Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#265 Jacksonville Jaguars vs.
#266 Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 1:00pm EDT
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
Written by Chris King

It’s an interconference matchup on the gridiron as Doug Pederson leads his new team into the City of Brotherly Love to face his former squad. The Jacksonville Jaguars are on the road in week 4 of the NFL schedule as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville rolled to a 38-10 win on the road over the Chargers last Sunday to earn their second consecutive victory. Philadelphia remained unbeaten on the season as they stifled Washington 24-8 last Sunday on the road. In the all-time regular season series between the franchises, the teams have split six meetings with the Eagles taking the last three, including a 24-18 road victory in the most recent matchup on October 18, 2018.

Jaguars Seeking Third Straight Win

Jacksonville bounced back from a season-opening defeat as they have dispatched the Colts and Chargers in the last two weeks. The Jaguars improved to 2-1 on the year and sit atop the AFC South on the season entering this contest. Against the Chargers, Jacksonville broke open a scoreless game by outscoring the Chargers 16-7 in the second quarter to take the lead at the half, then held a 22-3 margin in the second half to roll to the victory. The Jaguars rolled up a 413-312 advantage in total offense, piled up 25 first downs while allowing 16, dominated time of possession by a 38:27 to 21:33 margin and forced the game’s only two turnovers.

On the season, Jacksonville is 11th in the league in passing offense with 252.3 yards per contest and 10th in rushing offense with 123.3 yards per game. The Jaguars are 7th in the league in scoring offense as they average 28 points per contest and stand 4th in scoring defense by allowing 12.7 points per contest. Trevor Lawrence has completed 77 of 111 passes for 772 yards with six touchdowns and one interception on the year. He adds 22 yards on the ground. James Robinson leads the team in rushing with 51 carries for 230 yards plus three scores this season. Travis Etienne Jr. contributes 26 carries for 112 yards on the ground as well. In the passing game, Zay Jones leads the team with 19 receptions for 173 yards plus a score. Christian Kirk (18 grabs, 267 yards, three TD), Marvin Jones Jr. (11 receptions, 104 yards, TD) and tight end Evan Engram (12 catches, 83 yards) have been solid secondary options. Riley Patterson has hit all seven extra point attempts and seven of eight field goal attempts with a long of 52 this season.

Jacksonville had a fairly quiet injury report heading into the weekend. Jones did not practice Thursday due to an ankle injury while cornerback Shaquill Griffin was limited with a hip injury that kept him out of action last week. The only other player listed was reserve offensive lineman Cole Van Lanen, who didn’t practice due to a hamstring injury. Keep an eye out for updates to their respective statuses leading into kickoff.

Philadelphia Eagles Looking to Remain Unbeaten

Philadelphia got a big defensive showing last week in their game with the Commanders and former quarterback Carson Wentz as they rolled to a win. The Eagles are 3-0 on the season and sit atop the NFC East as they look to remain unbeaten on the year. After a scoreless opening quarter, the Eagles scored 24 second-quarter points to take complete control and stifled the Washington offense the rest of the way. Philadelphia rolled up a 400-240 advantage in total offense, held a narrow 21-20 edge in first downs and forced the game’s lone turnover. Those numbers helped offset losing time of possession by a 32:54 to 27:06 margin. Philadelphia’s defense sacked Wentz nine times and hit him on 17 occasions in the contest.

For the year, the Eagles are 3rd in the league in passing offense with 296.7 yards per game and 7th in rushing offense with 150.3 yards per contest. Philadelphia stands 5th in the league in scoring offense with 28.7 points per game while they are 7th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 16.7 points per contest. Jalen Hurts has completed 66 of 98 passes for 916 yards with four touchdowns against one interception while getting sacked seven times. He is second on the team on the ground with 37 carries for 167 yards and three scores. Miles Sanders contributes 45 carries for 222 yards plus a score. Boston Scott (10 carries, 29 yards, TD) and Kenneth Gainwell (10 carries, 33 yards, TD) are solid contributors as well. A.J. Brown leads the team with 20 receptions for 309 yards plus a score. Dallas Goedert (11 receptions, 168 yards, TD) and DeVonta Smith (15 grabs, 249 yards, TD) are top-tier options when the Eagles go to the air. Jake Elliott has hit all 11 extra point attempts and three of four field goal attempts with a long of 38 this season.

For Thursday, A.J. Brown (personal) and running back Boston Scott (rib) both missed practice. Meanwhile, wide receiver DeVonta Smith (back), cornerbacks Darius Slay (back) and Avonte Maddox (ankle), running back Miles Sanders (hip), defensive tackle Milton Williams (knee) along with guard Landon Dickerson (foot) all were limited in practice. Keep an eye on updates regarding their statuses leading up to kickoff.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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We’ve seen Jacksonville play much better in the first three weeks of this season compared to how things unfolded last year. It’s a clear indication that Urban Meyer, for all his success at the FBS level, was ill-suited to run an NFL team. Jacksonville spent a truckload of cash in free agency to try and bolster their roster in the offseason. So far, it has paid dividends though it could be a rough outing for them here. Philadelphia is an aggressive defensive team, and they have the ability to do damage through the air and on the ground. Hurts has developed nicely into a dual-threat quarterback and the acquisition of Brown was a big piece for the Eagles’ passing game. This game is in Philadelphia and the Eagles are cooking right now. Give the points and take the hosts in this contest.

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Jacksonville enters week four having seen the over hit in two of their three games this season though some of that can be attributed to low totals. The Jaguars have combined for 50 (at Washington), 24 (vs. Indianapolis) and 48 (at Chargers) in their three games this season. In those games, the sportsbooks had set totals of 43, 44 and 45.5 points so the threshold wasn’t all that high to begin with. On the flip side, Philadelphia has seen the under hit in two of their three games as their defense has tightened up after a rough opening week. The Eagles have had combined totals of 73 (at Lions), 31 (vs. Vikings) and 32 (at Washington) in their three games on the year. In those games, the sportsbooks had set totals at 48.5, 49.5 and 47.5 points. This game may well be controlled by the defenses as both teams have done a solid job containing opposing offenses. Three of the last four meetings between the teams have ended up short of the mark and this one follows a similar trend.

Prediction: Under 46.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.