In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds
Cowboys vs. Jets Prediction
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Table of Contents
- Introduction & Team Review
- The Running Game
- The Passing Game
- Final Outlook & Prediction
- Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com
- Latest Updates, Injury Reports, & Line Movements
- Insiders' Best Bets
Last Updated: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 11:56pm EDT
It’s an interconference matchup between a pair of teams that could really use a win in the Garden State. The Dallas Cowboys are on the road as they make the trip to face the New York Jets on Sunday afternoon. Dallas dropped their second straight as they were downed 34-24 at home by the Packers last Sunday in their previous game. New York was pasted 31-6 on the road by the Eagles last Sunday in their previous game. The Cowboys own a 7-4 advantage in the all-time regular season series but the Jets have taken the last two meetings, including a 19-16 road win in the last matchup on December 19, 2015.
Dallas Cowboys Review
Dallas came home after suffering their first loss of the season to New Orleans in a game where they didn’t give up a touchdown and followed that up with a dud against Green Bay. The Cowboys now are dealing with the buzz about whether Kellen Moore was being hyped up too much as a play caller based on the first three weeks. Dallas has to get things going again and perhaps facing a Jets’ team that looks hapless so far might work in their favor. The Cowboys can’t afford to dig themselves into a hole like they did against the Packers last week if they hope to have success. Dallas entered week 6 tied for first in the NFC East but hold the edge based on a 2-0 division record while the Eagles are 1-0.
The Cowboys trailed 17-0 at the half against the Packers and trailed 24-0 less than six minutes into the third quarter. By that point in time, the game was well in hand: they drew within 10 with 7:46 to play but couldn’t get any closer than that. Dallas rolled up a 563-335 advantage in total offense and picked up 32 first downs while allowing 24 in the game. The Cowboys were dominated 36:43 to 23:17 in time of possession and turned the ball over three times while failing to record a takeaway. Dallas gave up 10 points on the takeaways, negating Dak Prescott’s career-high 463 yards through the air.
New York Jets Review
New York continued to look awful as they came in off the bye and were promptly trounced by the Eagles on the road. The Jets do have some good news as Sam Darnold was cleared for contact and is slated to return under center this week after missing the last three games with mononucleosis. For a team that had started three different quarterbacks in the opening three weeks of the season, having their starter back under center is a breath of fresh air for Adam Gase and company. Given the fact that New York has mustered only 39 points in four games, the fan base will take anything at this point in time to hang their hopes on.
The Jets were whipped in all facets of the game last week against Philadelphia. New York was stifled offensively in the game against the Eagles as they struggled to move the ball with any consistency. The Jets were outgained 265-128 in the contest, gave up 17 first downs while recording only nine and lost the time of possession battle by a 30:52 to 29:08 margin. New York turned the ball over three times in the contest while forcing only one. The Jets’ lone score of the game came in the first minute of the fourth quarter and the offense was outscored by the Eagles’ defense, which scored on a pick-six and a fumble return. New York gave up 10 sacks and 16 quarterback hits as they went nowhere.
The Running Game
Dallas Cowboys Running Offense
New York Jets Running Defense
Dallas Cowboys Running Offense
It seemed that the Cowboys weren't as intent on pounding the ball between the tackles on the ground in the season opener given the fact that Ezekiel Elliott had reported just days before that contest took place. As a team, the Cowboys ran the ball 30 times but totaled only 89 yards and a score. Dallas rebounded with big showings against Washington (34 carries, 213 yards, TD) and Miami (34 carries, 235 yards, two TD) before having problems moving the sticks against the Saints. The Cowboys mustered just 45 yards and a score on 20 carries against New Orleans in week 4. Despite falling in a massive hole against the Packers, Dallas still ran the ball 21 times for 122 yards and a touchdown in a losing effort.
Elliott leads the team with 85 carries for 386 yards and four scores on the season. Rookie Tony Pollard contributes 34 carries for 168 yards plus a score while Dak Prescott chips in 16 carries for 122 yards and a touchdown. Randall Cobb has run the ball twice for 11 yards this season. The Cowboys have three run plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season and have moved the chains 43 times via the ground this season.
New York Jets Run Defense
New York started off strong defensively, holding the Bills off the scoreboard for the first two and a half quarters in the opener. When C.J. Mosley (six tackles, fumble recovery) went down with a groin injury, things unraveled quickly for the Jets. Since that point, the New York offense has scored only 23 points while giving up 98. The Jets failed to slow the ground game of the Bills in the fourth quarter and it cost them. New York gave up 25 carries for 128 yards plus a score in the opener. In week 2, the Jets were better defensively as they limited the Browns to 21 carries for 70 yards and a score, but it was still too much for their anemic offense. New York has been pretty stingy against the run of late: they held New England to 27 carries for 68 yards and two scores in week 3 and then saw Philadelphia run 29 times for 84 yards and a score in week 5 after the team had a bye in week four.
Linebacker Neville Hewitt, who has stepped in for Mosley, leads the team with 30 tackles (19 solo) on the season. Darryl Roberts (23 tackles), Jamal Adams (20 tackles), Brian Poole (20 tackles) and Blake Cashman (21 tackles) are the next guys in line as far as making stops. Hewitt leads the team with four tackles for loss while Cashman has 3.5: Tarell Basham (11 tackles) and Steve McLendon (11 tackles, fumble recovery) each have three on the season. As a team, the Jets have recorded 24 tackles for loss on the season while forcing two fumbles and recovering four so far.
- 9th in run play percentage (43.99 percent)
- 11th in rushing attempts per game (27.8)
- 6th in rushing yards per game (140.8)
- 8th in yards per carry (5.1)
- Tied for 6th in rushing TD (six)
- 13th in longest rush (42 yards)
- 17th in percentage of run plays against (40.16 percent)
- 17th in run plays per game against (25.5)
- 7th in rushing yards allowed per game (87.5)
- Tied for 3rd in opposing yards per carry (3.4)
- Tied for 18th in rushing TD allowed (five)
- 4th in longest rush allowed (23 yards)
Who has the Edge?
The Jets have been pretty good against the run in the last few weeks but that's partially because they've been gashed by the pass. In addition, New York's offense has been so pathetic that opposing teams haven't had to grind the clock to secure a victory as each of their last three losses have come by double digits. Dallas has one of the best offensive lines in the league and the fact remains that, even though they were in a massive hole against the Packers last week, they still had success running the ball. The Cowboys are too dangerous to be held down for long and Elliott breaks out with a big game.
Advantage: Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets Running Offense
Dallas Cowboys Running Defense
New York Jets Running Offense
New York has struggled on the ground game even after shelling out big money to get Le'Veon Bell as a free agent after his holdout cost him all of the 2018 season while with Pittsburgh. The Jets have been unable to get much of anything going offensively thanks to their QB shuffle. New York was stifled by the Bills in the opener, running the ball 21 times for 68 yards. Things weren't much better against the Browns in week 2 as they were limited to 24 carries for 93 yards. Against New England in week three, New York finished with 20 carries for just 36 yards before recording 19 carries for 67 yards and their first rushing score of the year.
Bell leads the team with 71 carries for 206 yards via the ground game on the season. Ty Montgomery has run the ball nine times for 31 yards in his action. The team has had just four other rushing attempts so far this season: Jamison Crowder has one carry for four yards while Darnold has one rush for no yards on the season. Bilal Powell (one carry, four yards) and Vyncint Smith (one carry, 19 yards, TD) have the other attempts. All told this season, the Jets have no run plays that have covered at least 20 yards: their longest run of the season came on Smith’s end around against the Eagles. New York has picked up 10 first downs on the ground this season.
Dallas Cowboys Run Defense
Dallas was hurt by the ground game early by the Giants: Saquon Barkley's first run of the season covered 59 yards and helped set up the first New York touchdown. Overall, Dallas was hit for 151 yards on 17 carries plus a touchdown. Since the opener, the Cowboys have been terrific at containing the run game of the opposition. Dallas limited Washington to only 17 carries for 47 yards in week 2 and then clamped down on Miami, giving up 24 carries for 72 yards in week 3. The Cowboys were hurt a bit by the run in week 4 as they allowed 27 carries for 117 yards to New Orleans. Dallas had issues stopping Green Bay on the ground in week 5 as the Packers ran the ball 29 times for 120 yards and four scores.
Jaylon Smith leads the team with 45 tackles (32 solo) and a forced fumble on the season. Leighton Vander Esch (41 tackles, forced fumble), Xavier Woods (29 tackles, forced fumble), Jeff Heath (25 tackles) and Chidobe Awuzie (25 tackles, fumble recovery) are in the mix for the team's leading tacklers. Smith leads the team with four tackles for loss while DeMarcus Lawrence (seven tackles, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries), Robert Quinn (seven tackles) and Maliek Collins (four tackles) each have three to rank second on the team in that department. All told, the Cowboys have 23 tackles for loss, six forced fumbles and three fumble recoveries this season.
- 22nd in run play percentage (37 percent)
- 27th in rushing attempts per game (21)
- 30th in rushing yards per game (66)
- 31st in yards per carry (3.1)
- Tied for 28th in rushing TD (one)
- 29th in longest rush (19 yards)
- 8th in percentage of run plays against (36.08 percent)
- 10th in run plays per game against (22.8)
- 13th in rushing yards allowed per game (101.4)
- 17th in opposing yards per carry (4.4)
- Tied for 25th in rushing TD allowed (six)
- 21st in longest rush allowed (59 yards)
Who has the Edge?
New York has struggled to run the ball with any consistency this season as they have failed to crack the century mark in a game at this point. Perhaps getting Darnold back under center can help the passing game, which would force Dallas to stop from putting eight or nine in the box and force the Jets to the air to beat them. With that said, the Cowboys do have a solid front seven and with Bell failing to register much of an impact so far, it's tough to have much faith in the New York ground game.
Advantage: Dallas Cowboys
The Passing Game
Dallas Cowboys Passing Offense
vs. New York Jets Passing Defense
Dallas Cowboys Passing Offense
Dallas has been extremely effective moving the ball through the air and with each passing game, Dak Prescott sees the value of his next contract going up. He was nearly perfect in the season opener against the Giants, throwing for 405 yards and four scores. That was followed up with a stellar outing against Washington as he threw for 269 yards plus an additional three touchdowns. Last week against Miami, he struggled a bit to complete passes but still finished with 246 yards and two touchdowns in the win. Against New Orleans, Prescott was kept in check as he completed 22 of 33 passes for 223 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. Game flow forced him to the air more than he would like against the Packers: he threw for a career-high 463 yards against them but did toss three picks.
Prescott usually does a good job in taking care of the ball. He has struggled lately, throwing an interception in two straight games for the first time in his career.
“I’ve never had a stretch like this,” he said Thursday. “I think I told (Amari) Cooper something like, ‘Damn, these are coming in bunches.’
“Some of them are frustrating, but at my position you’ve got to let them go and you’ve got to keep moving forward. That’s the great part about this position – you get the ball in your hands the next play.”
Prescott has completed 119 of 171 passes for 1,606 yards with 11 touchdown passes against six interceptions. He has been sacked only six times on the year. Amari Cooper is the team's leading receiver with 32 receptions for 514 yards and five scores. Michael Gallup has 20 receptions for 339 yards while Randall Cobb (17 grabs, 210 yards, TD), tight end Jason Witten (17 catches, 173 yards, two TD) and Devin Smith (five catches, 113 yards, TD) are valuable options. Gallup has missed two games after knee surgery but returned to action against Green Bay in week 5. The Cowboys have 24 pass plays covering at least 20 yards this season: Cooper leads the team with eight such plays while Gallup adds five and Cobb four.
“Their Pro Bowl offensive line, probably one of the best running backs in football, explosive wide receiver, good slot wide receiver, Hall of Fame tight end, quarterback’s pretty good,” Jets head coach Adam Gase said before breaking into laughter. “Outside of that …”
New York Jets Passing Defense
New York has struggled against the passing game in the early going as they haven't generated a consistent pass rush.The Jets gave up 254 yards and a score to the Bills followed by 325 yards to the Browns. New York was torched for 320 yards by New England before bouncing back by limiting Philadelphia to 189 yards in week five. Of course, the Jets have had some contentious moments as both Trumaine Johnson and Jamal Adams have been benched at times in the first quarter of the season, leading to a lot of controversy within the organization.
Hewitt leads the team with two sacks on the year while Jenkins, Basham and McLendon each have one sack to tie for second on the team. Cashman and Bronson Kaufusi (three tackles, half a tackle for loss) each have a half sack on the season. Poole and Adams each have three pass defenses to share the team lead while Hewitt, Marcus Maye (18 tackles) and Mosley each have two. Mosley (TD), Adams (TD), Hewitt and Roberts each have one interception for the Jets this season. New York has totaled six sacks, 17 pass defenses and four interceptions with a pair of defensive touchdowns on the year.
- 24th in pass play percentage (56.01 percent)
- 5th in completion percentage (69.6)
- 4th in passing yards per game (312)
- Tied for 3rd in TD passes (11)
- Tied for 26th in INT thrown (six)
- 1st in net yards per pass attempt (9.1)
- 13th in longest pass play (62 yards)
- 5th in passer rating (106)
- 16th in pass play percentage against (59.84 percent)
- 21st in passing yards per game allowed (260.2)
- 7th in completion percentage allowed (61.6)
- Tied for 7th in TD passes allowed (five)
- Tied for 11th in INT (four)
- Tied for 28th in sacks (six)
- 7th in passer rating allowed (84.5)
- 19th in net yards per pass attempt (7.1)
Who has the Edge?
New York has already given up two 300-yard passing games this season and that's been a major problem for them defensively this season. The Jets even made Josh Allen look pretty effective as he went over the 250 yard mark in the opener. Dallas can move the ball through the air and they have some terrific options in Cooper, Gallup and Cobb, not to mention Witten and Jarwin at tight end. The Cowboys threw more than they wanted to last week but they can exploit weaknesses: the line negates the Jets' already meager pass rush and that makes life easy for Prescott.
"I have a lot of respect for what they do, and how they go about doing it,” Jets defensive coordinator Gregg Williams said following Friday’s practice. “They do a good job with the presence of running the football first, and when you do that, that also sets up so many other things for the quarterback.”
Advantage: Dallas Cowboys
New York Jets Passing Offense
Dallas Cowboys Passing Defense
New York Jets Passing Offense
New York's passing offense has been poor and there are multiple reasons for that limited production. For starters, the Jets have a lack of proven commodities to work with: Quincy Enunwa was lost for the season after neck surgery while Chris Herndon missed the first four games with a suspension. He pulled a hamstring in practice and is week to week. That leaves the inconsistent Robby Anderson, the struggling Demaryius Thomas and a guy best suited for playing in the slot in Jamison Crowder. Throw in that the team has played three quarterbacks already and things get that much bleaker. New York had 175 yards in the opener against the Bills and only a late flurry pushed them over 200 yards against the Browns: they finished with 201. The numbers cratered the last couple of games: the Jets had only 98 yards against the Patriots and a measly 120 against Philadelphia.
Sam Darnold is the starter when he's healthy: he's completed 28 of 41 passes for 175 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions this season. He's been sacked four times this year and is expected to make his return from mononucleosis this week after missing the last three games. Luke Falk is 47 of 73 for 416 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions this season: he's been sacked 16 times. Trevor Siemian is three of six for three yards with no touchdowns or picks: he was sacked twice. He also is done for the year after suffering ligament damage to his ankle against the Browns. Crowder is second on the team with 22 receptions for 174 yards on the season. Le'Veon Bell has reeled in a team-leading 27 passes for 166 yards and a score out of the backfield while Anderson has 11 receptions for 131 yards on the season. As a team, the Jets have four pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Anderson has reeled in two of them while Crowder and Braxton Berrios (two catches, 29 yards) have the other big plays.
Dallas Cowboys Passing Defense
Dallas gave up 323 yards through the air: they gave up one touchdown pass without recording a pick and finished with just one sack in their opening game against the Giants. The Cowboys have improved in the last couple of games: they allowed 221 yards and two scores against Washington with one sack and then limited Miami to 229 yards with no scores while recording three sacks. Against New Orleans in week four, the Cowboys allowed 193 yards through the air but their pass rush finally came to life. After recording only five sacks in the first three weeks of the season, Dallas had five of Teddy Bridgewater in week 4. Green Bay threw for 238 yards against the Cowboys in week 5 as they leaned on the ground game and short fields from turnovers.
Quinn leads the team with three sacks on the season while Lawrence is next in line with 2.5 sacks. Collins and Smith each have a pair of sacks while Tyrone Crawford (one tackle, tackle for loss) and Dorance Armstrong (six tackles, tackle for loss) each have one sack. Awuzie leads the team with five pass defenses while Heath and Anthony Brown (11 tackles, half-tackle for loss) each have four: Vander Esch, Quinn and Byron Jones (18 tackles) each have two this season. Awuzie recorded the team’s lone interception of the season in week 4 against New Orleans. The Cowboys have recorded 12 sacks, 24 pass defenses and one interception so far on the season.
- 11th in pass play percentage (63 percent)
- 16th in completion percentage (65)
- 32nd in passing yards per game (113.5)
- 32nd in TD passes (one)
- Tied for 11th in INT thrown (three)
- 32nd in net yards per pass attempt (3.8)
- 32nd in longest pass play (36 yards)
- 30th in passer rating (69.2)
- 25th in pass play percentage against (63.92 percent)
- 9th in passing yards per game allowed (220.4)
- 18th in completion percentage allowed (65.3)
- Tied for 2nd in TD passes allowed (three)
- Tied for 29th in INT (one)
- Tied for 16th in sacks (12)
- Tied for 8th in passer rating allowed (85.9)
- 6th in net yards per pass attempt (5.8)
Who has the Edge?
The Jets haven't been able to do much in the passing game so far this season. Darnold's return gives them a better quarterback situation but the fact remains that they still have an unimpressive receiver group to work with offensively. Dallas has been relatively effective at keeping teams in check since giving up 300-plus yards to the Giants in the opener. The Cowboys aren't generating much in the way of turnovers but the fact remains that until New York proves that they can do anything offensively, you can't put a ton of faith in them.
Advantage: Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is ninth in the league in scoring offense as they put up 26.2 points per game on the season. The Cowboys are first in the league in total offense with 452.8 yards per game and stand first in yards per play with 7.2 yards per snap. Dallas is seventh in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 18 points per contest. The Cowboys are 6th in total defense as they allow 321.8 yards per game and stand 7th as they give up 5.1 yards per play. Dallas is tied for 24th in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a -4 on the season.
The Cowboys are a solid fourth in red-zone success as they have cashed in 68.75 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition's 20-yard line into touchdowns. Dallas is 7th in red-zone defense as they held opposing teams to a 47.37 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns go. Dallas is 4th in the league in third-down conversions as they have converted 48 percent of their situations this season. The Cowboys are solid in getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 26.23 percent of their third downs, which is second in the league. Dallas is 26th in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 47.94 percent of the time.
Brett Maher hit all 17 extra-point attempts and is four of seven on field goals with a long of 36 this season. Chris Jones has punted 16 times with an average of 42.5 yards per punt: he has a net average of 38.8 yards per kick this season. Pollard has averaged 24.3 yards per return on three kickoff returns with a long of 28. Jones has placed six punts inside the 20 with one touchback on the year. Randall Cobb has averaged 5.5 yards on his two kickoff returns this year and nine yards on his two punt returns. Cedrick Wilson has averaged 6.5 yards on his two punt returns. Tavon Austin averages 4.5 yards on four punt returns.
New York Jets
The Jets are struggling on the offensive side of the ball this season as they are currently 31st in the league with 9.8 points per contest. New York is 32nd in total offense as they average 179.5 yards per contest while ranking a miserable 32nd in yards per play as they pick up only 3.2 yards per snap. The Jets are solid defensively, ranking 14th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 20 points per contest. New York is 12th in the league in total defense by allowing 347.8 yards per game and 13th in yards per play by allowing 5.5 yards per snap. In giveaway/takeaway, the Jets are tied for ninth with a +2 ratio this season.
The Jets are near the top of the pack as they are seventh in the league in scoring touchdowns in the red zone as they cash in on 66.67 percent of their chances. Defensively, New York has been mediocre as they are 31st in red zone defense by allowing 70 percent of drives to reach the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Jets are struggling in third down conversions, ranking 32nd by converting 21.05 percent of their third down situations in addition to one of six fourth downs. New York’s defense is 16th in those situations as they hold the opposition to a 39.22 percent success on their third downs. The Jets are 22nd in the league in time of possession by holding the ball 48.43 percent of the time this season.
Kaare Vedvik was the team’s kicker on opening day but was cut after the loss to the Bills. He missed his lone extra point attempt and his lone field goal try in the contest. Sam Ficken is two of two on extra points and one of two on field goals with a long of 46 this season. Lachlan Edwards has averaged 47 yards on 32 punts this season with a net average of 42.7 yards per kick. He has dropped 11 punts inside the opposition’s 20-yard line without recording a touchback. Trenton Cannon has averaged 19.2 yards on five kick returns with a long of 28 while Berrios had 10 yards on his lone kickoff return. He averages 5.7 yards on three punt returns with a long of 12 this season.
Who has the Edge?
New York doesn't generate a ton of red zone opportunities, so their percentage is a bit misleading. When you're averaging less than 10 points a game, it's tough to win games and that is what New York has faced in the first quarter of the season. Dallas has been good offensively and if they curtail the turnover problems they had against the Packers, they should be in good shape. The Jets' MVP so far might be Edwards: who knows how much worse things could be if he wasn't flipping field position this season. The Cowboys are more efficient, especially when it comes to extending drives, while New York has been abysmal on third downs.
Advantage: Dallas Cowboys
Until we see what Darnold can do offensively in an effort to spark what has been a moribund offensive attack, it's tough to have much faith in the Jets. Sure, the Cowboys have dropped two straight games but they lost to the Saints by two before getting hammered early by Green Bay. Those two teams are playoff contenders in the NFC: the Jets are a team that has as many touchdowns defensively (two) as they've mustered offensively this season. Dallas has already won on the road this season, beating Washington in week 2, while the Jets have yet to put up more than 16 points in a game this season. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have put up at least 24 points in four of their five games and have gone over the 30 point mark three times.
The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 6, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. New York has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, 1-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The line is a little surprising: too much is being made of the Cowboys' back to back defeats along with Darnold's return. Dallas should win this one by double figures: give the touchdown.
Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements
Dallas has three injuries on their injury report, all which come on the offensive side of the ball. Each is questionable and it will be interesting to see how things play out for each of those players. Randall Cobb is questionable with a back injury though the reports say that the team expects him to take the field and play. The other injuries are to their starting tackles: Tyron Smith, who missed last week with an ankle injury, and La'el Collins is dealing with a knee injury. Dallas hopes that one or both of them can play: otherwise, Cam Fleming will step in on one side while the opposite side would be up to the coaching staff.
New York made a move on Saturday as they waived Luke Falk after reinstating linebacker Brandon Copeland after he finished his four-game suspension for PEDs. His return is important, especially with Mosley doubtful again with a groin injury. Henry Anderson is also doubtful with a shoulder injury while Jordan Jenkins is questionable with a calf injury. On the offensive side of the ball, Chris Herndon is out with a hamstring injury while starting guard Kelechi Osemele is doubtful with shoulder and knee injuries. In addition, receivers Josh Bellamy and Demaryius Thomas are questionable while backup running back Trenton Cannon is doubtful as well. It's safe to say that the Jets are knee deep in injuries.
The weather is expected to be fairly decent, especially for mid-October in the northeast. The game-time temperature is expected to be in the mid-60s for this contest with mostly sunny skies. Winds are expected to come from the northwest around five miles an hour with gusts up to 10 miles per hour. There is no rain in the forecast and the sunny skies are expected to dominate the majority of the window for this contest.
When the initial lines opened for this contest, Dallas was a seven-point favorite with the over/under set at 45 points. As of Saturday afternoon, the line has stayed static with Dallas being a seven-point favorite in the contest. The over/under has ticked downward slightly as it has moved to 44.5 points in this contest. Currently, the moneyline shows Dallas as a steep -340 to -360 favorite while the Jets can be found as a +275 to +295 underdog depending on the sportsbook. As of this writing, 73 percent of the bets are backing the Cowboys -7 points. When it comes to the moneyline, a solid majority, 67 percent of the wagers, are backing the Cowboys as the visiting team. Meanwhile, 66 percent of bets are projecting this one to go over the total.
The Jets are dealing with a slew of injuries and not even the return of Darnold is going to magically fix all that is wrong with the franchise. Dallas has gotten plenty of flak with their back to back losses with some questioning if Kellen Moore is capable of calling the plays as offensive coordinator. Facing a New York team that doesn't generate much offense doesn't make for much of a challenge. Give the Cowboys the upper hand in this one as they cruise to the win.
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys -7Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com
Additional Insiders' Best Bets
Full-game Total Bet
New York put up 16 points in Darnold's lone start this season: the team has only 23 points in the three games that he missed. It might be a challenge for the Jets to get much going with their second-year QB back as there simply aren't a ton of options for him to work with on that side of the ball. Dallas couldn't get going until the third quarter against Green Bay but still finished with more points in the second half than the Jets have had in the last three combined. Will the Cowboys get their offense back on track and deliver some big point totals against the reeling Jets?
The under is 7-3 in the Cowboys' last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game, 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 19-9 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. New York has seen the under go 4-0 in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game, 5-1 in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game and 4-1 in their last five overall. It's hard to see New York helping to push this one over the total, even if Dallas puts up 27 to 31 points. Lean toward the under in this contest.
Half-time Side Bet
Seeing how the Jets have done next to nothing offensively all season long, it's hard to say that just because Darnold is back under center, that the team will suddenly turn things around. New York has a measly nine points in the first half this season and their lone touchdown was a pick-six by Mosley against the Bills in the opener. By comparison, Dallas has held the lead at the half in three of their five games. The Cowboys are clearly the better team and should prove it early. Dallas has a chip on their shoulder and that carries them to a halftime lead.
Half-time Total Bet
New York has yet to see much offense in the opening half of games this season as they have only nine points in the first half this season. That's not in one game, that's on the season in their first four contests. Dallas hasn't set the world on fire offensively, scoring only three points in the first half of their last two games. Before that, the Cowboys had 45 first half points in their first three games. All things considered, it's hard to see this one going over the number at the half unless the Jets were to score double digits. Seeing how they haven't reached that mark in four combined games, this one falls under the number.