Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#267 Washington Commanders vs.
#268 Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 1:00pm EDT
AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Written by Blake V.

Washington will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when it travels to Dallas on Sunday afternoon. The Commanders won their season opener against Jacksonville before losing to Detroit and Philadelphia in their last two games. Dallas has been trending in the opposite direction, bouncing back from a loss to Tampa Bay with wins over the Bengals and Giants.

Commanders coming off rough loss

Washington got off to a strong start this season with a win over Jacksonville, but it has proceeded to lose to Detroit and Philadelphia in its last two games. The Commanders were dominated in their 24-8 loss last week, as quarterback Carson Wentz was sacked nine times. He fumbled the ball twice, losing one of them, and he threw for just 211 yards on 43 passes. The offense generated 240 total yards, with wide receiver Terry McLaurin catching six passes for 102 yards. Their defense struggled as well, allowing 340 passing yards and three touchdowns to Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts. They are now giving up 27.3 points per game overall this season, which ranks No. 28 in the NFL.

Their offense ranks No. 19, averaging 342.0 yards per game. Wentz has completed 63.1% of his passes for 861 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Running back Antonio Gibson is off to a slow start, averaging 3.1 yards per carry on 40 attempts, and scoring two touchdowns. McLaurin and wide receiver Curtis Samuel have been the top two targets in the passing game, combining for more than 400 yards. They are facing a Dallas defense that ranks ninth, allowing 312.3 yards per game. Washington has struggled against the Cowboys, winning just three of the last 12 meetings. The Commanders have only covered the spread twice in the last seven head-to-head games.

Cowboys eyeing another win under Rush

It appeared as if the storyline of Dallas’s season would be quarterback Dak Prescott’s thumb injury, but that has not been the case. He is going to miss his third consecutive game on Sunday afternoon, giving backup Cooper Rush another opportunity to win a game. Rush has led the Cowboys to back-to-back upset wins over the Bengals and Giants, with both games being decided by one possession. Dallas had a terrible outing against Tampa Bay in Week 1, scoring just three points in the loss. Rush has been a steady presence under center, completing 40 of 62 passes for 450 yards and two touchdowns.

He has also avoided making any critical mistakes, throwing zero interceptions in those two games. Running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard have rounded into form as well, rushing for 147 yards against Cincinnati and 180 yards against New York. The Cowboys do not have eye-popping numbers offensively (ranked No. 23 in yards per game), but they have put together clutch scoring drives in their two wins. They are facing a Washington defense that is No. 27 in yards per game (402.7). Their run defense ranks outside the top 20 as well, so that will be an emphasis against Pollard and Elliott. Dallas has covered the spread in seven consecutive NFC East games.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Dallas is a bad matchup for a Washington defense that is struggling to slow down opposing rushing attacks right now. The Cowboys have a pair of quality running backs in their backfield, which will allow them to control the tempo and field position on Sunday afternoon. Rush might not be able to make all the plays that Prescott can make, but he has been playing efficient football. Washington has had issues against good defenses, as Wentz was sacked nine times by Philadelphia. The Cowboys have covered the spread in seven consecutive divisional games, and they are poised to cover again on Sunday.

Prediction: Cowboys -3

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Dallas has gone under the total in 11 of its last 15 games, and this one is looking like another low-scoring game as well. The Cowboys are not going to have as many long scoring plays without Prescott on the field—they will have more six-plus-minute scoring drives. Elliott and Pollard have been consistently running the ball well over the past two weeks, and they should have success against a struggling Washington defense. The Commanders only scored eight points against Philadelphia last week, and they will be facing a tough Dallas defense on Sunday. They have gone under in 10 of their last 15 games.

Prediction: Under 41.5

Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Blake is also an avid sports being expert and you would not be disappointed in following him on a daily basis. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint. 
Follow on Twitter @Blake_Vonhagen