Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#257 Buffalo Bills vs.
#258 Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 1:00pm EDT
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Written by Dave Kovaleski

We got a good one Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens in what could be a rainy day. Both teams come into this game with records of 2-1. The Ravens have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams, but the Bills scored a win most recently, beating the Ravens 17-3 in the Divisional round of the playoffs two seasons ago. The Bills are the road favorites in this one, favored by 3 points. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

Bills suffer first loss

The Bills came into last Sunday's game with the Dolphins considered the best team in the NFL. They were 2-0 and won both games in resounding fashion, drubbing the Rams in week one and the Titans in week two. Then last week they faced the upstart Dolphins in Miami and fell 21-19 as 4 point favorites. It was their first loss of the season. It was a wild game that saw the Bills enter the fourth quarter with a 17-14 lead. But then the Dolphins scored in the fourth on a Chase Edmunds touchdown run to take a 21-17 lead. With about 1:37 left, the Bills held the Dolphins and forced them to punt. This is where things got weird. Take a look.

The Dolphins punter, kicking from his own end zone, had little room to execute the punt. So his punt was blocked by his own player, wide receiver Trent Sherfield, who had moved back to block for Morstead. But because there was little room, Morstead's punt hit Sherfield in the backside in a play that soon became known as the butt punt. The ball bounded into the end zone for a safety and it was now 21-19. The Bills would get the ball back only needing a field goal to win. The Bills drove it down as far as the Miami 43 with 27 seconds left, but a holding call brought the ball back 10 yards, well out of field goal range, and the game was over. The Bills suffered their first loss. Josh Allen compiled 400 yards passing and two touchdowns, but the offense only generated 17 points.

Ravens top Patriots

The Baltimore Ravens improved to 2-1 last Sunday with a 37-26 win over the Patriots in New England. They easily covered the spread as a 2.5 point favorite. The game was tight until midway through the third quarter when the Ravens started to pull away, with Lamar Jackson throwing a touchdown pass to Devin Duvernay then rushing for another. Even though they were outgained by the Patriots 447 to 394, the difference was the turnover battle. The Ravens intercepted Mac Jones three times and forced four total turnovers and that proved to be the difference in the outcome. Lamar Jackson had a typical Lamar Jackson game, dominating the Patriots.

Jackson was 18 for 29 for 218 yards passing with four touchdowns and one interception. He also rushed for 107 yards on 11 carries and scored a running touchdown. Mark Andrews caught 8 passes for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns while Rashod Bateman caught two passes for 59 yards and Duvernay had two catches including a touchdown. The Ravens lead the league, averaging 3 points per game. They rank 17th in passing yards and 8th in rushing yards. They give up 25.7 points per game, which is 24th, and they are dead last in pass defense, giving up 353 yards per game in the air.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Despite last week's loss, I still think the Bills are the best team in the NFL right now and they should be angry heading to Baltimore. But this game won't be easy, but it will be a lot of fun. The game pits two of the best, and most exciting quarterbacks in the league against one another, so there should be a lot of offense, The Ravens lead the NFL in points per game while the Bills are third. But here's the thing -- the Ravens' defense is not very good, and is terrible against the pass. They gave up 26 points and 400 plus yards to an anemic Patriots offense, imagine what Allen and Co. will do. The Ravens won't have enough defense to stop the Bills when they need to. Take the Bills laying the points.

Prediction: Buffalo -3

Full-Game Total Pick

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As mentioned, this game features two of the best quarterbacks in the game and two of the best offenses as the Ravens average 33 points per game, 1st, and the Bills average 30 points per game, 3rd. You really can't hold down Jackson, as he is going to hurt you one way or another. But the Ravens have no shot of slowing down Allen and the Bills, so this will turn into a battle of gunslingers and the result will be a game played in the 30s or high 2os. The Bills are the far better defense and when push comes to shove, they'll be able to get enough stops to win while the Ravens won't be able to do that. Take the over here.

Prediction: Over 51
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Written By Dave Kovaleski , "Dave Kovaleski"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications and we are very happy to have him as a part of our team here at Winners & Whiners and StaSalt. In addition to being a sportswriter and sports bettor, Dave has also worked in the financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and break down the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports. You will not be disappointed in following Dave on a daily basis.