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San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals,
10-1-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#273 San Francisco
49ers
#274 Arizona
Cardinals

Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 4:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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San Francisco 49ers (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U) at Arizona Cardinals (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS, 1-2 O/U)

When and Where: Sunday, Oct. 1, University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Ariz, 4:05pmET

Line:  Arizona -7

Total: 44.5

Last season, Arizona swept the 49ers, beating them by 12 on the road and just 3 at home. (23-20). The Cards are coming off a 28-17 loss at home against Dallas on Monday night. San Francisco lost a 41-39 shootout at home last Thursday night to the LA Rams. So the 49ers have the edge in rest in this NFC West matchup.

Hoyer nearly leads 49ers to win over Rams

Brian Hoyer can still sling the football. You wouldn’t know it in the first two games after he passed for just 292 combined yards against Seattle and Carolina. But both of those have elite defenses and the Rams are well, not great. Hoyer took advantage with 332 passing yards (23-of-37) with two TDs and one pick. He kept the 49ers in the game because the Rams were moving the ball at will. With 17 seconds left in the third quarter, the Rams took a 34-20 lead. But Hoyer led them back with three touchdowns in the fourth quarter. With 2:13 left, the 49ers scored on a Carlos Hyde 1-yard run to cut the lead to 41-39, but they couldn’t convert the two-point conversion. A Robbie Gould missed extra point most likely kept the 49ers from tying the game and sending it to overtime.

Hyde ended with 84 yards on 25 carries with two TDs. Hyde has 314 yards in receiving and rushing on the season. Overall, San Francisco is averaging 295.3 yards per game and 187.7 passing yards per game. The defense is allowing 339 yards per game and 214.7 passing yards per game.

Fitzgerald can’t do it all

Without David Johnson (dislocated wrist) and John Brown (leg), Carson Palmer had to lean on veteran wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald on Monday night. Palmer had a strong game, going 29 of 48 for 325 yards with two TDs and no picks against the Cowboys. But he was sacked six times and appeared to never had time in the pocket in the second half. Arizona jumped out to a 7-0 lead but couldn’t sustain it. Palmer hit Fitzgerald with a 15-yard score to tie the game late in the third quarter. Defensively, the Cardinals did a decent job, holding Dak Prescott to just 174 passing yards. But Prescott threw just 18 passes and completed 13. They also held Ezekiel Elliott to 80 yards, but he seemed to get yards in the second half when the Cowboys needed a big first down.

Arizona could get speedy wide receiver John Brown back who is questionable with a quad injury. The speedy wide receiver has missed two straight games. On the season, Arizona is allowing just 85.7 rushing yards per game, but they are averaging just 59 rushing yards on offense. Without Johnson, the Cards will need to look to the air early and often.

NFL Trends:

San Francisco is:

  • 0-5 ATS last 5 in October.
  • 3-10 ATS last 13 after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

Arizona is:

  • 4-1 ATS last 5 after a DD loss at home.

Arizona should be able to contain Hyde and he’s the key to the 49ers’ offense. The Cards played a pretty good game on Monday night, but they couldn’t finish drives. That won’t matter against the 49ers.

Pick: Arizona

The 49ers have allowed 41 points to the Rams and just 35 to Carolina and Seattle combined. The Cards gave up 35 points to a real quarterback (Matthew Stafford) and just 13 against the Colts in overtime. For the Cards to win, they probably need to put up 30 points and won’t have an issue doing so. Arizona is 7-1 Over last 8 vs. NFC and San Francisco is 12-5 Over last 17 road games.

Over

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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