Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#461 Jacksonville Jaguars -4.5 vs.
#462 Cincinnati Bengals 47.5
Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati
Written by Scott Reichel

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#461 Jacksonville
#462 Cincinnati
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Week seven of NFL football continues as the Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Paul Brown Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, Oct. 20 at 1:00 P.M. These two teams have not met since 2017 when the Jaguars beat the Bengals at home by a score of 23-7. This will be the 22nd meeting between these two teams.

Jaguars Look To Stay In AFC South Hunt

Jacksonville enters this game with a 2-4 record as it lost to New Orleans at home last week. After getting to a .500 record, the Jaguars have lost each of their last two games and will look to potentially salvage their season with a victory on Sunday. However, despite the poor record, Jacksonville is only two games back of first place in the AFC South so a win here would keep its hopes alive for a division title. However, a loss here will make Jacksonville's shot at a playoff spot insanely difficult so one could argue that this is a must-win game for the Jaguars on Sunday.

Leading the Jaguars offensively is rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew II who has been solid this season. Specifically, he has 1,442 passing yards along with nine passing touchdowns. In addition, he has also been very effective in the ground game as he has 25 rushing yards. Minshew II has looked like a veteran despite the lack of NFL experience and he is currently in the running for the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Award as a result.

Jacksonville's biggest threat on defense is rookie linebacker Josh Allen who has been great so far this season. Specifically, he has a team-high four sacks along with 12 solo tackles. In addition, he is also a serious threat at forcing turnovers as he has one forced fumble in addition to all the turnovers he has caused due to quarterback pressures. Now, Allen will look to take advantage of Cincinnati's weak offensive line.

One of the concerns is at tight end where James O’Shaughnessy is gone due to an ACL tear and Geoff Swaim is in the concussion protocol. The could mean a start for rookie Josh Oliver, who has missed the first two months of the season due to a hamstring injury.

“I feel good,” Oliver said according to Jaguars.com. “I’m ready to go out and compete. It’s up to the coaches how much I play. Whatever the situation I’m always going to come out and compete. It’s been tremendously hard. It’s the first major injury I’ve really had in my career. […] It gave me a step back away and I was able to see it from a coach’s perspective. So, it hasn’t been all negative, but it definitely has been a stumbling block to overcome.”

Bengals Look For Their First Win Of The Season

Zac Taylor has the Bengals in terrible form headed into this game. Specifically, the Bengals are winless through six games and are tied for the worst record in the league with the Dolphins. However, Cincinnati put together a competitive effort against Baltimore last week before losing by six points so perhaps that performance could build some momentum moving forward. Plus, this game is at home so maybe the Bengals will be able to get their first win of the season on Sunday. However, Cincinnati is projected by oddsmakers to lose this game by about four points so the odds of it actually winning its first game of the season on Sunday are not that great.

Leading the Bengals offensively is quarterback Andy Dalton who has been pretty average this season. Specifically, he has 1,647 passing yards along with seven passing touchdowns. However, he has also thrown five interceptions and he has been sacked 22 times so he has tended to panic when under pressure. With Jacksonville's solid defensive line up next, Dalton will need to do a much better job with ball security if Cincinnati plans on winning this game.

Cincinnati's biggest threat on defense is defensive lineman Sam Hubbard who has been solid so far this season. Specifically, he has a team-high three sacks along with 21 solo tackles. Hubbard's performance is even more impressive when one factors in the lack of support that he has. Specifically, Hubbard is the only player on the entire roster with more than one sack. Until somebody else steps up, Hubbard might just have to do the bulk of the work by himself.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Even though Jacksonville is on the road, it is the much better team in this matchup and I think that this spread is too low. Jacksonville has looked extremely competitive in its last two losses against Carolina and New Orleans so I expect the Jaguars to feast on one of the worst teams in the league on Sunday. Cincinnati has looked awful in virtually every area of the game and I think that Jacksonville will be extremely motivated to take care of business on Sunday. Give me the road team as a result.

Prediction: Jacksonville -4

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

With Jacksonville's defense, I have to take the under. This defense thrives on pressuring the quarterback and Cincinnati has one of the worst offensive lines in the league so I expect Cincinnati to score less than 17 points in this game. At the same time, Jacksonville loves to run the ball and control the time of possession so I think it will score around 24 points. Give me the under as a result.

Prediction: Under 44
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.