Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#261 Los Angeles Chargers vs.
#262 Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, October 17, 2021 at 1:00pm EDT
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Written by Adam Rauzino

The Los Angeles Chargers head on the road to take on the Baltimore Ravens in a thrilling AFC showdown on Sunday afternoon. The Chargers scoring barrage continued in a win over the Browns last week. The Ravens extended their winning streak with a home win over the Colts. These foes last met in 2019 in a game the Chargers won 23-17.

Chargers Seek Fourth Straight Win

The Los Angeles Chargers are targeting a fourth consecutive win. They have defeated strong foes in their three-game winning streak, topping the Chiefs, Raiders, followed by a wild 47-42 home win over the Browns last week to cover the 2.5 point spread. The Chargers' only defeat came against a strong Cowboys team. L.A. has covered in four of their five games.

Justin Herbert continues to dazzle. The 23-year old QB has recorded at least 280 passing yards in four of his five performances on the season including 398 passing yards last week. Herbert is up to 1576 passing yards accompanied by a 13:3 TD to INT ratio. Austin Ekeler is quite the weapon. The 26-year old RB has 349 rushing yards and has made eight catches in his last two games for a season total of 194 receiving yards.

Mike Williams will probably be lined up against either Marlon Humphrey or Anthony Averett in this one. The veteran WR has eclipsed 100 yards in two out of his last three games and has collected 471 receiving yards on the year. The Chargers offense is establishing themselves as one of the best in the NFL, especially in the air.

The Los Angeles defense is mediocre at best. They surrendered over 500 yards to the Browns last week. The pass defense has been solid, coming in at seventh, however, the rush defense continues to be exploited, ranking last in the NFL. Joey Bosa leads the team with 2.5 sacks. The Chargers are scoring an average of 28.4 points, good for sixth in the league. The defense is allowing an average of 23.2 points, landing them at 12th in the NFL.

High-Flying Ravens Top Colts in Fourth Consecutive Win

The Baltimore Ravens' week one defeat to the Raiders is now a distant memory. They have collected four consecutive wins propelled by stellar production from the offense. Baltimore has defeated the Chiefs, Lions, Broncos, and Colts. They were 7.5 point favorites in Monday’s wild 31-25 overtime home win against the Colts last week. The Ravens have covered the points in two of their five games.

Lamar Jackson was tremendous last week, accumulating a season-best 441 passing yards. The 24-year old mobile QB has now eclipsed 300 yards in back-to-back games and is up to 1519 passing yards complemented by an 8:3 TD to INT ratio to go with 341 rushing yards.

Latavius Murray continues to receive most of the carries from the RB’s. The veteran has 168 rushing yards. Marquise Brown will be up against a good pass defense in this one. The 24-year old brought in 125 yards against the Colts and has accrued 451 on the season. The Baltimore offense now leads the NFL in total yards per game.

The Ravens' defense has been inconsistent. They surrendered 513 total yards against the Colts and especially have trouble defending the pass, standing 29th in the league while the rush defense is seventh. Baltimore is scoring an average of 27.2 points, good for ninth in the NFL. They are conceding an average of 23.4 points, placing them 14th overall.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Chargers and Ravens are two of the hottest teams in the NFL. Baltimore has won four consecutive games including a win against the Colts last week. I expect a big game on the ground considering the Chargers will give up plenty of rushing yards. They are surrendering 157.6 rushing yards per game, pegging them last in the entire NFL. Baltimore had their remarkable 100-yard rushing streak thwarted last week but they will rebound with a big performance.

Furthermore, the Chargers surrendered a whopping 42 points to Baker Mayfield and the Browns last week and can’t be trusted on the road. Baltimore has averaged 28.7 points in their three home games and I expect the offense to propel them to a decisive win.

Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This one will be a shootout. The Ravens lead the NFL with over 440 total yards per game. The running game is among the best and the passing offense is also elite. Jackson has accumulated 758 passing yards in his last two games against the Broncos and Colts. 

In addition, Justin Herbert and the Chargers' third-ranked passing offense should produce against a Ravens pass defense that is tabbed 29th in the NFL. Herbert has tallied at least 280 passing yards in all but one game this season. The over is 6-1 in the Ravens’ last seven home games and it will deliver again.

Prediction: Over 51.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Ravens' team total will cash. The Ravens are very difficult to defend due to Jackson’s option runs. As mentioned the Chargers have the worst rush defense. The Ravens' passing game is also elite as we saw on Monday night. Jackson tallied a whopping 442 passing yards against the Colts and will thrive against a defense that gave up over 300 passing yards last week. 

Prediction: Ravens Team Total Over 26.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

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I am opting for the over on Jackson’s rushing total. The Chargers rush defense is a weakness and the Ravens should exploit them on the ground. They opted for the pass a ton last week because they were trailing most of the game but should get back to plenty of rushes. Jackson still managed to rush for 62 yards last week.

Prediction: Lamar Jackson Rushing Total Over 69.5
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.