Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#455 Miami Dolphins vs.
#456 Buffalo Bills
Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
New Era Field, Orchard Park
Written by Benjamin Hayes



#455 Miami
#456 Buffalo


This article covers a past game!

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The Miami Dolphins are one of two winless teams remaining in the NFL heading into Week 7 as they prepare to visit the Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Miami returns to Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback as they visit their AFC East rivals in what is expected to be a balmy late October day in upstate New York (low 60's.). Buffalo is coming off a bye and trying to keep up with New England in the AFC East.

Trying to find some Magic with the Bulls

Miami doesn't have many winnable games on the slate. Last week's game against Washington was certainly one of them and this one could have gone overtime. The Fins were down by 14 points in the fourth quarter until backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick came in and became "FitzMagic" for a change. He completed 12 of 18 for 132 yards with one TD, which was the potentially-game-tying score to DeVante Parker with six seconds left. However, head coach Brian Flores decided to go for two-points to win the game. A screen pass to Kenyan Drake failed miserably and the home fans were sent home unhappy again.

Miami's defense played well against the Redskins, holding them to just 166 passing yards, but they did allow 145 on the ground. That's been a huge issue this season on defense, as the Dolphins are allowing 169.6 yards per game on the ground (31st in NFL) and 270.2 in the air (26th).

Fitzpatrick will be replacing second-year quarterback Josh Rosen, who threw for two picks last week and has five this season with just one passing TD. Drake is one of the only bright spots on offense with 153 yards rushing and 19 catches for 137 yards. WR Preston Williams lead in receiving with 17 catches for 232 yards and a score.

Is offense good enough to make the playoffs?

Buffalo's defense is as good as there is in the NFL right now. San Francisco and New England are the only teams in the same conversation as the Bills, who rank third in the league in total yards allowed per game at 302.6ypg, third in passing yards allowed (187.2) and seventh in rushing yards given up per game (87.2ypg).

Buffalo has not allowed more than 17 points all season and their defense was impressive once again versus the Titans on Oct. 6. They held Tennessee to 150 passing yards and just 102 on the ground. Quarterback Josh Allen completed 23 of 32 for 219 yards with two scores, while Frank Gore rushed for 60 yards.

Offensively, this has not been an impressive team, as they average just 18 points per game. But, they do rank 10th in overall offense with 372.4 yards per contest and sixth in rushing (139.5ypg). Allen gives the Bills a running option with 158 yards and three scores, while Gore has 370 combined yards with two scores. Moving the ball has not been a huge issue, but finishing drives has been a problem.

"I think we've been able to move the ball and play well in critical moments in the game," said head coach Sean McDermott. "And then, where I think we have to continue to grow is the continuity piece, which leads to scoring points, hopefully.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Miami finally covered last week and they will cover again with Fitzpatrick. He's much more of a playmaker than Rosen and can do some things out of the pocket. Buffalo's defense is very good, but their offense is pedestrian. Miami will load the box to try and stop Gore and Allen. Miami doesn't like travelling to Buffalo, but it's going to be warm so the weather is not going to have an effect on them. Take the points with the Fins, who at least are playing better.

Prediction: Miami Dolphins +17.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Buffalo has one of the premier defenses in the league and they allowed just seven points in their last game to a decent Tennessee team. Miami is far from decent, but they should be able to keep the Bills to 20 or less points, considering they average just 18 points per game. Buffalo has gone under in all five games, while Miami has gone under in four of their five games.

Prediction: Under 41

Written By Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!