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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Eagles vs. Vikings Prediction

Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
U.S. Bank Syadium, Minneapolis

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 2:03pm EDT

Introduction

A pair of NFC teams battling in their respective divisions take the field in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The Philadelphia Eagles are on the road as they travel to face the Minnesota Vikings Sunday afternoon. Philadelphia cruised to an easy 31-6 victory over the Jets at home last Sunday for their second straight win. Minnesota ran over the Giants, taking a 28-10 road victory last Sunday to get back in the win column. The Vikings lead the all-time regular season series 14-10 and picked up a 23-21 road win in the most recent matchup on October 7, 2018.

Philadelphia Eagles Review

Philadelphia rode an opportunistic defense and a solid offense against a hapless Jets team playing their third-string quarterback. The Eagles now have back to back wins in their pocket as they make the trip in this contest. Philadelphia enters Week 6 tied for first in the NFC East with Dallas as the teams are both 3-2 on the year: the Eagles are slightly behind as the Cowboys are 2-0 within the division while the Eagles are 1-0. Philadelphia may have taken care of the sputtering Jets but the fact remains that the offense is going to have to step it up as they start this three-game road swing through Minnesota, Dallas and Buffalo.

The Eagles were up 14-0 after the opening quarter and 21-0 at the half en route to crushing the Jets. Philadelphia mustered only 265 yards of offense in the game but that was more than double the dismal 128 yard performance that New York put up. The Eagles recorded 17 first downs while allowing nine and held a 30:52 to 29:08 advantage in time of possession in the game. In addition, Philadelphia forced three turnovers while committing only one. The Eagles scored a pair of defensive touchdowns, one on a pick six and one on a fumble return, while racking up a ridiculous 10 sacks. Philadelphia kept the Jets off the board until the opening minute of the fourth quarter.

Minnesota Vikings Review

Minnesota bounced back from being stuffed by the Bears on the road last week to run all over the Giants defense on the road. In addition to that, the Vikings finally got their passing game going, going over the 300-yard mark for the first time through the air this season. Being able to go to the air helped open up more running lanes for Dalvin Cook and company as they went through the New York defense like a hot knife through butter. The win moved Minnesota to 3-2 on the year but they still need to have some success in the division as they are 0-2 in NFC North play.

The Vikings moved the ball efficiently, posting four scoring drives in the first half as they scored one touchdown and added three Dan Bailey field goals. In addition, the defense chipped in by recording a safety one play after the offense turned the ball over at the Giants’ one-yard line. Minnesota rolled up a hefty 490-211 edge in total offense, owned a 22-18 advantage in first downs and controlled the clock by a 32:40 to 27:20 margin in the contest. Both teams turned the ball over once but the Vikings made life tough for rookie quarterback Daniel Jones, sacking him four times while recording eight quarterback hits, 11 pass defenses and seven tackles for loss.

The Running Game

Philadelphia Eagles Running Offense
vs. Minnesota Vikings Running Defense

Philadelphia Eagles Running Offense

Philadelphia has been pretty solid moving the ball on the ground this season as they have run for more than 100 yards three times in the first five weeks of the season. The Eagles had 31 carries for 123 yards and a score in week 1 against Washington, 30 carries for 127 yards plus a touchdown in week 3 against Detroit and 33 carries for a season-high 176 yards and two touchdowns against Green Bay in week 4. Against the Falcons in week 2, the Eagles finished with 21 carries for just 49 yards plus a touchdown: they had 29 carries for 84 yards and a score against the Jets in week 5.

Jordan Howard, who came over from the Bears in the offseason, leads the team with 53 carries for 248 yards and four scores this season. Rookie second-round pick Miles Sanders has 54 carries for 193 yards while Carson Wentz has 19 carries for 59 yards plus a score. Darren Sproles (15 carries, 59 yards) provides a spark as a change of pace or third-down back. Sanders has the team’s lone run play that has covered more than 20 yards this season: the team has moved the chains 35 times via the ground this season.

Minnesota Vikings Run Defense

Minnesota has been fairly decent at stopping the run so far this season. The Vikings look to continue their early success against the ground game of the opposition here. This season, Minnesota allowed 73 yards on 17 carries to the Falcons in the series opener. The Vikings were sliced for 33 carries for 144 yards plus a score against Green Bay in week 2 before holding Oakland to 20 carries for 88 yards in week 3. Minnesota held the Bears in check in last week’s action, holding Chicago to a measly 72 yards on 33 rushing attempts for a 2.2 yard per carry average. The Vikings had another solid outing against the Giants, limiting New York to only 64 yards on 20 carries.

Eric Kendricks leads the team with 39 tackles (30 solo) on the season. Harrison Smith (30 tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery), Xavier Rhodes (24 tackles), Danielle Hunter (28 tackles) and Anthony Harris (22 tackles, fumble recovery) are solid defenders as well. Hunter leads the team with seven tackles for loss on the season while Linval Joseph (14 tackles) and Everson Griffen (15 tackles) each have four while Eric Wilson (19 tackles) has three. As a team, the Vikings have recorded 31 tackles for loss as a team with two forced fumbles and three fumble recoveries on the year.

Stats

PHI

  • 10th in run play percentage (43.50 percent)
  • 7th in rushing attempts per game (28.8)
  • 18th in rushing yards per game (111.8)
  • 23rd in yards per carry (3.9)
  • Tied for 6th in rushing TD (six)
  • Tied for 21st in longest rush (30 yards)

MIN

  • 13th in percentage of run plays against (38.08 percent)
  • 14th in run plays per game against (24.6)
  • 9th in rushing yards allowed per game (88.2)
  • 5th in opposing yards per carry (3.6)
  • 2nd in rushing TD allowed (one)
  • 1st in longest rush allowed (18 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Minnesota has been stingy against the run so far this season as they've kept four of their five opponents under 100 yards. The Vikings are going to make the Eagles work to earn their yards. While Philadelphia does have three games with more than 100 yards on the ground this season, the fact remains that Howard isn't going to give you the big, explosive plays that Sanders likely can deliver. It's great that the Eagles are juggling backs but it's tough to establish any sort of momentum in that fashion. Minnesota has been aggressive at making plays behind the line of scrimmage and making life miserable for opposing teams this season.

Advantage: Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings Running Offense
vs. Philadelphia Eagles Running Defense

Minnesota Vikings Running Offense

Minnesota has been extremely effective on the ground this season and their ability to move the ball in the run game has made things that much easier for the rest of the team. The Vikings started the season by piling up 38 carries for 172 yards and three scores against the Falcons in the opener. In a losing effort against the Packers in week two, Minnesota ran the ball 27 times for 198 yards and a score: that was followed up by 38 carries for 211 yards and three scores against the Raiders last week. Against the Bears in week 4, it was tough sledding for the Vikings as they were stifled to a season low 40 yards plus a score on 16 carries. Minnesota bounced back last week against the Giants, racking up 211 yards on 34 carries in the victory.

Dalvin Cook leads the team with 92 carries for 542 yards and five scores on the season. Alexander Mattison has 34 carries for 189 yards plus a score while Kirk Cousins chips in 12 carries for 37 yards and a score. Ameer Abdullah (six carries, 34 yards) and Mike Boone (three carries, 28 yards) are quality depth pieces. As a team, Minnesota has rung up eight run plays that have covered at least 20 yards: Cook has five, Mattison two and Boone has one. The Vikings have moved the ball 37 times via the ground this season.

Philadelphia Eagles Run Defense

The Eagles have been effective at containing the ground game of the opposition this season. Philadelphia has yet to allow 100 yards on the ground in any game, so they’ll face a tough challenge here in the Vikings. In week 1 against Washington, the Eagles held the Redskins to 13 carries for 28 yards. Since then, Philadelphia has limited the Falcons to 17 carries for 57 yards, the Lions to 28 carries for 86 yards and the Packers to 20 carries for 77 yards. In week five against the hapless Jets, the Eagles allowed 19 carries for 67 yards.

Rodney McLeod leads the team with 29 tackles (16 solo) on the season. Zach Brown (27 tackles), Nigel Bradham (24 tackles), Andrew Sendejo (19 tackles) and Malcolm Jenkins (18 tackles, forced fumble) are among the team leaders in tackles. Brandon Graham (16 tackles, fumble recovery) leads the team with five tackles for loss on the year. Derek Barnett (14 tackles, forced fumble) has three while Fletcher Cox (11 tackles) and Brown each have 2.5 this season. As a team, the Eagles have racked up 31 tackles for loss, four forced fumbles and two fumble recoveries: they have one defensive touchdown via fumble return this season.

Stats

MIN

  • 2nd in run play percentage (52.76 percent)
  • 6th in rushing attempts per game (30.6)
  • 3rd in rushing yards per game (166.4)
  • 3rd in yards per carry (5.4)
  • Tied for 1st in rushing TD (eight)
  • 5th in longest rush (75 yards)

PHI

  • 2nd in percentage of run plays against (31.49 percent)
  • 4th in run plays per game against (19.2)
  • 1st in rushing yards allowed per game (63)
  • 2nd in opposing yards per carry (3.2)
  • Tied for 6th in rushing TD allowed (three)
  • 18th in longest rush allowed (44 yards)

Who has the Edge?

We're looking at a distinct clash of tough units as the Vikings have been really committed to the ground game under offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski. It's paid dividends as Cook leads the league in rushing offense and the team is tied for first in the league in touchdowns via the ground. Meanwhile, Philadelphia has stifled the opposition on the ground, keeping each of their five opponents under 100 yards on the ground this season. The team that gets the upper hand in this battle will have a leg up in the game: based on what we've seen, this one is too close to call.

Advantage: Push

The Passing Game

Philadelphia Eagles Passing Offense
vs. Minnesota Vikings Passing Defense

Philadelphia Eagles Passing Offense

Philadelphia had a big passing game in the opener but things have been an issue after that as injuries to the receiving corps have taken their toll. The Eagles went for 313 yards against Washington in the opener but have trended downward since. Philadelphia threw for 255 yards against the Falcons in week 2, 259 yards against Detroit in week three and a season-low 160 yards against Green Bay in week four. The Eagles did improve last week against the Jets but still threw for only 189 yards, though they didn’t need that much to get the victory.

Carson Wentz has completed 105 of 174 passes for 1,152 yards with 10 touchdown passes and two interceptions on the year. He has been sacked eight times this season for a loss of 39 yards. Josh McCown is three of five for 24 yards this year. Tight end Zach Ertz leads the team with 29 receptions for 312 yards and a score on the year. Nelson Agholor (19 receptions, 188 yards, three touchdowns), Alshon Jeffery (14 receptions, 139 yards, two TD) and Mack Hollins (10 grabs, 125 yards) all have to produce as DeSean Jackson (eight catches, 151 yards, two TD) is still out with an abdominal strain: he is expected to return sometime between week 7 and week 9. The Eagles have 14 pass plays cover at least 20 yards: Ertz has four while Agholor and Sanders (10 catches, 133 yards) each have three.

Minnesota Vikings Passing Defense

Minnesota's pass defense has been soft this season though some of that can be attributed to the fact that they had garbage time against the Falcons and Raiders. This season, Minnesota allowed 304 yards plus two scores to the Falcons in the opener. The Vikings held Green Bay to 209 yards in week 2 before giving up 242 yards in week 3 against the Raiders. In week 4 against the Bears, the Vikings allowed 204 yards through the air to the combination of Mitch Trubisky and backup QB Chase Daniel. The Vikings allowed only 182 yards through the air in week 5 against the Giants. Minnesota has picked up at least one sack in each of their games this season.

Hunter leads the team with five sacks on the year and Griffen is next in line with three. Wilson and Joseph each have a pair of sacks while Anthony Barr (14 tackles, tackle for loss), Ifeadi Odenigbo (four tackles, tackle for loss) and Shamar Stephen (seven tackles, tackle for loss) each have one sack to their credit. Smith leads the team with six pass defenses while Kendricks has five: Mike Hughes (nine tackles), Rhodes, Trae Waynes (22 tackles, two tackles for loss, forced fumble) and Harris each have three. Harris leads the team with two interceptions while Smith and Barr have the others. As a team, Minnesota has 15 sacks, 27 pass defenses and four interceptions on the year.

Stats

PHI

  • 23rd in pass play percentage (56.50 percent)
  • 30th in completion percentage (60.3)
  • 21st in passing yards per game (227.4)
  • Tied for 8th in TD passes (10)
  • Tied for 7th in INT thrown (two)
  • 22nd in net yards per pass attempt (6.4)
  • 22nd in longest pass play (53 yards)
  • 18th in passer rating (93.7)

MIN

  • 20th in pass play percentage against (61.92 percent)
  • 6th in passing yards per game allowed (204.2)
  • 23rd in completion percentage allowed (68.7)
  • Tied for 14th in TD passes allowed (eight)
  • Tied for 11th in INT (four)
  • Tied for 9th in sacks (15)
  • 14th in passer rating allowed (90.4)
  • 5th in net yards per pass attempt (5.5)

Who has the Edge?

Philadelphia's passing game has declined over the last few weeks and one can point at the injuries as a major factor. The Eagles have seen their vertical game limited with Jackson out with his abdominal injury: he had touchdowns from 53 and 51 yards in the opener. Philadelphia hasn't been able to stretch the field since and has been more of a dink and dunk style of attack. Minnesota will give up the short pass and then wrap you up short of the sticks. Rhodes and Smith are a pair of terrific coverage guys and that makes life tough for opposing teams. With Jackson likely missing again, it's going to be tough sledding for Philadelphia to hit the big play.

Advantage: Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings Passing Offense
vs. Philadelphia Eagles Passing Defense

Minnesota Vikings Passing Offense

Minnesota has been extremely effective with the run game this season. As a result, the passing game has suffered as it's taken somewhat of a back seat in the early part of the 2019 campaign. The Vikings had only 98 yards and a score through the air in the opener as they threw only 10 passes against the Falcons. Against Green Bay, Minnesota had 230 yards through the air, a season-high to date, but completed less than 50 percent of their throws. In week 3 against Oakland, the Vikings had 174 yards through the air. That was followed by a showing where Minnesota had 233 yards in week 4 against the Bears but gave up six sacks for 51 yards in the contest. The Vikings went over the 300-yard mark for the first time this season as they threw for 306 yards against the Giants in week 5.

Kirk Cousins is 86 of 126 for 1,041 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions on the year. He's been sacked 11 times for a loss of 86 yards but the team simply isn't throwing much. Adam Thielen is second on the team with 20 receptions for 309 yards and four scores on the year. Cook has a team-leading 21 catches for 200 yards but the Vikings need more from Stefon Diggs (16 grabs, 253 yards, TD) and tight end Kyle Rudolph (six catches, 36 yards) in the passing game. Minnesota has 17 pass plays of at least 20 yards on the year: Thielen has six such plays: Diggs is second on the team with five while Irv Smith Jr. (five catches, 64 yards) and Cook have two each on the year.

Philadelphia Eagles Passing Defense

Philadelphia, even with as solid as they’ve been against the run this season, has had issues in defending the pass. While the Eagles shut down the passing game last week, it was against the Jets and their third-string quarterback. Philadelphia has given up three 300-yard passing games this season: the Eagles gave up 380 yards to Washington in week 1, 320 to Atlanta in week 2 and 422 yards to the Packers in week 4. On the flip side, Philadelphia stymied New York, holding them to 120 yards in week 5 while recording 10 sacks.

Graham leads the team with three sacks on the season. Orlando Scandrick (four tackles, two forced fumbles, fumble recovery, TD) and Barnett each have two on the year. Rasul Douglas (16 tackles, two tackles for loss) leads the team with six pass defenses on the year. Ronald Darby (14 tackles) adds five pass defenses while Avonte Maddox (16 tackles, tackle for loss) has four of his own. Nathan Gerry (seven tackles, two pass defenses, TD) leads the team with two interceptions. Sidney Jones (14 tackles, tackle for loss, three pass defenses), Bradham, Darby and McLeod each have one interception on the year. As a team, the Eagles have 13 sacks, 34 pass defenses and six interceptions with one returned for a touchdown.

Stats

MIN

  • 31st in pass play percentage (47.24 percent)
  • 9th in completion percentage (68.3)
  • 29th in passing yards per game (191)
  • Tied for 26th in TD passes (five)
  • Tied for 7th in INT thrown (two)
  • 6th in net yards per pass attempt (7.6)
  • 14th in longest pass play (61 yards)
  • 9th in passer rating (100)

PHI

  • 31st in pass play percentage against (68.51 percent)
  • 27th in passing yards per game allowed (271.2)
  • 9th in completion percentage allowed (62.6)
  • Tied for 21st in TD passes allowed (nine)
  • Tied for 4th in INT (six)
  • Tied for 12th in sacks (13)
  • 10th in passer rating allowed (87.2)
  • 16th in net yards per pass attempt (6.8)

Who has the Edge?

Philadelphia has been torched through the air this season and there are increasing rumors that the team may try to pick up Jalen Ramsey from Jacksonville. One thing is clear: the Eagles need some more help in their secondary. The pass rush has suffered as well: don't be fooled by the fact that they had 10 sacks against the Jets. New York had their third-string quarterback and a patchwork offensive line: the Eagles had only three sacks in their first four games. Minnesota carved up the Giants last week for their first 300 yard passing game of the year. With the Eagles having issues in their secondary, you have to think that Cousins can find Thielen and Diggs for some big gains that could spread the field to open up running lanes for Cook and company.

Advantage: Minnesota Vikings

Intangibles

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia is a solid 7th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 28.2 points per game on the season. The Eagles are 24th in the league in total offense with 339.2 yards per game and stand 26th in yards per play with 5.1 yards per snap. Philadelphia struggles a bit defensively, ranking 13th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 22.2 points per contest. The Eagles are only 10th in total defense as they allow 334.2 yards per game and are 11th as they give up 5.4 yards per play. Philadelphia is tied for 9th in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a +2 on the season.

The Eagles are 5th in red zone success as they have cashed in 68.42 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition’s 20-yard line into touchdowns. Philadelphia is tied for 10th in red zone defense as they have limited opposing teams to a 50 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns goes. Philadelphia has been stellar in extending drives as they are second in the league by converting 52.86 percent of their third down situations. The Eagles are above average in getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 37.1 percent of their third downs, which is currently 12th in the league. Philadelphia is ninth in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 52.72 percent of the time.

Jake Elliott has hit all 14 extra point attempts and five of five field goal tries with a long of 41 this season. Cameron Johnston has averaged 47.8 yards per punt on 19 boots with a net of 44.7 yards this season. He has dropped 11 punts inside the opposition’s 20-yard line while not recording a touchback. Sanders averages 25.9 yards per return on eight kick returns with a long of 67 while Corey Clement has averaged 24.3 yards on three runbacks. Sproles has averaged 9.3 yards on nine punt returns on the year. Malcolm Jenkins blocked a field goal against the Lions back in week 3.

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota is 16th in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 22.4 points per game this season. The Vikings are 18th in the league in total offense with 357.4 yards per game and stand 6th in yards per play with an average of 6.2 yards per snap. Minnesota is 5th in scoring defense as they allow 14.6 points per game. The Vikings are 4th in total defense as they give up 292.4 yards per game and stand 3rd in yards per play as they allow 4.5 yards per snap. Minnesota is tied for 15th in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are even so far this season.

The Vikings are tied for 11th in the league in red zone success as they convert 60 percent of their trips inside the 20 into touchdowns this season. Minnesota is a solid 5th in red zone defense as they give up touchdowns on 46.15 percent of their opponents’ trips inside the 20 this season. The Vikings are 12th in the league in third down conversions as they convert 42.86 percent of their chances. Minnesota is terrific getting off the field on third down defensively as they are 9th: opposing teams are converting 34.85 percent of their opportunities. The Vikings are 24th in time of possession as they hold the ball 48.14 percent of the time this season.

Dan Bailey is 11 of 12 on extra points and seven of eight on field goal tries this season with a long of 50. Britton Colquitt has averaged 47.3 yards per punt on 19 boots this season: he boasts a 43.1-yard net average with seven punts inside the opposing 20-yard line against no touchbacks. Ameer Abdullah has averaged 29 yards on two kick returns with a long of 33 yards while Chad Beebe has one for 13 yards: he's run back seven punts for a 6.6-yard average with a long of 15. Marcus Sherels has one kick return for nine yards and has averaged 5.4 yards on five punt returns this season. Eric Wilson has blocked a punt: that came in the opener against Atlanta.

Who has the Edge?

Both teams have been effective when it comes to extending their drives and making things tough on the opposition this season. Philadelphia is the better scoring offense, which is countered by the Vikings' edge in scoring defense this season. The Eagles have the edge in the takeaway/giveaway department but Minnesota has been very stingy when it comes to giving up touchdowns in the red zone. Both special teams units have been very effective as the kickers have been solid and the punters doing an excellent job of flipping field position. Each team has blocked a kick this season, which is something to watch for. The one edge here that tips the scales is the coach: Pederson has a Super Bowl ring while Zimmer is still trying to get Minnesota to have success in the postseason.

Advantage: Philadelphia Eagles

Final Outlook

This one has the potential to be a war between a pair of teams that are looking to earn an important conference victory. This is the start of a brutal three-game road stretch for the Eagles with stops in Chicago and Buffalo looming. Philadelphia has to get their offense going because last week's disappointing showing against the Jets didn't inspire much in the way of confidence. Minnesota had a big offensive showing against the Giants, throwing for more than 300 yards and running for more than 200 en route to the win. Philadelphia has to generate more of a pass rush and be more effective in their pass coverage if they want to hang in this one. Playing on the road is going to be a tough one for the Eagles, who already lost to the Lions this season. Minnesota is tough at home and they make life difficult for Wentz and the Eagles here.

The Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Philadelphia has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. The Vikings ride the crowd and the soft Philadelphia secondary to earn the triumph.

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

Philadelphia enters this one with a slew of injuries that will have an impact, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Both starting cornerbacks, Ronald Darby and Avonte Maddox, are out for this contest. That means that the Eagles have to go to Rasul Douglas and either Sidney Jones or Orlando Scandrick at the opposite corner. In addition, backup defensive tackle Tim Jernigan is out of the mix with a foot injury. Running backs Corey Clement and Darren Sproles are both out, putting more work on the shoulders of Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders. DeSean Jackson remains out as he recovers from an abdominal strain, which means Mack Hollins likely gets more run here.

Minnesota has a few injuries but they are in better shape than the Eagles at this point in time. Starting linebacker Ben Gedeon is out with a concussion: in his stead, Eric Wilson likely draws the start. Starting right guard Josh Kline is also out with a foot injury, which means Dakota Dozier or Dru Samia has to step in and take his spot. The only other injury of note is to backup linebacker Kentrell Brothers, who is questionable with a hamstring and a wrist issue.

The weather could end up being a factor in this one but only if you're tailgating since U.S. Bank Stadium is an enclosed venue. The game-time temperature is expected to be in the high-30s for this contest with cloudy skies. Winds are expected to come from the west around 10 miles an hour with gusts up to 15 miles per hour. There is a 40 to 50 percent chance of rain, though that percentage is on the rise as the game wears on. However, inside, the temperature will be in the high-60s with no weather to speak of: once you get inside, everything will be good to go, at least for a few hours.

When the initial lines opened for this contest, Minnesota was installed as a three-point favorite with the over/under set at 44 points. As of Saturday afternoon, the line has yet to move, leaving the Vikings as the same three-point favorite in the contest. The over/under stayed flat at the same 44 points in this contest. Currently, the moneyline shows Minnesota a solid -170 to -180 favorite while the Eagles can be found as a +150 to +160 underdog depending on the sportsbook. As of this writing, 59 percent of the bets are backing the Eagles +3 points. When it comes to the moneyline, a solid majority, 69 percent of the wagers, are backing the Eagles as the visiting team. Meanwhile, 66 percent of bets are projecting this one to go over the total.

We saw the Vikings' passing attack come to life last week against a Giants' defense that has had serious issues stopping the pass this season. With the Eagles missing their two starting corners, you have to think that Thielen and Diggs will find favorable matchups on the outside, which will loosen up Philadelphia's defense for the run game. With the weather a non-factor here, the Eagles can't rely on a slick ball forcing turnovers. Minnesota should take care of business here and earn the win.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings -3

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Eagles have been efficient offensively this season, putting up at least 20 points in each of their five games this season. Three times, they have put up at least 31 points but in this one, they face their stiffest challenge to date. Minnesota has not allowed more than 21 points in a game this season and that came against Green Bay, a team that the Eagles gave up 27 points to in week 4. In their other four games, the Vikings held their opponents to 16 points or less. The big question here is which team will impose their will: can the Eagles open up the Vikings' defense to force a shootout or will Minnesota clamp down and make life difficult for Philadelphia?

The under is 5-0 in the Eagles' last 5 games following a straight up win, 4-0 in their last four after an ATS win, 5-1 in their last 6 games in October and 4-1 in their last five on the road. Minnesota has seen the under go 5-0 in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 in their last 5 games following a straight up win, 4-0 in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 4-0 in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Prediction: Under 44

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Philadelphia has had their struggles in the opening halves of games. The Eagles were down 20-7 to the Redskins, 10-6 to the Falcons and 20-10 to the Lions in the first three weeks of the season. Philadelphia bounced back the last two weeks, leading 21-20 against Green Bay and 21-0 on the Jets. Minnesota has held double-digit leads at the half in their three wins and trailed at intermission in their two defeats. Based on that, since I'm backing Minnesota at home here, you have to think that the Vikings will have the upper hand at the half.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings -2.5

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Philadelphia has seen a lot of points on the board in the first halves of their games this season. Only once has the halftime total fallen under 20, with that coming in week 2 against the Falcons. On the other side of the coin, Minnesota has seen at least 21 points in the first half of four of their five games: only their smashmouth game with the Bears was under that mark as Chicago led 10-0. The Vikings have put up at least 10 points themselves in their other four games: they have 10, 18, 21 and 21 points in the first half this season. That helps push this one over the number.

Prediction: Over 21.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.