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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Seahawks vs. Browns Prediction

Sunday, October 13, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 11:46pm EDT

Introduction

The Seattle Seahawks will head on the road to battle the Cleveland Browns in AFC action Sunday afternoon from FirstEnergy Stadium. The Seahawks tallied a 30-29 home win over the Rams in their previous action, and the Browns were clobbered 28-10 by the 49ers in their latest game on Monday night. These AFC foes last met in 2015 in a contest the Seahawks won by a 30-13 score.

Seattle Seahawks Review

The Seattle Seahawks will be targeting their third consecutive victory in this one. The Seahawks are looking very dangerous through five games which included a big 30-29 home win over the Rams last Thursday night. Russell Wilson came through with one of the best performances of his career, connecting on 17 of 23 passes for 268 yards and four touchdowns. The 30-year old QB has been one of the most efficient QB’s in the NFL this season, accumulating 1409 passing yards with a perfect 12:0 TD to INT ratio.

Seahawks’ rushing leader Chris Carson is locked in, rushing for over 100 yards in two straight games which included 118 yards against the Rams. The 25-year old RB had a breakout 2018 season that resulted in over 1100 yards, and he is up to 380 yards this season.

Tyler Lockett is also having a terrific season, collecting 379 receiving yards, and he has made at least four grabs in four consecutive games. The 27-year old WR made a highlight-reel catch against the Rams, and he has tallied 94 yards after the catch. The Seahawks offense has consistently put up points all season with a balanced attack from the ground and in the air.

The Seattle defense hasn’t been as effective as their offense. They surrendered 395 passing yards against the Rams in their previous game, and their pass defense ranks 26th in the NFL as a result. The Seahawks are scoring an average of 26.6 points, good for 8th in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 23.6 points, pegging them 19th overall, and they are 2-0 on the road.

Cleveland Browns Review

The Cleveland Browns will be eager to return to action after an abysmal 31-3 road loss in San Francisco on Monday night. The Browns are searching for their first home win of the season. They have faced a tough home schedule, losing to the Titans in week one, followed by a 20-13 home loss to the Rams in week three. Baker Mayfield was awful last week, completing only 8 of 22 passes for 100 yards with two interceptions. The 24-year old QB is having a disappointing season, recording 1247 passing yards with a poor 4:8 TD to INT ratio, and he needs to turn his season around quickly.

Nick Chubb has been a bright spot in the Browns subpar 2-3 start, accumulating 485 rushing yards on an average of over five yards per attempt. The second-year running back rushed for 165 yards against the Ravens in week four, and he faces a daunting task against Seattle’s outstanding rush defense.

Odell Beckham Jr. has faded after a terrific start to the season, bringing in a combined four catches for 47 yards in his last two games. The 26-year old star receiver has tallied 335 receiving yards on the year.  The Browns offense is having a wildly inconsistent season. They scored 40 points against the Ravens and did nothing against the 49ers.

The Cleveland defense has not fared well in their last two games. They are especially having trouble against the run which included a stunning 275 rushing yards surrendered to the 49ers last week. The Browns have played without their two starting corners in Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams in three straight games. Cleveland is scoring an average of 18.4 points, ranking them 25th in the NFL. They are conceding an average of 24.4 points, positioning them 21st overall.

The Running Game

Seattle Seahawks Running Offense
vs. Cleveland Browns Running Defense

Seattle Seahawks Running Offense

The Seahawks have received solid production on the ground led by Chris Carson. The 25-year old running back is averaging four yards per attempt for a total of 380 rushing yards and three touchdowns. He is being used as a three-down back and he has attempted a whopping 49 rushes in his last two games. Carson is displaying elusiveness with several broken tackles, however, he does have a tendency to fumble the football.

“Such a determined player,” Carroll said. “Isn’t it great we didn’t give up on him? Wouldn’t that be crazy? Sit him down, don’t let him play? BS to that. He’s a ball player, and just thrilled he’s been able to answer the call, and come back, and be the stud that he is.”

Russell Wilson is a mobile QB who can also scramble for rushing yards frequently. Wilson has 120 rushing yards on the season. Rashaad Penny who put up huge numbers in college has fared well in his limited action, collecting 98 yards on an average of 4.5 yards per attempt. Seattle’s offense is very balanced as Wilson has attempted 156 passes, while they have run the ball 154 times this season.

Cleveland Browns Run Defense

The Browns rush defense continues to have trouble. They surrendered 174 rushing yards to the Ravens in week four, and a ridiculous 275 rushing yards against the 49ers on Monday night. Cleveland’s rush defense ranks down at 29th in the NFL as a result.

Defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi had made four tackles for a loss this season, and 18 combined tackles. Former first overall draft pick Myles Garrett is known more for his pass rush. Linebacker Joe Schubert has a reputation as a great off the ball run stuffer. He leads the Browns with 53 total tackles and he has made three tackles for a loss.  The Browns also brought in defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson to bolster the rush in the offseason. The veteran has made 17 tackles this season. Safety Morgan Burnett is quick to stop the run. He has made 13 tackles in four games after missing two games against the Rams and Ravens. Cleveland has a 20% stuff rate, which ranks them eighth in the entire NFL.

Stats

Seahawks:

  • Rushing Attempts per Game: 30.8 (4th)
  • Yards: 613 (12th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Game: 122.6 (12th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Carry: 4 (18th)

Browns:

  • Opponent Carries Per Game 29 (24th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards: 754 (30th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game: 150.8 (29th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry: 5.2 (29th)

Who has the Edge?

The Seahawks should be able to generate significant yards on the ground. The Browns rush defense has been exploited in two straight games. They have surrendered a combined 449 rushing yards in their last two games against the Ravens and 49ers. Seahawks’ RB Chris Carson has accrued over 100 rushing yards in two straight games which included 118 yards against a solid Rams defense.

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

Cleveland Browns Running Offense
vs. Seattle Seahawks Running Defense

Cleveland Browns Running Offense

The Browns have received solid production on the ground recently. Nick Chubb is playing well, collecting 485 rushing yards on the season, which averages out to 97 rushing yards per game. The 23-year old has averaged 8.3 and 5.4 yards per rush attempt respectively in his last two games. Chubb is being utilized as a three-down back as the Browns have only given backup RB’s Dontrell Hilliard and D’Ernest Johnson a combined nine carries. Chubb’s best performance was a 165-yard effort against the Ravens. Last week Chubb tallied 87 rushing yards against a 49ers defense that is holding opponents to 80 yards per game. Seattle’s stats are identical as they are holding opponents to 80 rushing yards per game as well.

“Every time the clock starts turning, you know what you are going to get from him. After all of that, you throw in his ability, his skillset, his desire inside within to be successful and his resilient nature and chasing being good. I do not know what else you want in a football player.”

-Browns HC Freddie Kitchens on Nick Chubb.

The Browns offensive line was exploited by the 49ers last week. Also, Baker Mayfield is not a mobile quarterback. He has zero rushing yards this season.

Seattle Seahawks Run Defense

The Seahawks rush defense is among the best in the NFL. They limited Todd Gurley to only 51 rushing yards on 15 attempts in their latest action. Arizona is the only team to have any success against this rush defense when they rushed for 115 yards in week four.

Seattle features several defensive players that are effective run stuffers. Defensive tackle Quentin Jefferson leads all Seahawks defensive linemen with three tackles for a loss. Poona Ford and offseason pickup Al Woods have combined for three tackles for a loss.

Seattle’s linebackers are all effective against the run. Mychal Kendricks leads the Seahawks with four tackles for a loss, and Bobby Wagner has accumulated 50 total tackles on the season is. Wagner anchors the linebacking core, and the veteran is the highest-paid inside linebacker in the NFL. The Seahawks have stuffed their opponent at or behind the line of scrimmage 20% of the time, ranking them 11th in the NFL.

Stats

Browns:

  • Rushing Attempts per Game: 22.4 (25th)
  • Yards: 562 (16th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Game: 112.4 (17th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Carry: 5 (10th)

Seahawks:

  • Opponent Carries Per Game 18.8 (2nd)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards: 400 (6th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game: 80 (5th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry: 4.3 (12th)

Who has the Edge?

I am giving a slight edge to the Browns due to Nick Chubb’s recent performance. Chubb was able to accumulate 165 rushing yards in week four against a strong Ravens rush defense, and 87 yards on 16 carries against the 49ers who have allowed the same amount of rushing yards per game as the Seahawks. Chubb is averaging a stellar 5.2 yards per rush attempt, good for 10th in the NFL. Seattle does have a very good rush defense, however, Chubb is displaying the ability to run for big numbers regardless of the defense in front of him.

Advantage: Cleveland Browns

The Passing Game

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense
vs. Cleveland Browns Passing Defense

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense

The Seahawks' passing offense is very threatening. Russell Wilson has been one of the best QB’s in the NFL this season. The seven-year veteran has converted on 73% of his pass attempts (to lead the NFL) for 1409 yards with 12 TD’s, and he has added 120 rushing yards. His 126.3 passer rating also leads the league. Seattle has three receivers with at least 260 receiving yards led by Tyler Lockett. The sixth-year WR has made six receptions of at least 20 yards this season, and he has tallied 329 receiving yards on the year.

“Resilience, that’s what you’ve got to have to beat a championship team,” Wilson told Fox after the game. “And we have that. We definitely have that.”

“He is the best that he has ever been right now,” said Seahawks coach Pete Carroll.

DK Metcalf is having an outstanding rookie season. The former second-round pick has notched 267 receiving yards, and he is averaging 22 yards per reception. Will Dissly is another promising young player. The second-year tight end recorded 81 receiving yards against the Rams, and he has tallied 262 receiving yards on the year.

Wilson also likes to implement running back Chris Carson into the passing game through screen passes. Carson has made 15 receptions for 105 yards.

Cleveland Browns Passing Defense

The Browns pass defense has been an area of strength in their 2-3 start. They rank seventh in the NFL against the pass. The Browns feature a solid pass rush on paper with Myles Garret and Oliver Vernon at defensive end. Garrett ranks second in the NFL with seven sacks on the season. Vernon is an experienced veteran who has only made one sack this year to go with 11 tackles.

Cleveland has played their last three games without #1 corner Denzel Ward along with second-year cornerback Greedy Williams.  They have still managed to contain their opposition in their absence. CB’s T.J. Carrie and Terrance Mitchell are playing well in their place. Mitchell has deflected two passes along with 12 tackles. Both Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward returned to practice this week and there is a good chance both will make their return. Safety Jermaine Whitehead is really playing well. The third-year safety is second in team tackles with 27, and he has made one of the Browns’ four interceptions on the season.

“The guys who have come in have played exceptionally well. They have played well,” Kitchens said. “They have been doing a good job. We had some issues the other night that we are going to get corrected. Other than that, they have played well. They played good in spurts the other day, but they have played well up to this point.”

-Freddie Kitchens on the play of CB’s Carrie and Mitchell in place of Ward and Williams.

Stats

Seahawks:

  • Passes Completed: 114 (14th)
  • Average Yards Per Completion: 9 (3rd)
  • Passing Yards Per Game: 265 (8th)
  • Passing Touchdowns: 12 (1st)

Browns:

  • Opponent Passing Yards Per Game: 206.4 (7th)
  • Opponent Passes Completed: 105 (11th)
  • Opponent Completion Percentage: 67.3%: (20th)
  • Opponent TD Passes: 10: (25th)

Who has the Edge?

This is very close. Russell Wilson is playing some of the best football of his career, while the Browns pass defense has been an area of strength this season. They are seventh in passing yards allowed per game which is especially significant as they have played three games without top corners Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams.

It could be difficult this week for Wilson if Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward play. With that being said, Wilson is completing 73% of his passes with 12 touchdowns and zero picks. Tyler Lockett is difficult to guard as well. I will call this one a draw.

Advantage: Push

Cleveland Browns Passing Offense
vs. Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense

Cleveland Browns Passing Offense

The Browns' passing offense has fallen to 20th in the NFL in passing yards per game after Monday’s atrocious performance. The pressure is on Baker Mayfield to produce after logging a 13.4 QBR in San Francisco which is as bad as it gets. The former first overall draft pick has thrown at least one interception in each game this season for a 4:8 TD to INT ratio in five games. Mayfield has registered at least 280 passing yards in three games this season.

"It was like one step forward, two back," Mayfield said. "No rhythm for the offense to get into. And when we did, we just got down in the red zone and didn't finish. The inconsistency is killing us right now."

“It takes years to figure out how to play quarterback in the NFL to me,” Carroll said. “Early on when Russ had a lot of success, he was immediately compared to the top quarterbacks in the league. I always used to say, ‘Give him a few years. These guys are in their double-digit years of their career. He is way behind them.’ … Russ in the last two-three years has continued to improve. It’s a result of the great consistency.

Odell Beckham Jr. racked up over 230 receiving yards in the first two games but has been kept in check since, and he has 335 receiving yards on the year. The 26-year old WR has only made 10 receptions on 22 targets in his last three games. Mayfield and Beckham appear to have some chemistry issues right now.

"I hate losing, period," Beckham said Thursday, three days after the San Francisco 49ers throttled the Browns 31-3. "Any time we lose and I don't feel like I did anything to help win the game, I'm gonna be frustrated. That's just the bottom line. I'm a winner in my heart and I hate losing."

Beckham has more passing attempts (two) than receiving touchdowns.

"He's frustrated when he is not getting the ball and we're losing. Why not be? He feels like he could help us win if we get the ball in his hands," Mayfield said. "It's frustrating when he's not getting the ball and we are losing. You can't blame him. He's one of the best receivers in the league, and when he's not getting the ball, he always has it in the back of his mind of, 'What if I did get the ball and changed this game?'"

Keep an eye out for Jarvis Landry who is benefiting from favorable matchup as opponents are more concentrated on Beckham Jr. Landry has tallied 242 receiving yards in his last two games, and he has eclipsed Beckham JR. for the team-lead in receiving with 403 yards. The Browns are hoping to have Rashard Higgins back for this one. The 25-year old WR registered 572 receiving yards last year, and he has only played in one game this year due to injury.

Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense

The Seahawks pass defense has looked vulnerable at times. They surrendered 395 passing yards against Jared Goff, and face another talented QB this week. Seattle also squandered 418 passing yards to Andy Dalton in week one and 241 passing yards to rookie QB Kyler Murray.

The Seahawks pass rush has been mediocre, registering 10 sacks on the season, placing them 21st in the NFL. Seattle acquired Jadeveon Clowney before the season. The 26-year old defensive end is an effective pass rusher and he has one sack on the season. Ziggy Ansah, who is also a good pass rusher, also has one sack after missing the first two games. Mychal Kendricks along with Quentin Jefferson and DE Rasheem Green each share the team lead with two sacks each.

“Ziggy [Ansah] is one of those guys who just plays so hard, stuff is going to happen for him,” Carroll commented on Friday. “I think the pass rush is going to come alive here in the next few weeks, I’m really excited about that. It’s the first time I really could see enough and feel like we’ve seen these guys out there enough to make some evaluations to make the kind of tweaks and stuff so we can help them out.”

Seattle’s starting cornerbacks Tre Flowers (not to be confused with Lions DE Trey Flowers) and Shaquill Griffin are showing improvement. Griffin has allowed 11 receptions on 18 targets this season, and he has deflected four passes. Seattle has only made three interceptions this season which includes one pick from safety Bradley McDougald.

Stats

Browns:

  • Passes Completed: 91 (26th)
  • Average Yards Per Completion: 7.7 (12th)
  • Passing Yards Per Game: 227.8 (20th)
  • Passing Touchdowns: 4 (29th)

Seahawks:

  • Opponent Passing Yards Per Game: 270.6 (26th)
  • Opponent Passes Completed: 125 (27th)
  • Opponent Completion Percentage: 65%: (15th)
  • Opponent TD Passes: 7: (12th)

Who has the Edge?

This is a close one. Seattle’s pass defense has looked vulnerable and they rank 26th in passing yards allowed per game, while Browns QB Baker Mayfield is definitely struggling. I will give a slight edge to Seattle considering Mayfield’s inability to execute on a consistent basis. The young QB has failed to record more than one touchdown pass in a game all season, and his interceptions are becoming a problem, tossing eight picks in four games. On paper Seattle has a solid pass defense which includes corners Shaquill Griffin and Tre Flowers along with strong safety Bradley McDougald. The Browns offensive line is making life more difficult for Mayfield as well as he is consistently pressured in the pocket.

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

Intangibles

Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks’ field goal kicker Jason Myers is 3 for 5 on the season. One of his misses was in the 40-yard range, while the other was over 50 yards. Myers has yet to miss an extra point. Tyler Lockett can be a threat on kick returns, collecting 101 return yards on his four kick returns.

Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll has a reputation as one of the top coaches in the NFL. Carroll has one Super Bowl title and he consistently leads his team to the playoffs, qualifying for the postseason nine times in his head coaching career.

Cleveland Browns

Browns’ kicker Austin Siebert has been perfect this season, connecting on all eight field goal attempts which included a 48-yarder. He has converted on three field goals of more than 40 yards. Siebert has missed one extra point. Dontrell Hilliard has been a threat on kick returns, registering 144 returning yards on six attempts.

Browns first-year head coach Freddie Kitchens has been the subject of some criticism. The Browns are expected to reach the playoffs this year, and their lack of execution is an issue so far. Kitchens was out-coached on a few occasions this season.

Who has the Edge?

I will call the kicking and special teams a draw. Seattle definitely has the coaching edge with Pete Carroll at the helm. Carroll has his team clicking right now. Browns coach Freddie Kitchens appears to still be learning on the fly, and his inexperience is evident

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

Final Outlook

This is a small spread as the oddsmakers clearly expect the Browns to bounce back after Monday’s disastrous performance. I strongly recommend taking the Seahawks with this small spread. The Seahawks are clicking in several areas while the Browns are not. I expect Chris Carson to play a big role in this game. Carson and the Seahawks are averaging a solid 122 rushing yards per game, and the Browns rush defense has plummeted down to 29th in the NFL after surrendering 449 rushing yards in their last two games.

Furthermore, the Seahawks defense will be tough for the Browns to solve. The Browns offensive line has looked awful. Mayfield has been sacked a remarkable 16 times on the season, and I don’t see him getting a ton of time in the pocket. The second-year QB also looks unsure of himself in the pocket. Mayfield’s eight interceptions are an issue as well. Seattle has defensive studs all over the field, and they should neutralize the Browns offense.

The Seahawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after recording more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game.

The Browns are an awful 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a winning record, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

Injuries

Seattle is relatively healthy. They have two offensive linemen listed as doubtful for this game as Duane Brown and D.J. Fluker are not expected to suit up according to the final injury report. Center Ethan Pocic and #2 RB Rashaad Penny are both questionable.

The two big Browns' injuries many are following is the status of top cornerbacks Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward. Both participated in practice this week and are officially listed as questionable. WR Rashard Higgins was a full participant in practice and he should sit up. Offensive tackle Kendall Lamm is also questionable.

The weather in Cleveland is expected to be warm and sunny, so the weather will not play a factor in this one. 

The Browns actually opened as 2.5 favorites on some sportsbooks before their Monday night disaster against the 49ers. The line shifted to favor the Seahawks by two points, and the line is favoring Seattle by one point as of Saturday afternoon. 

Prediction: Seattle Seahawks

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am expecting the over to cash. The Seahawks have already demonstrated their ability to produce, scoring 30 points against the Rams in their previous game. The Browns rush defense has been abysmal, and Russell Wilson is in a groove. The veteran QB has completed 70% of his passes in four of five games played this season. Seattle should have no problem generating consistent offense, plus the over is 5-1 in their last six road games, and 11-3 in their last 14 games overall.

In addition, the Browns should come through with a much better offensive effort after last week’s debacle. Browns’ RB Nick Chubb is the real deal, and he should make an impact on this game. This Browns' team did score 40 points against the Ravens which can be viewed as a fluke, but they do have offensive potential.

Prediction: Over

Full-game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over on the Seahawks team total offered on PointsBet is a solid play. This number of 23.5 points is more than reasonable. Seattle has scored at least 27 points in four consecutive games, and two of those contests occurred on the road. The Browns defense has been an issue as they have squandered at least 25 points on three occasions this season. Russell Wilson just recorded four touchdown passes against the Rams, and I anticipate another big game.

Prediction: Seahawks Team Total: Over

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I expect Seattle to have a lead at the half. Cleveland hasn’t generated any significant offense in the first half. They stand 25th in the NFL with an average of 8.2 points in the opening half, and only six points in the first half in their two home games. The Seahawks are averaging a solid 12.4 points in the opening half, and they have entered halftime with the lead in two straight games.

Prediction: Seattle Seahawks

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I anticipate a low scoring first half. I expect a good portion of the offense in the final half as both teams are more productive in the second half so far this season. The Browns are posting 10.2 points in the second half, and the Seahawks have been a second-half team where they are averaging 14.2 points on the season. Moreover, the Browns are really having trouble defensively in the closing half where they are squandering an average of 15.2 points, placing them down at 29th in the NFL.

Prediction: Under

Half-time Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

A prop worth a close look is the over on Chris Carson’s rushing total. Carson has rushed for 104 and 118 yards in his last two games respectively. He is seeing a ton of action. Wilson has handed off to Carson a combined 49 times in the last two games. As mentioned, the Browns rush defense struggled in two straight games, and Seattle is going to try to exploit them on the ground similar to what the Ravens and 49ers did in the last two games.

Prediction: Chris Carson Rushing Total: Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.