In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds
49ers vs. Rams Prediction
Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles
Table of Contents
- Introduction & Team Review
- The Running Game
- The Passing Game
- Final Outlook & Prediction
- Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com
- Latest Updates, Injury Reports, & Line Movements
- Insiders' Best Bets
Last Updated: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 2:22pm EDT
A pair of NFC West teams take the field as they continue to battle near the top of the division in the City of Angels. The San Francisco 49ers are on the road as they make the trip down the west coast to face the Los Angeles Rams Sunday afternoon. San Francisco remained unbeaten as they pasted Cleveland 31-3 on Monday Night Football last week in their previous contest. Los Angeles ended up falling short, losing 30-29 on the road to the Seahawks last Thursday in their previous game. The Rams own a 68-67-3 edge in the all-time regular season series and took both meetings last season: they prevailed 39-10 on the road on October 21, 2018 and took a 48-32 victory at home on December 30, 2018.
San Francisco 49ers Review
San Francisco came in off a bye week and dismantled Cleveland on Monday Night Football to remain unbeaten on the season. The 49ers have gotten their defense to step up and make plays this season, which is a major difference from a season ago. San Francisco was dead last in the takeaway/giveaway ratio last season with a -25 mark, forcing only seven turnovers with a measly two interceptions all year. This season, in four games, the 49ers already have recorded 11 takeaways, including seven picks, and stand +3 in that department.
The 49ers used their defense to make life difficult for Baker Mayfield and the Browns. San Francisco bolted to a 14-0 lead less than nine minutes into the game and didn’t let Cleveland closer than 11 after that. The 49ers kept the Browns out of the end zone and dominated all facets of the contest. San Francisco rolled up a 446-180 edge in total offense, picked up 22 first downs while allowing nine and controlled the time of possession by a 37:42 to 22:18 margin in the game. In addition, the 49ers forced four turnovers while not committing any offensively. Things could have been worse but Robbie Gould missed two field goals and had a third blocked.
Los Angeles Rams Review
Los Angeles has to try and regroup as they suffered back to back losses by falling in the final minute against Seattle on the road. The Rams have allowed 85 points in those two games, meaning that there is plenty of room for improvement in that department. Los Angeles had two drives in the final 2:28 to try and get the winning points against the Seahawks: the first ended in an interception and the second culminated in a missed 44-yard field goal by Greg Zuerlein that just drifted to the right of the upright. The Rams have had 10 days to prepare for this one but the question remains whether the defense can make some stops when it matters.
The Rams failed to make the plays on the defensive side of the ball in the fourth quarter and it cost them the game against the Seahawks. Los Angeles allowed Seattle to convert a second and two, a third and one and fourth and goal from the five-yard line on the decisive drive, which put them behind with little time as the Seahawks bled 6:51 off the clock. The Rams owned a 477-429 edge in total offense in the game. However, Los Angeles gave up 25 first downs while picking up 24, lost the time of possession battle 35:18 to 24:42 and turned the ball over twice while forcing only one takeaway. To add insult to injury, Clay Matthews Jr. suffered a broken jaw late in the game and is expected to miss a month.
The Running Game
49ers Running Offense
Los Angeles Rams Running Defense
49ers Running Offense
San Francisco has used a power run game to move the sticks, pile up points and grind the clock on opposing defenses. The 49ers have been extremely effective with the run game, rotating backs and pounding teams into oblivion. San Francisco started the season slowly, running the ball 32 times for 98 yards against Tampa Bay, but has battered the opposition since. The 49ers ran 42 times for 259 yards against Cincinnati in week two, 40 times for 168 yards against Pittsburgh in week 3 and thrashed the Browns for 40 carries for 275 yards on Monday Night Football in week five.
Matt Breida leads the team with 58 carries for 340 yards plus a score this season as one of a three-headed committee for the 49ers. Raheem Mostert contributes 41 carries for 236 yards while Tevin Coleman has 22 carries for 120 yards and a touchdown. Jeff Wilson Jr. (18 carries, 52 yards, four TD) proved to be a solid short yardage back while Coleman was out and provides depth in the backfield. The 49ers have three run plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Breida has two and Mostert has one. San Francisco has moved the chains 38 times via the ground so far this season.
Los Angeles Rams Run Defense
Los Angeles has been fairly effective at stopping the run game of the opposition so far this season. The Rams have faced some talented backs as they've seen Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara and Nick Chubb already this season. Los Angeles gave up 127 yards and a 5.5 yard per carry average, not to mention three scores, on the ground against the Panthers in the opener. In weeks two through four, the Rams didn’t allow more than 95 yards in a game via the ground and held two of those three teams to under three yards per carry. Against Seattle in week five, the Rams allowed 43 carries for 167 yards in the loss.
Safety John Johnson III leads the team with 42 tackles (20 solo) this season. Linebacker Cory Littleton (41 tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery), safeties Eric Weddle (41 tackles) and Taylor Rapp (20 tackles) along with Michael Brockers (21 tackles) are next in line in that category. Clay Matthews leads the team with nine tackles for loss while Aaron Donald (13 tackles) has five and Dante Fowler Jr. (20 tackles) has 4.5 on the year. The Rams have totaled 28 tackles for loss, forced five fumbles and recovered three so far this season.
- 1st in run play percentage (56.62 percent)
- 1st in rushing attempts per game (38.5)
- 1st in rushing yards per game (200)
- 6th in yards per carry (5.2)
- Tied for 1st in rushing TD (eight)
- 3rd in longest rush (83 yards)
- 21st in percentage of run plays against (43.21 percent)
- 23rd in run plays per game against (28)
- 15th in rushing yards allowed per game (106.8)
- 7th in opposing yards per carry (3.8)
- Tied for 18th in rushing TD allowed (five)
- 5th in longest rush allowed (24 yards)
Who has the Edge?
San Francisco isn't one of those teams that pile up a big yardage total on the strength of one or two big runs. Sure, Breida broke an 83-yard scoring run against the Browns last week but the team only has three run plays of at least 20 yards this season. San Francisco is a team that will just pound you into oblivion. The loss of Mike McGlinchey, along with the missing Joe Staley, on the offensive line is troubling but don't overlook that Juszczyk's injury either. With all that said, the Rams haven't bowled anyone over with their defense of late and seeing Seattle sledgehammer them last week gives the 49ers a blueprint that they're more than happy to follow.
Advantage: San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams Running Offense
49ers Running Defense
Los Angeles Rams Running Offense
Los Angeles was highly effective on the ground last season but things haven't been as successful in the opening five weeks of the season in 2019. The Rams saw their rushing attempt total drop week to week in the first four games and, as a result, their rushing totals have dropped as well. After rushing 32 times for 166 yards in the opener against the Panthers, Los Angeles trickled down to 30 carries for 115 yards against New Orleans before and 24 carries for 90 yards against Cleveland. Against Tampa Bay, the run game was non-existent as they ran the ball just 11 times for 28 yards. The Rams managed to get the ground game going a bit more effectively in week five, picking up 82 yards on 18 carries in week five against the Seahawks.
Todd Gurley II leads the Rams on the ground with 64 carries for 270 yards and five scores on the season. Malcolm Brown contributes 26 carries for 114 yards and two touchdowns. The drop-off after that is vast: receiver Robert Woods is next in line with five carries for 43 yards, Brandin Cooks adds three carries for 37 yards while Jared Goff has 13 yards and a score on the ground this season. Los Angeles has moved the chains 27 times via the ground this season and has four runs of at least 20 yards: Gurley II has two of them while Woods and Cooks have the others.
49ers Run Defense
San Francisco has alternated between stifling the run and giving up some healthy yards in their first four games of the season. The 49ers started the season by giving up 26 carries for 121 yards against Tampa Bay before their run game allowed them to make life tough on the opposition. San Francisco limited the Bengals to 19 carries for a paltry 25 yards in week two and held the Steelers to 22 carries for 79 yards in week 3. Coming out of the bye in week five, the 49ers gave up 18 carries for 102 yards though 37 of those yards came on one Nick Chubb carry.
Fred Warner leads the team with 25 tackles (19 solo) plus a forced fumble so far this season. Kwon Alexander (18 tackles), safety Jaquiski Tartt (18 tackles), defensive end DeForest Buckner (18 tackles, two forced fumbles, fumble recovery) and Richard Sherman (15 tackles) are among the team leaders in tackles this season. Nick Bosa (eight tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery) and Arik Armstead (14 tackles, forced fumble) each have 4.5 tackles for loss to lead the team while Buckner is right behind with four on the season. The 49ers have recorded 25 tackles for loss, eight forced fumbles and four fumble recoveries on the year as a team.
- 28th in run play percentage (33.33 percent)
- 22nd in rushing attempts per game (23)
- 22nd in rushing yards per game (96.2)
- 16th in yards per carry (4.2)
- Tied for 1st in rushing TD (eight)
- 24th in longest rush (27 yards)
- 12th in percentage of run plays against (37.44 percent)
- 5th in run plays per game against (21.3)
- 5th in rushing yards allowed per game (81.8)
- 8th in opposing yards per carry (3.8)
- 1st in rushing TD allowed (zero)
- Tied for 12th in longest rush allowed (37 yards)
Who has the Edge?
The Rams have seemingly abandoned the run as they've thrown the ball a staggering 117 times in the last two weeks. Los Angeles saw Gurley sit out Wednesday's practice and he is day to day at this point, which would be a major loss for the team if he can't go. The Rams ran the ball 78 times for 291 yards and three touchdowns in their two wins over the 49ers last season but they've only run the ball a combined 29 times in their last two games. San Francisco has been tough on the ground game because they take the lead and squeeze the life out of teams. Until the Rams commit to the ground game, you have to wonder if they have sold out on it.
(Update (10/11): Gurley is listed as doubtful).
Advantage: San Francisco 49ers
The Passing Game
49ers Passing Offense
vs. Los Angeles Rams Passing Defense
49ers Passing Offense
San Francisco hasn’t had to rely on the passing game as much this season as the run game has done the job beating teams into submission. The 49ers may try to take advantage of the suspect Rams secondary and use that to open up holes for the ground game. San Francisco threw for 177 yards against the Buccaneers in week 1 of the season before racking up 312 yards in week two against Cincinnati. The 49ers threw for 277 yards against the Steelers and then followed that up with 181 yards against the Browns in week five coming out of the bye.
Jimmy Garoppolo has hit 78 of 113 passes for 920 yards with seven touchdown passes against four interceptions on the year. He has been sacked only four times this season, losing 27 yards in the process. Dante Pettis completed his lone pass attempt for 16 yards this season. Tight end George Kittle has reeled in a team-leading 23 passes for 235 yards and a score this season. Deebo Samuel (12 receptions, 150 yards, TD) and Marquise Goodwin (nine grabs, 166 yards, TD) are the next most reliable options in the passing game. San Francisco has 14 plays that have covered at least 20 yards: Goodwin and Samuel each have three while Kittle and Kyle Juszczyk (six receptions, 76 yards) each have two.
Los Angeles Rams Passing Defense
Los Angeles has had their struggles in making plays when the opposition goes to the air this season. The Rams, despite plenty of talent, especially in the secondary, where they have three former Pro Bowlers, have been gouged by opposing quarterbacks and receivers. The numbers aren't particularly galling but the inability to stop the opposition will catch up to them. Los Angeles allowed 239 yards through the air in the opener to Carolina, 203 to the Saints, which was held down by the loss of Drew Brees, and 195 to the Browns. The Rams' defense didn't show up against Tampa Bay as they allowed 385 yards through the air and four touchdowns. Los Angeles had their problems containing the Seahawks in week five as they allowed 268 yards through the air.
Matthews (19 tackles, two forced fumbles) leads the team with six sacks on the season. Fowler Jr. is next in line with two and is the only other player with multiple sacks. Michael Brockers (21 tackles, pass defense, two tackles for loss), Sebastian Joseph-Day (11 tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss) and Aaron Donald (13 tackles, five tackles for loss) each have one sack. Littleton leads the team with six pass defenses while Marcus Peters (eight tackles) and Weddle each have three. Johnson III leads the team with two interceptions while Littleton and Peters (TD) each have one. As a team, the Rams have recorded 11 sacks, 24 pass defenses and four interceptions with one pick six on the year.
- 32nd in pass play percentage (43.38 percent)
- 6th in completion percentage (69.3)
- 22nd in passing yards per game (227.3)
- Tied for 14th in TD passes (seven)
- Tied for 15th in INT thrown (four)
- 4th in net yards per pass attempt (eight)
- 30th in longest pass play (39 yards)
- 25th in passer rating (99.9)
- 12th in pass play percentage faced (56.79 percent)
- 16th in passing yards per game allowed (243.2)
- 8th in completion percentage allowed (62.4)
- Tied for 21st in TD passes allowed (nine)
- Tied for 11th in INT (four)
- Tied for 20th in sacks (11)
- 19th in passer rating allowed (92.9)
- 18th in net yards per pass attempt (seven)
Who has the Edge?
The 49ers haven't had to throw the ball much as the run game has simply been that dominant for the team this season. San Francisco has overcome some early miscues by Garoppolo and he's been better in the last couple of games. Los Angeles has struggled against the pass despite having a pair of All-Pro corners in Peters and Aqib Talib along with a Pro Bowl safety in Weddle. The loss of Matthews Jr. is a big blow as he was the team's most effective edge rusher. Aaron Donald, after his big season a year ago, has been relatively quiet this season. He has to get it going to make life tough for the opposing passing game. This one is a wash mainly due to the 49ers not having to show much with the passing game this season: there's a lot of questions with few answers.
Update (10/11): Talib is now listed as out due to a ribs injury suffered in a Week 5 loss to Seattle.
Los Angeles Rams Passing Offense
49ers Passing Defense
Los Angeles Rams Passing Offense
While the run game has gone south for the Rams since the opener, the passing game has trended upwards. Of course, a chunk of the yardage that was put up last week against Tampa Bay was empty yardage with little impact on the end result of the contest. Los Angeles threw for 186 yards in the opener before things started to improve. The Rams improved to 283 yards against the Saints, 268 yards against the Browns and then went for 517 yards against the Buccaneers. Of course, you're hoping that your stat line isn't going to show 68 pass attempts like Los Angeles had in week four. Los Angeles still rode the passing game in week 5 against the Seahawks as they threw for 395 yards in the one-point loss while throwing 49 passes.
Jared Goff has completed 140 of 222 passes for 1,649 yards with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions on the year. He has been sacked eight times, losing 62 yards in the process. Cooper Kupp leads the team with 41 receptions for 505 yards and four scores on the year. Robert Woods (31 receptions, 355 yards) and Brandin Cooks (20 catches, 325 yards, TD) gives the Rams a trio of talented receivers. Tight ends Gerald Everett (18 grabs, 223 yards, TD) and Tyler Higbee (13 catches, 129 yards, TD) along with Gurley II (14 catches, 68 yards) are other targets. The Rams have 22 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Kupp leads the way with nine such plays while Cooks has five and Everett has four.
49ers Passing Defense
San Francisco’s pass defense has gotten a fair amount of work, mainly because they’ve built up comfortable leads that have forced the opposition to the air. The 49ers have been solid against the pass, giving up just one 300 yard passing game this season. San Francisco held Tampa Bay to 194 yards through the air in the opener and then gave up 311 yards to Cincinnati in week two. It’s important to note that the Bengals’ number was inflated by a 66-yard touchdown pass in the final minute. Against Pittsburgh in week three, the 49ers allowed only 174 yards through the air and they completely flummoxed Baker Mayfield in week five: they limited the Browns’ quarterback to just nine of 24 passes for 120 yards.
Bosa and Buckner each have three sacks to lead the way for San Francisco this season. Armstead and Dee Ford (three tackles, two tackles for loss, forced fumble) each have two. Richard Sherman leads the team with six pass defenses while Ahkello Witherspoon (nine tackles, tackle for loss) has five and Alexander has four. Sherman (TD) and K’Waun Williams (12 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 0.5 tackles for loss, two pass defenses) each have two picks to share the team lead. Alexander, Mark Nzeocha (three tackles, pass defense) and Witherspoon (TD) each have one interception this season. As a team, San Francisco has picked up 13 sacks, 28 pass defenses and seven interceptions with two picks returned for scores this season.
- 5th in pass play percentage (66.67 percent)
- 21st in completion percentage (63.1)
- 2nd in passing yards per game (317.4)
- Tied for 14th in TD passes (seven)
- Tied for 27th in INT thrown (seven)
- 13th in net yards per pass attempt (7.1)
- Tied for 11th in longest pass play (66 yards)
- 25th in passer rating (83)
- 21st in pass play percentage faced (62.56 percent)
- 2nd in passing yards per game allowed (175.8)
- 1st in completion percentage allowed (53.5)
- Tied for 7th in TD passes allowed (five)
- Tied for 2nd in INT (seven)
- Tied for 12th in sacks (13)
- 2nd in passer rating allowed (62.8)
- 4th in net yards per pass attempt (5.4)
Who has the Edge?
The Rams have chucked the ball all over the field lately and while they have had success moving the ball through the air, to the tune of 912 yards in the last two weeks, turnovers have plagued them. Goff has tossed seven interceptions already and this 49ers defense isn't going to just give you free rein to slice them up through the air. San Francisco already has seven picks in four games after having two all of last season. The 49ers have a pass rush as Bosa and Ford provide plenty of pressure from the outside. It will be a challenge to try and cover all the options the Rams have and that is what gives Los Angeles a slight advantage in this one.
Advantage: Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco enters this contest 2nd in the league in scoring offense as they put up 31.8 points per game this season. The 49ers are 4th in the league in total offense with 427.2 yards per contest and stand 4th in yards per play with an average of 6.3 yards a snap. San Francisco is 4th in scoring defense as they allow 14.3 points per game. On the season, the team is 2nd in total defense by allowing 257.5 yards per game and 4th in yards per play allowed as they give up 4.5 yards per play on average. San Francisco is tied for 7th in the league in giveaway/takeaway with a +3 margin this season.
The 49ers are only 24th in the league in scoring touchdowns in the red zone as they cash in only 47.06 percent of their chances. Defensively, San Francisco is sharp as they are 1st in the league in red zone defense by allowing a measly 20 percent of drives to reach the red zone to end in touchdowns. The 49ers are above average in third down conversions, ranking 10th by converting 44.9 percent of their third-down situations. San Francisco’s defense is solid in those situations, ranking 8th as they hold the opposition to a 34.62 percent success on their third downs. The 49ers are 2nd in the league in time of possession by holding the ball 56.83 percent of the time this season.
Robbie Gould has hit all 12 extra point attempts but is just seven of 12 on field goal attempts with a long of 47 this season. Mitch Wishnowsky has averaged 44.7 yards per punt (43.5-yard net average) on 11 punts this season. He has dropped five punts inside the opposing 20-yard line with only one touchback on the year. Richie James Jr. has averaged 16.3 yards per kick return on four runbacks: he has averaged 11.1 yards per punt return on eight chances this season with a long of 32.
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles enters week six, 6th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 29.2 points per game this season. The Rams are 5th in the league in total offense with 413.6 yards per contest and stand 9th in yards per play with an average of six yards a snap. Los Angeles is 26th in scoring defense as they allow 26.8 points per game. On the season, the team is 13th in total defense by allowing 350 yards per game and 10th in yards per play allowed as they give up 5.4 yards per play on average. Los Angeles is tied for 24th in the league in giveaway/takeaway with a -4 margin this season.
The Rams are a solid 8th in the league in scoring touchdowns in the red zone as they cash in 63.64 percent of their chances. Defensively, Los Angeles is below average as they are 25th in red zone defense by allowing 66.67 percent of drives to reach the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Rams are slightly above average in third down conversions, ranking 14th by converting 40.91 percent of their third-down situations. Los Angeles’s defense is struggling, ranking 21st in those situations as they hold the opposition to a 41.27 percent success on their third downs. The Rams are 25th in the league in time of possession by holding the ball 48.03 percent of the time this season.
Greg Zuerlein has hit all 14 extra-point tries and 12 of 15 field goal attempts with a long of 58 this season. Johnny Hekker is an upper-echelon punter: he averages 47.4 yards per kick (39.4 net) on his 13 punts this season. He has dropped three punts inside the 20 while not recording a touchback. He did have one punt blocked earlier this season. JoJo Natson has one kick return for 22 yards and has averaged 9.6 yards on eight punt returns with a long of 32 on the season.
Who has the Edge?
San Francisco's defense has been extremely good at shutting down the opposing offensive attack this season. The 49ers have been aggressive at forcing turnovers and they've been good at limiting opposing teams in the red zone. Los Angeles has the upper hand when it comes to finishing drives in the red zone and putting touchdowns on the board. Both kickers have had their struggles this season: while Zuerlein has hit all three of his kicks from outside 50 yards, he is three of six from 40 to 49 yards, including that last-second miss against the Seahawks. There are pluses and minuses on both sides, making this one a wash.
San Francisco has not been intimidated in their first four games this season as their run game has made life miserable for opposing defenses. Expect a heavy dose of the three-headed monster of Breida, Coleman and Mostert in this one as they batter the Rams' front seven in order to set up the passing game. Los Angeles has to find more of a balance offensively than we've seen in the last couple weeks as they've been extremely pass happy. Without the run game, it's going to be tough, especially with the 49ers recording seven picks already this season, while Goff has tossed seven of his own this season. After seeing the Rams give up a ton of points the last couple of weeks, it might be a challenge here to slow San Francisco, especially with the damage they do on the ground.
The 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 6 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the points and the 49ers in this contest.
Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements
The 49ers have some holes on their offensive line for the short term as they deal with injuries. Joe Staley and Mike McGlinchey are both out, which means Justin Skule and Daniel Brunskill will man the tackle spots. Juszczyk is out four to six weeks with a knee injury though the fullback is mainly used as a pass catcher. Sub-package cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon is out of the mix as well while star tight end George Kittle is questionable with a groin injury: he's an important factor here for the 49ers.
For the Rams, Matthews is out with a broken jaw he suffered against Seattle: he's expected to miss four to six weeks. In addition, Aqib Talib is out as he has a rib injury: that pushes Troy Hill or Nickell Robey-Coleman into the starting lineup. On the other side of the ball, Todd Gurley II is doubtful with a quad issue: that means that Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson likely see a heavier workload in this one.
The weather is expected to be a non-factor in this one as the forecast projects a beautiful day in the City of Angels. The game-time temperature is expected to be in the high-70s for this contest with sunny skies. Winds are expected to come from the southwest at less than five miles per hour, which means that the passing game should be clicking. There is almost no chance of precipitation in the forecast for this game, making it a great day to catch a game.
When the initial lines opened for this contest, Los Angeles was a five-point favorite with the over/under set at 48.5 points. As of Saturday afternoon, the line has shifted slightly to Los Angeles dropping to a three-point favorite in the contest. The over/under has ticked upward slightly as it has moved to 50.5 points in this contest. Currently, the moneyline shows Los Angeles as a solid -160 to -170 favorite while the 49ers can be found as a +140 to +150 underdog depending on the sportsbook. As of this writing, 58 percent of the bets are backing the Rams -3 points. When it comes to the moneyline, a solid majority, 67 percent of the wagers, are backing the 49ers as the road team. Meanwhile, 66 percent of bets are projecting this one to go over the total.
The loss of Gurley II is going to impact the Rams, though they haven't had a ton of success on the ground this season as it is. San Francisco is going to miss their bookend tackles on the offensive line but more importantly, the status of Kittle is going to be one that is key to monitor. He is the team's biggest impact player in the passing game and if he's limited, it could test Garoppolo's resolve. Still, the Rams have to show that they can strike a balance in the ground game: give the upper hand to the 49ers still with the points.
Prediction: San Francisco 49ers +3Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com
Additional Insiders' Best Bets
Full-game Total Bet
San Francisco has been solid at putting points on the board so far this season. The 49ers have scored at least 24 points in every game this season and have posted at least 31 points in three of their four games. Los Angeles has yet to really be stopped offensively as they have at least 20 points in every game this season: they have at least 27 points in four of their five games. The Rams have put up 69 points in their last two games, which are both losses, as they've given up 85 points in that span. That's a ton of points to see in a two-week span: can Los Angeles find a way to make plays defensively?
The over is 6-0 in the 49ers' last 6 games in Week 6, 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record and 6-2 in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Los Angeles has seen the over go 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-1 in their last five in week 6 and 6-2 in their last eight at home. The teams have gone over the total in five of the last six meetings in Los Angeles and 4-1 in the last five meetings overall. Look for this one to be another high-scoring affair that gets past the number.
Half-time Side Bet
San Francisco has controlled the tempo of games and made life tough for opposing teams. Their ability to move the ball on the ground sets them up with manageable third down situations that keeps drives moving. The 49ers have trailed at the half in two of their games but were only down by a combined four points: they were behind 7-6 to Tampa Bay in week 1 and 6-3 to Pittsburgh in week 3. Los Angeles has been down at the half in each of the last three weeks: they trailed Cleveland 6-3, Tampa Bay 28-17 and Seattle 14-13. Look for that trend to continue: take the points and the 49ers at the half here.
Half-time Total Bet
In the first half of their games this season, the 49ers have outscored their opposition by a 54-26 margin this season. Los Angeles has seen a truckload of points in the opening half this season, as they've put up 52 points while allowing 54 in the first 30 minutes of the contests this year. Seeing how San Francisco's average first half sees 20 points on the board while the Rams have seen 21.2, you might think that the under would be the call here. Instead, look for the over: 72 of the 106 points that the Rams have seen in the first half have been scored in the last two games. This has the look of a 17-10 or 17-14 game at the half, pushing things over the total.