Chicago Bears 50
1:00pm
View Pick
#455 Cleveland Browns 49.5
#456 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#457 Detroit Lions -3
#458 Miami Dolphins 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#459 Carolina Panthers 45
#460 Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 Buffalo Bills 44
#462 Indianapolis Colts -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Minnesota Vikings -3.5
#466 New York Jets 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#467 Houston Texans 44
#468 Jacksonville Jaguars -4
1:00pm
View Pick
#469 New Orleans Saints 51
#470 Baltimore Ravens -3
4:05pm
View Pick
#471 Dallas Cowboys -1
#472 Washington Redskins 42
4:25pm
View Pick
#473 Los Angeles Rams -9.5
#474 49ers 52
4:25pm
View Pick
#463 Cincinnati Bengals 58.5
#464 Kansas City Chiefs -6
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#409 Nevada
#410 Hawaii
12:00am
View Pick
Monday, Oct 22
NFL
#475 New York Giants 54
#476 Atlanta Falcons -4
8:15pm
View Pick