Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#255 Green Bay Packers vs.
#256 Chicago Bears
Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 1:00pm EDT
Soldier Field, Chicago
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Green Bay Packers will head on the road to Soldier Field on Sunday afternoon for an NFC North showdown against the division rival Chicago Bears.

Justin Fields is coming off of his back-to-back wins as the Bears’ starting quarterback. Chicago enters Week 6 with a 3-2 overall record, good for second place in the NFC North standings. Meanwhile, the Packers are one game ahead of Chicago in the division standings with a 4-1 record. Since getting blown out in Week 1 versus the New Orleans Saints, Green Bay has won four straight games.

Can Green Bay squeak out a win on the road at Soldier Field against the Bears on Sunday?

Rodgers, Packers look to extend winning streak to five games

Green Bay narrowly escaped with a 25-22 overtime win on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals last week. After missing three consecutive game-winning tries, Mason Crosby finally kicked a field goal through the uprights late in the overtime frame to send the Packers to victory. Aaron Rodgers completed 27-of-39 passes for 344 yards with two touchdowns and one interception on the day while top target Davante Adams caught 11 balls for 206 yards and a score in the win.

At age 37, Rogers hasn’t missed a beat this season. Despite another tumultuous offseason in Green Bay, the future Hall of Famer continues to play at an MVP level. He has completed 65.6 percent of his passes for 1,241 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions so far this season. Rodgers’ connection with Adams has also been undeniable. He’s targeted Adams 61 times, completing 42 of those throws, including 10 completions for 20 yards or more. Through five games, Adams already has 579 yards and two touchdowns.

On defense, Green Bay has given up 24.4 points per game and 322.6 yards of total offense per contest, which ranks sixth in the NFL. The Packers have also been tough against the pass, allowing just 220.4 yards per game through the air, which ranks 10th in the league.

Fields seeks third straight win as Bears' starting QB

Fields threw his first touchdown pass to help Chicago take down the Las Vegas Raiders 20-9 on the road last week. He finished 12-of-20 passing for 111 yards and one touchdown while Damien Williams added a touchdown run for the Bears, who held the disgruntled Raiders to just 259 total yards and 4.3 yards per play on the day.

Fields’ numbers don’t jump off of the charts but the rookie has done a good job of limiting turnovers while under center this season. Chicago has just four giveaways in five games this season and two of those were committed by former starter Andy Dalton. The No. 11 overall pick has thrown for 458 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions this season. He’s yet to flash his wheels on the ground, compiling just 59 rushing yards, including no more in 12 yards on the ground in his three games as a starter.

The Bears placed running back Damien Williams on the reserve/COVID-19 list on Thursday, putting his status for Sunday’s contest in doubt, according to ESPN. His absence will put the spotlight on rookie Khalil Herbert, who was drafted in the sixth round of the NFL Draft. Last week, Herbert rumbled his way through with 75 yards on 18 carries and he will be the de facto No. 1 running back in a Chicago backfield that has been decimated by injuries this season.

On defense, Chicago ranks seventh in the NFL in scoring defense at just 20.0 points per game. The Bears have held opponents to 332.4 yards of total offense per contest, good for eighth in the NFL, including just 228.6 passing yards per game, 12th in the league.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Bears come into the week as six-point underdogs at Soldier Field but there could be some value on the home team in this spot.  Green Bay has won four in a row and it had some trouble last week against the Bengals. While Chicago hasn't put up big offensive numbers with Fields under center, it has shown an ability to move the football over the last two games. The Bears have also turned the ball over just four times this season and are tied with the Packers for sixth in the NFL in turnover margin (+3). Look for the Bears to keep this one close at home. Take Chicago to cover the spread in this NFC North showdown on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Chicago Bears (+6)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

These two teams are projected for 44 points but that number seems to be set a little too high in this spot. The Packers have scored at least 25 points one each of their four wins while Chicago has given up more than 17 points just once in five games. The Bears also rank dead-last in the NFL in total offense, which bodes well for a low-scoring game here. Look for Chicago to try to keep the ball on the ground and play field-position football in this game. Take the under at Soldier Field on Sunday.

Prediction: Under 44
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.