Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#261 Seattle Seahawks vs.
#262 Detroit Lions
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 1:00pm EDT
Ford Field, Detroit
Written by Adam Rauzino

The Seattle Seahawks (1-2, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) head on the road to battle the Detroit Lions (1-2, 3-0 ATS, 3-0 O/U) in an NFC clash on Sunday afternoon. The Seahawks were dealt a narrow home loss by the Falcons in their week three action. The Lions couldn’t hold a big lead in a road loss in Minnesota last week. The Seahawks clobbered the Lions by a 51-29 score last season.

Seahawks Fall to Falcons in Second Straight Loss

The Seattle Seahawks are looking to avoid a third straight defeat. They played stifling defense in a narrow 17-16 home win against the Broncos in the opener but were clobbered 27-7 by the 49ers in week two and were one-point favorites in a 27-23 home loss to the Falcons last week. Seattle is in more of a rebuilding season and is not a contender. They have covered in one of their three games.

Geno Smith isn’t to blame for the Seahawks' two defeats. The veteran QB won the starting job in the preseason and accumulated a remarkable 325 passing yards against the Falcons. Smith has connected on 78% of his passes and has 717 passing yards accompanied by a 4:2 TD to INT ratio on the season. 

Rashaad Penny is a strong running back. The 26-year-old had a season-best 66 yards last week and has recorded 141 yards on an average of 4.4 yards per rush. Seattle hasn’t run very often this season. Tyler Lockett will play a big factor in this game against a poor Lions' pass defense. The 29-year-old has eclipsed 100 yards once this season and leads the team with 211 yards. The Seattle offensive line is an issue and is struggling in their first year in the absence of Russell Wilson.

The Seahawks' defense was effective in the opener but has allowed 27 points in back-to-back games. They were dominated on the ground against the Falcons and surrendered 386 total yards. The pass defense is 19th while the rush defense has plummeted to 31st in the league. Seattle is scoring an average of 15.7 points, pegging them 28th. The defense is conceding an average of 23.3 points, positioning them 20th in the NFL.

Lions Nearly Beat Vikings, Swift Injured

The Detroit Lions are aiming for their second victory. Detroit was less than a minute away from a big road win last week. They were up 10 points with six minutes remaining and could not hold on in a 28-24 road loss to the Vikings, but they covered the 6.5-point spread.  Overall it’s been an encouraging opening three games for a young Lions team. They only lost by three points against the Eagles in week one and beat the Commanders 36-27 in week two. Detroit has covered the spread in all three games. 

Jared Goff was solid last week, collecting 277 passing yards. The veteran QB has reached at least 215 passing yards in all three games and has accrued 748 passing yards accompanied by a 7:2 TD to INT ratio on the season. Goff should have success against a subpar Seahawks pass defense.

The Lions have a great RB in D’Andre Swift. Unfortunately, he has been playing through an ankle injury and has received less than 10 carries in back-to-back games as a result. He is doubtful due to another injury, this time his shoulder. Swift has 231 rushing yards on a stellar average of 8.6 yards per carry. Jamal Williams will see plenty of action if Swift doesn't play. He has 168 rushing yards.

Amon Ra. St. Brown has been incredible, recording 253 receiving yards in three games. He was playing with a minor injury last week but should be ready. St. Brown has been one of the best WRs in the NFL dating back to the last month of 2021. St. Brown is listed as questionable and could be a game-time decision. The same applies to WR D.J. Chark. The Detroit offense is definitely better than last season and will only get better once Swift gets to 100%. They have scored at least 24 points in all three games and are third in total yards per game. 

The Lions' defense is still looking to find a groove. They continue to have trouble defending the pass and run. They gave up 260 passing yards last week and lack any lockdown cornerbacks. The pass defense is 25th and the rush defense is marked 27th. Detroit is averaging a stellar 31.7 points, good for second in the league. The defense is squandering an average of 31 points, pegging them last in the NFL.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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The Seattle Seahawks are in more of a rebuilding year and it’s going to be a tough season. They were clobbered by 20 points against the 49ers in their only road game and were dealt a 27-23 home loss by the Falcons last week. The Lions have an improved offense and only lost by three points to the Eagles and four points last week. Seattle has a poor offense as Geno Smith isn’t the answer and the offense is averaging only 296 total yards per game. 

Furthermore, the Lions' offense should resume its scoring barrage. Goff has accumulated 256 and 277 passing yards respectively in his last two games. Seattle ranks 19th against the pass and doesn’t have lockdown corners. While RB D’Andre Swift is unlikely to play, Jamaal Williams is also a force. He amassed 87 yards in Minnesota and has averaged 4.4 yards per rush in back-to-back games. He should feast considering Seattle is pegged 31st against the run. 

Prediction: Detroit Lions -4.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a high-scoring battle. The Lions have been involved in shootouts so far. The over has delivered in all three games propelled by the Lions' productive offense. The defense is a big issue. They have allowed at least 27 points in all three games. Geno Smith won’t put up big numbers but Rashad Penny should have a big game on the ground.

In addition, the Detroit offense is consistently producing. The only team that limited them to less than 35 points was the Vikings last week. Detroit ranks 3rd in the NFL with 409 total yards per game and will produce against a weak Seattle defense. The over is also a perfect 5-0 in the Lions' last five games.

Prediction: Over 48.5
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.