Los Angeles Rams (2-1; 1-2 ATS; 3-0 O/U) vs. Dallas Cowboys (2-1; 2-1 ATS: 1-2 O/U)
NFL Week Four: Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 1:00pm EST
Line: Dallas -7
The Dallas Cowboys will clash with the Los Angeles Rams in an NFC battle Sunday afternoon from AT&T Stadium. The Rams are coming off a huge 41-39 road win over the 49ers last Thursday night, and the Cowboys notched a solid 28-17 road win over the Cardinals on Monday night. Dallas recorded a 34-31 victory against the Rams in the previous meeting back in the 2014 season.
Goff Shines in Thrilling Road Win Over 49ers
The Los Angeles Rams struck early and often in their solid 41-39 road win over the 49ers last Thursday to improve to 2-1. Jared Goff was very sharp, completing 22 of his 28 passes for 292 yards and three touchdowns. The 22-year old quarterback has already shown great improvement over his abysmal 2016 rookie season, recording 817 passing yards with a 5:1 TD to INT ratio in three games. Todd Gurley also had a tremendous performance, accumulating 113 rushing yards on 13 carries with two rushing TD’s, and added five catches for 36 yards. The 23-year old running back has now tallied 241 rushing yards and 140 receiving yards through three games. Gurley struggled to get in a groove last season, however, he if can rebound with a strong season similar to his 2015 rookie season, it will be a huge boost to the Rams offense. Sammy Watkins had his best game in a Rams uniform last week, making six catches for 106 yards and two touchdowns. The 24-year old receiver has now recorded 194 receiving yards through three games. Watkins went down with a concussion and is questionable for this contest. The Rams offense appears to have improved immensely this season under new head coach Sean McVay.
The Rams defense was shaky in the win over the 49ers, allowing 421 total yards which included 308 passing yards. Alex Ogletree led the Rams with nine tackles and leads the Rams with 24 tackles on the season. The Rams defense was also shaky in week two in a 27-20 loss to the Redskins.
Prescott Leads Cowboys to Big Road Win in Arizona
The Dallas Cowboys broke through with 21 points in the second half in their much needed 28-17 road win over the Cardinals on Monday night. Dak Prescott didn’t put up big numbers however he was very efficient, completing 13 of 18 passes for 183 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions, and he also added a rushing touchdown. The 24-year old quarterback quickly rebounded with a strong effort after a rocky week two performance in the loss to Denver, and has now collected 689 passing yards with a 5:2 TD to INT ratio. Ezekiel Elliot was also much better than week two, recording 80 rushing yards on 22 carries. The 22-year old star running back has tallied 192 rushing yards in three games played. Elliot will be eligible to play this week before his six-game suspension is likely to commence in week five. The Cardinals were able to keep Dez Bryant quiet as he made just two grabs for 12 yards going up against Patrick Peterson. Bryant has yet to get going this season, registering only 114 receiving yards on the year. The Cowboys kept pace with the Eagles and Redskins with their week three win will now play their next two at home.
The Dallas defense came up big against the Cardinals, holding them to a 1 for 4 mark in the red zone and silenced the Cardinals running game. DeMarcus Lawrence made another sack and has already tallied 4.5 sacks on the year. The Cowboys defense has now recorded 11 sacks on the season.
The Los Angeles Rams are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Cowboys.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
The Dallas Cowboys are:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win.
- the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the Cowboys and Rams.
I am taking the Cowboys in this contest. The Rams defense has not been sharp, they just surrendered 39 points to a low-scoring 49ers team and conceded 27 points at home to the Redskins in week two. The Rams rush defense is struggling, allowing an average of 139 rushing yards per game, so I expect Ezekiel Elliot to have a big game on the ground. Furthermore, the Cowboys defense rebounded nicely against Arizona on Monday night. This will be the best defense Jared Goff and the Rams offense has faced this season and I can’t seem them doing big damage.
Pick: Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys defense came up big against Cardinals last week and I expect another strong performance from the Dallas defense this week. While the Rams offense has been productive, they have faced some weak defensive squads, plus the under is 6-1 in the Rams last seven games after recording more than 250 passing yards in their previous game. The Cowboys offense should have a solid afternoon, however I expect their defense to play a big role in the under cashing in, plus the under is 4-0 in the Cowboys last four home games against the Rams.