Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#257 Kansas City Chiefs vs.
#258 Washington Football Team
Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 1:00pm EDT
FedEx Field, Landover
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Kansas City Chiefs will head on the road to FedEx Field on Sunday afternoon for a Week 6 showdown against the Washington Football Team.

Washington is fresh off of a tough loss at home versus the New Orleans Saints. The Football Team has dropped two of its last three games to enter with a 2-3 overall record, good for second place in the lowly NFC East. Meanwhile, Kansas City is trying to rebound following last week’s blowout loss versus Buffalo. The Chiefs also enter with a 2-3 overall record after dropping three of their last four contests.

Can Kansas City get its revenge on the road against Washington on Sunday afternoon?

Mahomes, Chiefs battling turnover issues

Kansas City suffered an ugly 38-20 loss at home against the Buffalo Bills last weekend in a showdown between two of the NFL’s top quarterbacks. Patrick Mahomes completed 33-of-54 passes for 272 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions while rushing for a team-high 61 yards on the ground for the Chiefs in the loss.

Following a fast start, Mahomes has been uncharacteristically turnover-prone over the last three games. The all-world quarterback has thrown for just 270 yards per game with five interceptions during that span. For the season, Mahome has completed 69.2 percent of his passes for 1,490 yards with 16 touchdowns and six interceptions. He also lost a fumble last week against the Bills and has been a victim of poor pass protection at times in 2021.

Mahomes will also be dealing with the loss of starting running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who is expected to miss “a few weeks” due to an MCL sprain, according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter. Veterans Darrel Williams and Jerick McKinnon are expected to take on a greater role in his absence.

On defense, Kansas City has had trouble getting stops all season. Through five games, the defense has surrendered 32.6 points per game, the worst mark in the NFL. The Chiefs have also given up 437.4 yards of total offense and 308.6 passing yards per game. Both marks rank in the bottom-five in the league.

Heinicke looks to bounce back after worst game of 2021

Washington came up short 33-22 at home against the New Orleans Saints to fall below .500 on the season. After a neck-and-neck first half, the Football Team surrendered a 49-yard hail mary for a touchdown that changed the complexion of the game. Taylor Heinicke completed 20-of-41 passes for 248 yards with two interceptions while Antonio Gibson rushed for 60 yards and two scores in the loss.

Heinicke has held his own in his first full year as a starter. The 28-year-old has completed 64.2 percent of his passes for 1,208 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions so far this season. However, Heinicke is coming off of his worst game of 2021 against the Saints. He failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time and tied a season-high with two interceptions last week.

Washington’s receiving corps remains banged up heading into Week 6. Curtis Samuel left last week’s content with a lingering groin injury and rookie Dynami Brown was inactive with a knee injury. Tight end Logan Thomas has also been dealing with a hamstring injury and has not returned to practice after missing the last two weeks.

On defense, Washington has taken a step backward in 2021. The Football Team has surrendered 31 points per game and 415.8 yards of total offense per contest, including a whopping 301.4 yards per game through the air.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Buffalo was able to bottle up Tyreke Hill and Travis Kelce last week, stifling the Chiefs' offense in the process. While Mahomes has struggled in recent weeks, don't expect that to happen here. Washington has been among the worst teams in the NFL against the pass and it has forced just four turnovers on defense this season, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Look for Mahomes to carve up the Washington defense en route to a big day here. Take the Chiefs to cover the spread on the road in this matchup on Sunday.

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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While these have been two of the NFL's worst defenses, neither team has exactly lit up the scoreboard either. Washington has scored 22 points or fewer in two of its last three games while the Chiefs have scored 24 points or fewer twice during that same span. Kansas City has also been plagued by turnovers in recent games, which bodes well for the under in this spot. Already dealing with the loss of their top running back, expect a more conservative game plan from the Chiefs here and take the under in this matchup in Washington on Sunday.

Prediction: Under 54.5
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Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.