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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders,
10-15-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#271 Los Angeles
Chargers
#272 Oakland
Raiders

Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 4:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Los Angeles Chargers (1-4 SU, 1-3-1 PS, 3-2-0 O/U) vs Oakland Raiders (2-3 SU, 2-3-0 PS, 2-3-0 O/U)

When: 4:25 PM EDT, Sunday, October 15, 2017

Where: Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California

Lines: NA

Total: NA

NFL action on Sunday afternoon and a pair of AFC West foes will square off as the Los Angeles Chargers battle it out with the Oakland Raiders at Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. The Chargers are off their first win of the season as they beat the Giants on the road by a score of 27-22, while the Raiders are off a bad 30-17 home loss to the Ravens.  Last year on this field, the Raiders won by a score of 34-31.

Bolts Get Their First Win Of The Year

The New York Giants are a mess this year and they have a ton of Injuries and the Chargers were able to take advantage of that this past week as they beat the Giants by a score of 27-22 on the road, to pick up their first win of the year. The Chargers have been decent on offense so far and it really had a good showing in their win against the Giants. The running game really had a good showing as they ran for 124 yards, with Melvin Gordon leading the way as he had 105 yards rushing in the game. The ground game has been one of the worst in the league so far, but getting that running game going really helped out the passing game. Philip Rivers hit just 21 of 44 passes, but he did so for 258 yards with three TDs and one INT in the game. He has had a good career against the Raiders as he is 14-8 against them and has thrown for 245.5 ypg with 37 TDs and 18 INTs while posting a 93.0 QBR against them. That running game really needs to continue to play well as it opens up throwing lanes for Rivers to hit some big plays downfield. The Defense for the Chargers have had mixed results this year as they have been very good against the pass, but their run defense has been the worst in the league and it played out that way against the Giants as they allowed just 183 yards passing, but 152 yards on the ground. That run defense really has to be troubling, especially since the Giants can’t run the ball and now they must face Marshawn Lynch of the Raiders. The Chargers will need to fix that in a hurry.     

The Chargers have been decent on offense so far this year as they come in ranked 11th in the league in total offense (345.6 ypg), 6th in passing (266.8 ypg), 29th in rushing (78.8 ypg) and 20th in scoring at 19.8 ppg. On defense, they have been poor as they come in ranked 24th in total yards allowed (351.4 ypg), 4th against the pass (190.2 ypg) and 32nd vs the run (161.2 ypg), while allowing 23.0 ppg, which is 21st in the league.

Raiders To Get Carr Back For This One

The Oakland Raiders had such high hopes coming into this year and with good reason as they had a high-powered passing game with Derek Carr under center and they had upgraded their ground attack with the addition of Marshawn Lynch, plus they had an improved defense. The Raiders got off to a 2-0 start, but have lost their last three games in a row with the offense really struggling as they have averaged just 209 ypg and 12.3 ppg over those last three games. That is not good at all, but help is on the way as head coach Jack Del Rio has stated that Carr should be back in the lineup this week. Carr has left game four early with a back injury and missed last week’s loss to the Ravens at home. He has thrown for 753 yards with seven TDs and just two INTs on the year while posting a 101.2 QBR. Carr has gone 4-2 against the Bolts in his career and has thrown for 246.2 ypg with 11 TDs and four INTs while posting a QBR of 91.8 QBR in those games. The running game really needs to get going to help take pressure off of Carr. Marshawn Lynch was expected to help the ground game, but he has run for just 194 yards in five games so far. He may get going in this one against the league’s worst run defense. The defense has struggled so far and a lot of that has been because of the inability of the offense to stay on the field for long drives. We will see if they can fix that against a good Chargers’ offense that has some confidence after last week’s win.    

Oakland enters this contest ranked 30th in the league in total offense (279.2 ypg), 26th in passing (188.6 ypg), 23rd in rushing (90.6 ypg) and 16th in scoring at 21.6 ppg. On defense, they come in ranked 23rd in total yards allowed (351.2 ypg), 18th against the pass (226.6 ypg) and 25th vs the run (124.6 ypg), while allowing just 21.6 ppg, which is 16th in the league.

Trends

Los Angeles is:

  • The Underdog is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings
  • 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Oakland

Oakland is:

  • 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall

The Los Angeles Chargers are off their first win of the year and it came on the road where they may have more success this year as their home fans just haven’t been supporting them. They will be taking on a Raiders team that has lost their last three games in a row and have looked bad in doing so, but Oakland will be getting back QB Derek Carr for this one and their run game may be effective against a porous San Diego run defense that has allowed 161.2 ypg on the ground so far. Still, I feel the Chargers can keep this one close. They have a very good offense, while the Raiders have struggled on defense and even Carr did really struggle against the Redskins in his last game prior to injury. The Chargers have a weak run defense, but one of the best pass defenses in this league. I do look for LA to play better on the road than at home and Rivers and company should have what it takes to keep the game close.

Pick: Los Angeles

The Bolts finally had a good offensive game in their win against the Giants last week, the ground game got going, which really opened up the passing game. The Raiders have really struggled on offense of late, but they will be getting back Derek Carr for this one. The Raiders have not been able to run the ball in the early going, but that should change in this one against the league’s worst run defense and they will open up some good throwing lanes for Carr to hit some big plays downfield. I can see the Raider offense having a good showing in this one, while the Bolts build off of last week’s performance against the Giants, so take the Over    

Pick: Over

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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