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Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens,
10-15-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#261 Chicago
Bears
#262 Baltimore
Ravens

Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Chicago Bears (1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U) at Baltimore Ravens (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U)

When and Where: Sunday, Oct. 15, M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Md., 1pmET

Line: Baltimore -7

Total: 41.5

The Baltimore Ravens are back in the mix after a solid 30-17 road win over Oakland on Sunday. They’ll face a Chicago team off a short week. The Bears lost at home to Minnesota on Monday night, 20-17, spoiling the debut of rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky. These teams haven’t faced each other since 2013 when the Bears won in overtime, 23-20 at home.

Trubisky’s late interception costs the Bears

Chicago and head coach John Fox did all they could to help Trubisky in his first start on Monday night. They ran the ball 29 times for 115 yards against a pretty good defense. Fox also ran a fake punt in the third quarter which included a pass from punter Pat O’Donnell to Benny Cunningham, who juked tacklers on his way to a 38-yard touchdown. But in the next possession, Vikings running back Jerick McKinnon ripped off a 58-yard touchdown run with 3:31 left in the third quarter to take a 17-9 lead. In the fourth quarter, Trubisky hit tight end Zach Miller with a 20-yard touchdown pass off the hands of safety Andrew Sendejo to cut the lead to two. The Bears tied the game on a razzle-dazzle two-point conversion that saw Trubisky run it in on a pitch from Miller.

Trubisky had his struggles, going 12 of 25 for 128 yards with one TD and one pick. Running back Jordan Howard rushed for 76 yards on 19 carries with a long of 13. He leads the squad with 328 rushing yards and four TDs.The Bears’ defense kept their offense in the game, allowing just 141 passing yards against a gimpy Sam Bradford and Case Keenumber. They did struggle against the run, giving up 159 yards on 31 carries. On the season, Chicago is allowing just 305 yards per game overall including 100.2 on the ground.

Flacco break streak

Joe Flacco had thrown at least one interception in 10 straight games going into the Oakland game. That’s not a streak a quarterback wants to hold. Baltimore’s offense was limited to 16 points over the last two games and they scored 44 in their first two. But they were helped out in their first two games by forcing 10 turnovers. Flacco, who missed the entire preseason due to a back injury, finally looked like his old self against Oakland, completing 19 of 26 for 222 yards with no interceptions. Baltimore’s defense also took advantage of backup quarterback E.J. Manuel, who completed just 50% of his passes for 159 yards. Flacco led the team right down the field in the first possession, which was finished on TE Vince Mayle’s 2-yard run. On the Raiders’ first possession, Patrick Onwuasor forced a fumble from tight end Jared Cook and cornerback Jimmy Smith returned it 47 yards to give the Ravens a 14-0 lead that they would never relinquish.

The Ravens also were able to run the ball led by Buck Allens 73 yards on 21 carries and Alex Collins (55 yards on 12 attempts). They did lose former starter Terrance West (calf) early in the game after a 13-yard run to set up the score. West (138 yards, 2 TDs) is likely to miss a couple of games. Collins has stepped up with 261 yards and a 7.1 yards per carry average. Flacco has just 823 yards passing with five TDs and six picks this season (71.0 QBR). Baltimore is averaging just 288.8 yards per game of offense (28th) and 158.4 in the air (31st). They allow 328.6 yards per game (16th) and 205.2 passing yards (9th).

NFL Trends:

Chicago is:

  • 8-3 ATS last 11 after a SU loss.

Baltimore is:

  • 1-4 ATS last 5 in Week 6.
  • 5-16-1 ATS last 22 in October.

Didn’t see that Ravens win coming against the Raiders. They had gone from London back to Baltimore to the West Coast in the last three games. But they were helped by Derek Carr getting injured. The Bears get LB Danny Travathan back from a suspension and another week for Trubisky should at least have them compete. Howard and rookie Tarik Cohen should be able to run the ball against a Ravens’ run defense that has struggled with 350-pound nose tackle Brandon Williams (foot).

Pick: Chicago

Baltimore finally went over last week and they went over in Week 3 in London, when nobody showed up in a 44-7 loss. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven games going back to last season. With their receiver situation and with a young quarterback, they are not going to be very explosive. Chicago is 4-0 Under last 4 in October and 22-9 Under last 31 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing yards in their previous game. Baltimore is 10-4 Under last 14 after an ATS win.

Under

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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