Upcoming Free Picks

Ole Miss vs. LSU,
9-29-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#195 Ole Miss
Rebels 58.5
#196 LSU
Tigers -11.5

Saturday, September 29, 2018 at 9:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Ole Miss Rebels

3 - 1

2-2
ATS
2-2
O/U
41
PPG
36
OPPG

LSU Tigers

4 - 0

2-2
ATS
2-2
O/U
30
PPG
14
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAF.

It’s a matchup of SEC West Division foes down in the bayou in week 5 college football action. The Ole Miss Rebels are on the road as they travel to face the #5 LSU Tigers Saturday night. Ole Miss bounced back from their trouncing at the hands of #1 Alabama by beating Kent State 38-17 at home last Saturday. LSU remained unbeaten as they defeated Louisiana Tech 38-21 in a non-conference in-state battle last Saturday. The Tigers lead the all-time series between the teams by a 59-38-4 margin and have taken the last two meetings. That includes a 40-24 win on the road in the last meeting, which took place on October 21, 2017.

Ole Miss Rebels Seek Road Win in Conference Play

Ole Miss had a sluggish start against Kent State but they managed to regroup and come up with the victory in the contest. The Rebels improved to 3-1 on the season but they were trounced in their lone conference contest this season. Ole Miss was tied at seven at the half before taking the lead for good just 1:40 into the second half at 14-7. The Rebels didn’t see the Golden Flashes draw closer than four the rest of the way. Ole Miss rolled up a 651-390 edge in total offense, picked up 26 first downs while allowing 23 and won the time of possession battle 32:08 to 27:52 in the game. The Rebels forced two turnovers while committing one in the contest.

The Rebels have had little problem moving the all last season through the air, averaging 347.5 yards per contest through the air, which is 10th in the FBS. The run game is lacking a bit as the team average 175.2 yards per game, putting them 69th in the nation. Ole Miss is 21st in the nation in scoring offense as they put up 42 points a game and a dismal 112th in scoring defense as they allow 36.8 points per contest. Jordan Ta’amu has hit 80 of 125 throws for 1,359 yards with 10 touchdowns against three picks while adding 24 yards and a score on the ground. Matt Corral is one of two for 31 yards while adding a rushing touchdown. Scottie Phillips is the team’s leading rusher with 62 carries for 467 yards and five scores. Tylan Knight is next in line with 19 carries for 107 yards. In the passing game, A.J. Brown leads the team with 26 grabs for 381 yards and three scores. D.K. Metcalf (18 receptions, 368 yards, four TD) and DaMarkus Lodge (13 catches, 184 yards) help comprise one of the nation’s best receiving units. Luke Logan has hit 19 of 20 extra points and five of six field goals with a long of 39. Patrick Nasiatka and Isaac Way each has converted their lone extra point attempt on the year.

LSU Tigers Trying to Remain Unbeaten

LSU remained unbeaten as they turned away an upset bid by Louisiana Tech at home. The Tigers now look to remain unbeaten as they take on another conference opponent here. LSU led just 24-21 in the fourth quarter before scoring a pair of touchdowns in the final 8:06 of the contest. The Tigers were outgained 417-409 in the game while picking up a 25-21 edge in first downs. LSU held a 32:14 to 27:46 edge in time of possession and forced two turnovers in the game while committing only one. The Bayou Bengals are going to have to be better offensively in order to maintain their standing in the top five.

The Tigers are 106th in the FBS in passing offense with 182.8 yards per contest while ranking 74th in rushing with 169.8 yards per game on the ground. LSU is tied for 65th in the nation in scoring offense as they put up 31 points per contest and 15th as they allow 14.8 points per game. Joe Burrow is 52 of 106 passing for 731 yards with three touchdown passes while adding 58 yards and a score on the ground. Zach Von Rosenberg misfired on his lone pass attempt. Nick Brosette leads the team with 83 carries for 409 yards plus five scores. Clyde Edwards-Helaire contributes 46 carries for 208 yards plus four scores. Justin Jefferson leads the team with 13 receptions for 195 yards this season. Dee Anderson chips in 10 grabs for 141 yards while Stephen Sullivan has six catches for 93 yards plus a score. Cole Tracy has hit all 13 extra point attempts and nine of 10 field goal attempts with a long of 54.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

LSU has shown a ton of grit on the defensive side of the ball and that’s a major reason that they are undefeated. The Tigers have held opposing run games to 91.3 yards per game and 2.6 yards per carry so far this season. LSU has forced nine turnovers and if they can keep Ole Miss one dimensional, it works in their favor. The Rebels have been singed defensively this season, giving up better than 502 yards per game so far. The Tigers should take advantage of the soft defense and get the victory at home here.

Prediction: LSU Tigers -10

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

We saw Ole Miss’s conference opener go about as poorly as one could draw up as they were trounced 62-7 at home by #1 Alabama. Take note that the contest took place in Oxford as opposed to Tuscaloosa. The Rebels now have to go on the road and take on a LSU team that already owns a neutral site win over Miami and a road win over Auburn. Both of those teams were ranked in the top 10 at the time. Can the Tigers continue their resurgence even with a middling offensive attack?

The under is 4-1 in the Rebels’ last 5 games on grass and 40-18-1 in their last 59 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. LSU has seen the under go 4-0 in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 5-1 in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and 21-8-1 in their last 30 conference games. This one likely falls under the total as LSU’s defense carries the day once again in this one.

Prediction: Under 60.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

LSU had their problems offensively even last week against Louisiana Tech. The Tigers set a season high in points with 38 but they needed two touchdowns in the final eight plus minutes to get there after Louisiana Tech drew within three points early in the fourth quarter. Ole Miss was destroyed by Alabama, giving up 49 first half points en route to their 62-7 shellacking but they’ve been okay otherwise. The Rebels aren’t facing an explosive offense here, which should work in their favor as far as keeping the score down. The Tigers end up under the number here unless they can get something going in the passing game.

Prediction: LSU Tigers Under 35.5 -120

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

Ole Miss has gotten off to slow starts in each of their last two games. After scoring on the first play from scrimmage against Alabama, the Rebels did nothing in the rest of the first half against the Crimson Tide to trail 49-7. Against Kent State, the Rebels were tied at seven at the half against a team that they should have dusted early. Those kinds of starts don’t bode well against a stingy LSU defense that makes teams work for every yard, much less points. The Tigers should keep Ole Miss in check early and take the edge at the half.

Prediction: LSU Tigers -6.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

As we just discussed, Ole Miss has had problems in the first half in their last two contests. The Rebels did nothing against Alabama: against Kent State, they moved the ball but came up empty repeatedly in the opening half before things suddenly clicked after intermission. LSU is a methodical team that will try to grind you down with the run to set up a short passing game. You’re not expecting Burrow to go deep in this one to hit big plays. This one should be a struggle early on and that keeps it under the total at the half.

Prediction: Under 31 -110

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

We know that Ole Miss can score in a hurry as evidenced by their quick strike against the Crimson Tide. Unfortunately for the Rebels, that proved to be the highlight of the night in that game. LSU isn’t prone to putting points up in a hurry unless it’s set up by a turnover. The Tigers will try to wear down Ole Miss defensively to set things up for the later stages of the contest. The Rebels will attempt to get a quick score but I think that the defenses win out, keeping this one scoreless as the clock winds down toward the nine minute mark of the opening quarter.

Prediction: No to Will Either Team Score in the First 5 1/2 Minutes of the Game -115

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Oct 17
NBA
#701 Memphis Grizzlies 209
#702 Indiana Pacers -7
7:05pm
View Pick
#703 Milwaukee Bucks -3
#704 Charlotte Hornets 217
7:05pm
View Pick
#705 Miami Heat -2.5
#706 Orlando Magic 210.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#707 Brooklyn Nets 212
#708 Detroit Pistons -5.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#709 Atlanta Hawks 213.5
#710 New York Knicks -3
7:35pm
View Pick
#711 Cleveland Cavaliers 214
#712 Toronto Raptors -13
7:35pm
View Pick
#713 New Orleans Pelicans 229.5
#714 Houston Rockets -8
8:05pm
View Pick
#715 Minnesota Timberwolves 210.5
#716 San Antonio Spurs -2
8:35pm
View Pick
#717 Utah Jazz -8.5
#718 Sacramento Kings 208
10:05pm
View Pick
#719 Dallas Mavericks 215
#720 Phoenix Suns -1
10:35pm
View Pick
#721 Denver Nuggets -1.5
#722 Los Angeles Clippers 227
10:35pm
View Pick
MLB
#911 Milwaukee Brewers 7
#912 Los Angeles Dodgers -170
5:05pm
View Pick
#913 Boston Red Sox 8.5
#914 Houston Astros -145
8:35pm
View Pick
NHL
#51 N.Y. Rangers 6
#52 Washington -260
7:05pm
View Pick
#53 St. Louis -110
#54 Montreal -110
7:05pm
View Pick
#55 Boston -110
#56 Calgary -110
9:35pm
View Pick
#57 N.Y. Islanders 6
#58 Anaheim -155
10:05pm
View Pick
Thursday, Oct 18
NFL
#301 Denver Broncos -1
#302 Arizona Cardinals 41
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#303 Georgia State 54
#304 Arkansas State -14.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#305 Stanford -2.5
#306 Arizona State 53.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Boston
#14 Edmonton
9:05pm
View Pick
Friday, Oct 19
NCAAF
#307 Colorado State
#308 Boise State
9:00pm
View Pick
#309 Air Force -11
#310 UNLV 54.5
10:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Oct 20
NCAAF
#313 Cincinnati 48.5
#314 Temple -3.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#319 Maryland 52.5
#320 Iowa -10
12:00pm
View Pick
#325 Northwestern -20
#326 Rutgers 49
12:00pm
View Pick
#329 Miami - OH 46.5
#330 Army -8
12:00pm
View Pick
#331 Michigan -7
#332 Michigan State 45.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#339 Buffalo -1.5
#340 Toledo 67
12:00pm
View Pick
#345 Illinois
#346 Wisconsin
12:00pm
View Pick
#355 Tulsa 55
#356 Arkansas -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#383 Oklahoma -8
#384 TCU 61
12:00pm
View Pick
#399 Auburn -3.5
#400 Ole Miss 64
12:00pm
View Pick
#317 North Carolina 64
#318 Syracuse -9.5
12:20pm
View Pick
#321 Virginia 45.5
#322 Duke -7.5
12:30pm
View Pick
#375 Bowling Green 69.5
#376 Ohio U -16.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#323 FAU -3
#324 Marshall 59.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#359 Utah State -15
#360 Wyoming 53.5
2:30pm
View Pick
#337 Eastern Michigan -3
#338 Ball State 51.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#363 Western Michigan -4
#364 Central Michigan 58
3:00pm
View Pick
#395 Charlotte 52.5
#396 Middle Tennessee State -17.5
3:00pm
View Pick
#369 Colorado 51
#370 Washington -15
3:30pm
View Pick
#347 Houston -12.5
#348 Navy 61.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#391 Kansas 61.5
#392 Texas Tech -20
3:30pm
View Pick
#389 NC State 53.5
#390 Clemson -17
3:30pm
View Pick
#387 SMU 61
#388 Tulane -7
3:30pm
View Pick
#379 Minnesota 56
#380 Nebraska -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#373 Wake Forest 60
#374 Florida State -10.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#353 UL Lafayette
#354 Appalachian State
3:30pm
View Pick
#349 UTEP
#350 Louisiana Tech
3:30pm
View Pick
#343 Penn State -14.5
#344 Indiana 61
3:30pm
View Pick
#341 Akron -4.5
#342 Kent State 54.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#335 Alabama
#336 Tennessee
3:30pm
View Pick
#327 Coastal Carolina 74.5
#328 UMass -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#357 Georgia Southern -12
#358 New Mexico State 53.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#371 California -6.5
#372 Oregon State 59
4:00pm
View Pick
#397 Memphis 74
#398 Missouri -10
4:00pm
View Pick
#403 Mississippi St 44.5
#404 LSU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#393 UTSA 45
#394 Southern Miss -17.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#381 UConn
#382 USF
7:00pm
View Pick
#377 Texas State 59
#378 UL Monroe -10
7:00pm
View Pick
#315 UCF
#316 East Carolina
7:00pm
View Pick
#311 Vanderbilt 48
#312 Kentucky -11
7:30pm
View Pick
#333 Ohio State -13
#334 Purdue 63.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#351 Rice
#352 FIU
7:30pm
View Pick
#361 Fresno State -13.5
#362 New Mexico 55.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#367 Oregon 66
#368 Washington State -3
7:30pm
View Pick
#385 North Texas -1
#386 UAB 52
7:30pm
View Pick
#401 ODU 57.5
#402 Western Kentucky -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#405 USC 49
#406 Utah -7
8:00pm
View Pick
#365 Arizona 55
#366 UCLA -8
10:30pm
View Pick
#407 San Jose State
#408 San Diego State
10:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Oct 21
NFL
#451 Tennessee Titans 45.5
#452 Los Angeles Chargers -6.5
9:30am
View Pick
#453 New England Patriots -3
#454 Chicago Bears 50
1:00pm
View Pick
#455 Cleveland Browns 49.5
#456 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3
1:00pm
View Pick
#457 Detroit Lions -2.5
#458 Miami Dolphins 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#459 Carolina Panthers 45
#460 Philadelphia Eagles -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#461 Buffalo Bills 44
#462 Indianapolis Colts -7.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#465 Minnesota Vikings -3
#466 New York Jets 47
1:00pm
View Pick
#467 Houston Texans 44
#468 Jacksonville Jaguars -5
1:00pm
View Pick
#469 New Orleans Saints 51
#470 Baltimore Ravens -2.5
4:05pm
View Pick
#471 Dallas Cowboys 42
#472 Washington Redskins -2
4:25pm
View Pick
#473 Los Angeles Rams -9.5
#474 49ers 52
4:25pm
View Pick
#463 Cincinnati Bengals 58.5
#464 Kansas City Chiefs -6
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#409 Nevada
#410 Hawaii
12:00am
View Pick
Monday, Oct 22
NFL
#475 New York Giants 54
#476 Atlanta Falcons -5.5
8:15pm
View Pick