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San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Redskins,
10-15-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#263 San Francisco
49ers
#264 Washington
Redskins

Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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San Francisco 49ers (0-5; 3-2 ATS: 2-3 O/U) vs. Washington Redskins (2-2; 2-2 ATS: 2-2 O/U)

NFL Week Six: Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 1:00pm EST

Line: Washington -10

Total: 46.5

The Washington Redskins will host the San Francisco 49ers in an NFC battle Sunday afternoon from FedEx Field. The 49ers were edged 26-23 in overtime by the Colts last week, and the Redskins were off last week and lost 29-20 to the Chiefs in week four. This marks the first meeting since the 2014 season in a contest the 49ers won 17-13.

Hoyer Shines in Tough OT Loss to Colts

The San Francisco 49ers rallied for 17 points in the fourth quarter but came up short in a tough 26-23 road overtime loss to the Colts to drop to 0-5. Brian Hoyer was outstanding, connecting on 29 of 46 passes for 353 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. The 31-year old quarterback has played well in two out of his last three games and has now registered 1211 passing yards with a 4:4 TD to INT ratio. Marquise Goodwin had his best game of the season in the loss, making five catches for 116 yards. The 26-year old wide receiver is now second in team receiving behind Pierre Garcon with 243 receiving yards. The 49ers only rushed for 66 yards as a team in the loss with Carlos Hyde picking up only 11 yards. Overall, Hyde is having a solid season, racking up 332 rushing yards. The 49ers offense has been productive in two out of their last three games after only scoring a combined 12 points in their first two games.

The San Francisco defense allowed 447 total yards to the Colts, however, the game did go to overtime. They were able to make four sacks with Elvis Dumervil coming up with 1.5 sacks and 1.5 tackles for a loss. The 49ers have been a victim of some very close losses with their last two defeats coming in overtime.

Redskins Can’t Hold Early Lead in Loss to Chiefs

The Washington Redskins enter their week six contest well-rested after enjoying their bye week. They will be hungry to get back in action after they let a 10-point lead slip away in a tough 29-20 loss to the Chiefs in week four. Kirk Cousins was decent in the loss to the Chiefs, converting on 14 of 24 passes for 220 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Overall, the 29-year old quarterback is having a solid season, recording 1004 passing yards with a 7:1 TD to INT ratio. Terrelle Pryor Sr. had a solid night, making three grabs for a season-high 70 receiving yards. The 28-year old wide receiver is now second in team receiving behind Chris Thompson with 186 receiving yards. The Redskins did run the ball a fair amount in the loss, collecting 111 yards on 26 carries. Chris Thompson rushed for 23 yards and is now second in team rushing with 142 yards. The Redskins passing game has yet to reach it’s full potential yet this season, ranking 14th in the NFL with an average of 233 passing yards per game.

The Redskins defense had trouble stopping the Chiefs offense in their previous contest, surrendering 429 total yards which included 168 rushing yards. Cornerback Josh Norman went down with a broken rib and will not play in this contest. Although early, this can be viewed as a must-win game against a low-scoring 49ers team, especially considering the fact the Eagles are 4-1.

Trends:

The San Francisco 49ers are:

  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
  • 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games after recording more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game.

The Washington Redskins are:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
  • 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game.

I am taking the Redskins in this contest. I expect Kirk Cousins to have a big afternoon against a shaky pass defense than is allowing an average of 250 passing yards per game. Cousins has posted a 5:0 TD to INT ratio over his last two games against two tough opponents in the Raiders and Chiefs. The Redskins running game has also been solid this season against some strong defensive units. Furthermore, Hoyer has been inconsistent as he has only tossed a touchdown in two of five games this season. The Redskins were able to beat the Raiders by 17 points at FedEx Field in week three,  and I am confident they can pour on the points in this one.

Pick: Washington Redskins

The Redskins should have no problem scoring points against a weak defense, and the 49ers could exploit the Josh Norman injury. I fully expect Cousins and the Redskins balanced running game to do big damage against a defense that does not excel in any area, and the over is 14-3 in the Redskins last 17 games against a team with a losing record. The 49ers could have some success in the air, especially with cornerback Josh Norman out, plus the over is 9-2 in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Pick: Over

5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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