Upcoming Free Picks

Patriots vs. Texans,
01/14/17 - Preview & Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#303 Houston
Texans
#304 New England
Patriots

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 8:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

Houston Texans (9-7; 7-9-1 ATS; 7-10 O/U) vs. New England Patriots (14-2; 13-3 ATS; 6-10 O/U)

AFC Divisional Playoff: Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 8:15pm EST

Line: New England -15.5

Total: 44.5

The New England Patriots will take on the Houston Texans in the AFC Divisional Playoff game Saturday night from Gillette Stadium. The Texans handled the Raiders by a 27-14 score last weekend, and the Patriots won the division with a 14-2 record and enjoyed a bye week last week. The Patriots crushed the Texans 27-0 back in week two. Jacoby Brissett was at quarterback for the Patriots and Brock Osweiler only threw for 196 yards with zero touchdowns and one interception for Houston.

Osweiler Plays well, Texans Defense Shines in Win Over Raiders

The Houston Texans are off to the Divisional Playoffs for the first time since 2012 when they lost 41-28 in New England. The Texans looked good on both sides of the ball in their 27-14 victory over the Raiders last week. Brock Osweiler did not put up big numbers but he played well, throwing for 168 yards with one passing touchdown and one rushing touchdown, and did not throw any interceptions. Osweiler has struggled for a majority of the season, throwing a total of 2957 yards with a 15:16 TD to INT ratio in the regular season. A big key for Houston will be the performance of their running game against the Patriots third-ranked rush defense. Houston was able to rush for 123 yards as a team last week, with Lamar Miller leading the way with 73 yards off 23 carries. Miller is a solid running back, accumulating 1073 rushing yards on the season, and has rushed for 73 or more yards in five straight games. DeAndre Hopkins made his presence felt last week, making five grabs for 67 yards, and he will have to have a solid outing for the Texans to have a chance. Houston is averaging 17.4 points per game, ranking them down at 29th in the NFL.

The Texans defense came up big last week, allowing only 203 total yards and held Oakland to a 2 for 16 mark on third downs. The Houston defense is no doubt the strength of this team and they will need to be at their absolute best to have a chance in this contest. Watch for Jadeveon Clowney (six sacks) and Benardrick McKinney (five sacks) to make their presence felt in this one. Even without J.J. Watt, Houston had played great defense, allowing an average of 20.5 points per game, good for 11th in the NFL.

Patriots Primed for Super Bowl Run

The New England Patriots come into the Divisional Playoff well rested after enjoying a first-round bye. The Patriots are currently riding a seven-game winning streak with all seven victories coming decisively. Tom Brady was simply phenomenal this season, accumulating 3554 passing yards with a 28:2 TD to INT ratio in 12 games played. The Patriots will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski but Danny Amendola is expected to play in this one. Amendola does not put up huge numbers, recording only 243 receiving yards in 12 games, but he has valuable playoff experience. Look for Julian Edelman to see a ton of targets in this contest. Edelman had a great season, racking up a team-leading 1106 receiving yards, and tallied 38 receiving yards against the Texans earlier this season. LeGarrette Blount was able to rush for 105 yards and two touchdowns in the win against Houston in week three. He won’t see as many carries in this one but he can still make a big impact on the game. The powerful running back had a terrific season, rushing fro 1161 yards with 18 touchdowns. New England’s potent offense averaged 27.6 points per game, ranking them third in the NFL.

The Patriots defense was under the radar this season as most do not realize this team finished with the number one ranked defense. They were especially strong when it came to stopping the run which is huge as Houston will run the ball in this one. If they can stop Lamar Miller they should take this one easily. New England allowed an average of only 15.6 points per game, ranking them first in the NFL.

Trends:

The Houston Texans are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 passing yards in their previous game.

The New England Patriots are:

  • No Key Trends

I am taking the points with the Texans in this one. I think Houston’s defense is strong enough to keep this one close. The Texans have a great pass defense, conceding only 201 passing yards per game, ranking them second in the NFL, so I expect them to at least slow down Brady and the Patriots offense. Also, I think Houston’s running game can do enough damage to get on the scoreboard. Miller is a solid running back, and he was able to rush for 80 yards against the Patriots earlier this season. The Patriots will need to outscore the Texans by two touchdowns and a field goal which is asking a lot against this strong defense.

Pick: Houston Texans +15.5

New England does have a strong offense, however the Texans have a great pass defense with a ton of playmakers on defense including Jadeveon Clowney. Houston is only allowing an average of 300 yards per game which is the best mark in the NFL so they will slow down New England, plus the under is 5-1 in the Texans last six road games against a team with a winning home record. Houston does not have a strong offense and will not put up big points against New England’s number one ranked defense. The under is 4-1 in the Texans last five games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game, and I expect them to slow down Blount in this one as well.

Pick: Under 44.5

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Friday, Feb 15
NCAAB
#863 Troy 161
#864 Georgia Southern -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#865 Northern Kentucky 141.5
#866 Wright State -1.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#75 Edmonton 6
#76 Carolina -180
7:35pm
View Pick
#77 New Jersey 6
#78 Minnesota -265
8:35pm
View Pick
#79 Boston -200
#80 Anaheim 5.5
10:05pm
View Pick
Saturday, Feb 16
NCAAB
#601 Oklahoma
#602 TCU
12:00pm
View Pick
#613 Southern Illinois
#614 Indiana State
12:00pm
View Pick
#617 Auburn
#618 Vanderbilt
12:00pm
View Pick
#603 Maryland
#604 Michigan
12:00pm
View Pick
#609 Clemson
#610 Louisville
12:00pm
View Pick
#607 George Washington
#608 Duquesne
12:00pm
View Pick
#605 North Carolina
#606 Wake Forest
12:00pm
View Pick
#641 Fordham
#642 Rhode Island
2:00pm
View Pick
#645 Miami - OH
#646 Western Michigan
2:00pm
View Pick
#649 Rice
#650 FAU
2:00pm
View Pick
#651 Florida
#652 Alabama
2:00pm
View Pick
#647 Middle Tennessee State
#648 Marshall
2:00pm
View Pick
#655 UAB
#656 Western Kentucky
3:00pm
View Pick
#659 Valaparaiso
#660 Drake
3:00pm
View Pick
#663 Missouri
#664 Ole Miss
3:30pm
View Pick
#673 Penn State
#674 Purdue
4:00pm
View Pick
#679 West Virginia
#680 Kansas
4:00pm
View Pick
#677 BYU
#678 Loyola Marymount
4:00pm
View Pick
#675 Texas State
#676 Arkansas - Little Rock
4:00pm
View Pick
#671 Utah State
#672 Air Force
4:00pm
View Pick
#669 VCU
#670 Dayton
4:00pm
View Pick
#667 Iowa State
#668 Kansas State
4:00pm
View Pick
#665 Northeastern
#666 Charleston
4:00pm
View Pick
#611 NC State
#612 Duke
6:00pm
View Pick
#695 Memphis
#696 UCF
6:00pm
View Pick
#697 Temple
#698 USF
6:00pm
View Pick
#699 Illinois - Chicago
#700 Youngstown State
6:00pm
View Pick
#723 Oakland University
#724 Wisconsin-Milwaukee
7:00pm
View Pick
#721 Boise State
#722 San Diego State
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Fresno State
#720 New Mexico
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 IUPUI
#718 Cleveland State
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 William & Mary
#708 Elon
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 Hofstra
#706 UNCW
7:00pm
View Pick
#727 Washington
#728 Washington State
8:00pm
View Pick
#729 USC
#730 California
8:00pm
View Pick
#731 Tennessee
#732 Kentucky
8:00pm
View Pick
#733 Bradley
#734 Illinois State
8:00pm
View Pick
#735 DePaul
#736 Butler
8:00pm
View Pick
#737 Delaware
#738 James Madison
8:00pm
View Pick
#751 UCLA
#752 Stanford
10:00pm
View Pick
#759 Nevada
#760 Wyoming
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Montreal 6
#14 Tampa Bay -210
7:05pm
View Pick
#17 Columbus -120
#18 Chicago 6.5
8:35pm
View Pick