Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#273 Denver Broncos vs.
#274 Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 4:25pm EDT
Oakland Coliseum, Oakland
Written by The Admiral

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Denver Broncos (2-1) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (0-3)

Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season goes on Sunday, October 2, with the AFC West showdown from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas where the Raiders shoot for their fifth consecutive victory over the Denver Broncos.   

The bookies are expecting a tight battle, and the Raiders are listed as 2.5-point home favorites. The Broncos are +125 moneyline dogs, while the totals sit at 45.5 points.

The Broncos narrowly outlasted the 49ers for their second straight W

The Denver Broncos improved to 2-1 straight up and 1-2 ATS on the season following an 11-10 home victory over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 3. It was an ugly game and a proper defensive battle, as Russell Wilson and the Broncos recorded nine three-and-outs. Wilson got sacked four times and finished 20-of-33 for 184 yards and no TD passes, but Denver’s defensive unit forced three turnovers to keep the Broncos alive. 

"We're still learning each other as a whole new system," Russell Wilson said. "There's so much greatness in store, and I can't wait for it. Just watching our defense battle, battle, battle ... everyone believed in each other and that's what football is all about." 

The Broncos had 33 carries for 101 yards against the Niners’ sturdy run D. Melvin Gordon scored a TD but also fumbled twice while averaging just 2.2 yards per rush. Javonte Williams added 58 yards on 15 totes, while Courtland Sutton caught eight of his ten targets for 97 yards. 

Denver’s offense has struggled mightily through the first three weeks, averaging 14.3 points per game (31st in the NFL) on 230.3 passing yards (18th) and 117.7 rushing yards. Also, the Broncos are 1-for-7 in the red zone. At least, their defense has been outstanding thus far, allowing 12.0 points per game (2nd in the NFL) on 170.0 passing yards (3rd) and 81.3 rushing yards (6th).

The Raiders are already in trouble

The Las Vegas Raiders fell to 0-3 SU and ATS following a 24-22 defeat at the Tennessee Titans this past Sunday. The Raiders were listed as small 2-point road favorites, but they trailed the Titans for all 60 minutes and didn’t deserve to get anything from a tough Week 3 matchup. They held Tennessee off the scoreboard in the second half, and it wasn’t enough. 

“I'm looking for us to try to improve and play a full 60-minute game, where we actually start well, play well in all three phases, see what that looks like,” Las Vegas head coach Josh McDaniels said. “I'm not sure that we've done that yet.” 

The 29-year-old wideout Mack Hollins had the best game of his professional career in Nashville, racking up 158 yards and a touchdown on eight receptions. Derek Carr completed just 26 of his 44 passing attempts, finishing with 303 yards, a couple of touchdowns, and an interception, while Davante Adams caught five of his ten targets for 36 yards and a TD. 

The Raiders are tallying 21.3 points per game (tied-10th in the NFL) on 266.7 passing yards (7th) and 80.0 rushing yards (28th). Although they average 4.5 yards per carry, the Raiders continue to neglect their ground game. On the other side of the ball, Las Vegas is yielding 25.7 points per contest (tied-24th) on 267.0 passing yards (26th) and 109.3 rushing yards (tied-14th). 

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Raiders are in a must-win situation. Falling to 0-4 would be a disaster in the AFC West, so the Raiders have to step up on both sides of the ball and find a way to beat the Broncos. Josh McDaniels has plenty of talented players at his disposal, and I’m looking for the Raiders’ first win in 2022. With Derek Carr, Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs, and Darren Waller on their roster, the Raiders have enough weapons to deal with Denver’s defensive unit.  

The Broncos’ defense is one of the best in the league, but their offense will need a few more weeks to gel things. Also, defensive lineman D.J. Jones is in the concussion protocol, and his absence will open a huge hole in Denver’s interior defense. The Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their previous nine encounters with the Raiders.

Prediction: Take the Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Two of the last three encounters between the Broncos and Raiders have gone over the total, but the under is 9-2 in their previous 11 meetings. I’ll take the under in this clash, as both offenses have been pretty inconsistent through the first three weeks of the 2022 season. The Broncos will continue to lean on their tough defense, while the Raiders have to rely on their rushing in this matchup. 

The under is 11-3 in Denver’s last 14 games overall, and it is 8-2 in the Broncos’ last ten showings on the road. On the other side, five of the Raiders’ previous eight contests have gone under the total along with a push.

Prediction: Go under 45.5 points (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.