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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Raiders vs. Packers Prediction

Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
Lambeau Field, Green Bay

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Friday, October 18, 2019 at 11:55pm EDT

Introduction

It’s an interconference matchup on the gridiron from the historic confines of Lambeau Field. The Oakland Raiders are on the road as they make the trip to face the Green Bay Packers Sunday afternoon. Oakland is coming off a bye last week: in their previous game, they defeated the Bears 24-21 in London back in week 5 action on October 6. Green Bay earned a come from behind 23-22 win at home over Detroit on Monday Night Football in their last game. The Packers own a 7-5 lead in the all-time regular season series between the teams and have taken the last seven meetings: that includes a 30-20 road win in the last matchup on December 20, 2015.

Oakland Raiders Review

Oakland comes into this contest after a bye week that helped them get a breather, not to mention a little healthier, heading into the rest of the season. The Raiders needed rest to try and get their receiver corps back closer to full strength: the team also acquired Zay Jones from Buffalo to add another body to the group. Oakland opened their season with a divisional road win on Monday Night Football (24-16) over Denver, two days after cutting Antonio Brown. The Raiders followed that up with back to back losses as they fell 28-10 at home to Kansas City and 34-14 against the Vikings on the road. Oakland regrouped by surprising the Colts 31-24 on the road in week four and then took down Chicago in London.

Against the Bears, the Raiders started strong and then had to dig deep after Chicago rallied to gain the lead in the fourth quarter. Oakland jumped to a 17-0 halftime lead before giving up three third quarter touchdowns to trail 21-17. The Raiders went 97 yards in 13 plays and chewing up nearly six minutes off the clock to score the winning touchdown with 1:57 to play on a Josh Jacobs two-yard run. Oakland owned a 398-236 advantage in total offense, racked up a 25-15 edge in first downs and controlled the clock by a 34:43 to 25:17 margin. Both teams turned the ball over twice in the contest.

Green Bay Packers Review

Green Bay has overcome some tough contests and prevailed in several close games as they come into this contest 5-1 on the season. The Packers enter week 7 with a one-game lead over the Vikings in the NFC North. Green Bay won their season opener 10-3 on the road over the Bears and followed that up with a 21-16 home win over Minnesota in week two. The Packers earned a home win over Denver (27-16) before suffering their first loss of the season at home to the Eagles on Thursday Night Football in week 4 (34-27) thanks to two long drives fizzling in the fourth quarter. Green Bay bounced back by jumping on Dallas early on the road en route to a 34-24 win.

Against Detroit, the Packers had their struggles but Aaron Rodgers used a little magic in the fourth quarter to rally his team. Green Bay trailed 13-0 less than two minutes into the second quarter before rallying to within three at the half. The Packers were down 22-13 with 12:17 to go before scoring 10 points in the final 9:03 to get the win. Mason Crosby drilled a 23-yard field goal as time expired, capping a 14 play, 77-yard drive that chewed up the last 6:46 of the contest. Green Bay owned a 447-299 edge in total offense, owned a 22-13 advantage in first downs and controlled the clock by a 33:04 to 26:56 margin. The Packers did turn the ball over three times while failing to record a takeaway.

The Running Game

Oakland Raiders Running Offense
vs. Green Bay Packers Running Defense

Oakland Raiders Running Offense

Oakland has been fairly effective on the ground this season as turning things over to a rookie has paid dividends. The Raiders have rushed for at least 88 yards in each of their five games this season and they’ve cracked the century mark in three of those contests. Oakland has racked up more than 150 yards in each of their last two games as they ran for a season-best 188 yards against the Colts in week four before gashing the vaunted Bears’ defense for 169 yards in week five. Coming off a bye week, the Raiders are going to be healthier, including their offensive line, so expect the run to be a factor again.

Josh Jacobs leads the team with 88 carries for 430 yards and four scores on the season as the first-round pick has stepped right into the #1 RB role. Trevor Davis (two attempts, 74 yards, TD), along with DeAndre Washington (23 carries, 74 yards, TD) and Jalen Richard (11 carries, 52 yards) are solid secondary backs if Jacobs needs a breather. As a team, the Raiders have three run plays that have covered at least 20 yards: Jacobs has two and Davis has the other. Oakland has moved the chains 39 times via the ground this season.

Green Bay Packers Run Defense

Green Bay's defense has had their struggles containing the run game of the opposition in the first four games this season. After holding the Bears to just 47 yards on 22 carries in the opener, things have gone downhill since for the Packers. Green Bay allowed Minnesota to run the ball 27 times for 198 yards and a score in week 2 and followed that up by seeing Denver run 38 times for 149 yards and two scores in week 3. Against the Eagles in week 4, the Packers were gouged for 176 yards and two scores on 33 carries. Green Bay gave up 122 yards on the ground to the Cowboys in week five before stifling the Lions as they held Detroit to only 56 yards last week.

Blake Martinez leads the Packers with 60 tackles (40 solo) on the season. Safety Adrian Amos (31 tackles) and linebacker Preston Smith (23 tackles, forced fumble), along with cornerback Kevin King (27 tackles, forced fumble) and Will Redmond (22 tackles) are among the team’s tackle leaders. Preston Smith leads the team with 6.5 tackles for loss while Za’Darius Smith has six and Martinez contributes four. As a team, the Packers have recorded 27 tackles for loss, six forced fumbles and four fumble recoveries on the season.

Stats

OAK

  • 6th in run play percentage (44.95 percent)
  • 12th in rushing attempts per game (27.6)
  • 8th in rushing yards per game (134.4)
  • 9th in yards per carry (4.9)
  • Tied for 12th in rushing TD (six)
  • Tied for 8th in longest rush (60 yards)

GB

  • 18th in percentage of run plays against (40.42 percent)
  • 18th in run plays per game against (25.7)
  • 23rd in rushing yards allowed per game (124.5)
  • 26th in opposing yards per carry (4.9)
  • Tied for 20th in rushing TD allowed (seven)
  • 27th in longest rush allowed (75 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Green Bay has had problems against the run this season and facing an Oakland team that has been pretty good at it doesn't match up well for them. The Packers have an aggressive front seven but when they get tied up at the line of scrimmage, it tends to open holes. Green Bay shut down the Lions but with all due respect to Kerryon Johnson, he's not Jacobs. The rookie ripped through the Bears front seven two weeks ago: being rested and with the offensive line getting healthier merely works in his favor.

Advantage: Oakland Raiders

Green Bay Packers Running Offense
vs. Oakland Raiders Running Defense

Green Bay Packers Running Offense

Green Bay’s run game has struggled in the first quarter of the season and they’re still trying to get on track. The Packers have cracked the century mark just once and averaged more than four yards per carry only one time. Green Bay was stifled in the opener, running the ball 21 times for 47 yards against the Bears. The Packers had a season-high 144 yards plus a score on 33 carries against the Vikings before being held in check the last two weeks. Green Bay ran 23 times for 77 yards and two scores against Denver in week 3 and 20 times for 77 yards and a touchdown against Philadelphia in week 4. The last couple of games has seen the run game improve: the Packers ran the ball 29 times for 120 yards and four scores against Dallas before adding 29 carries for 170 yards against Detroit last week.

Aaron Jones is the leading ground gainer for the Packers though his numbers are hardly impressive. He has 89 carries for 349 yards and eight touchdowns on the season. Jamaal Williams has 40 carries for 191 yards while Aaron Rodgers has 17 rushing attempts for 62 yards on the season. As a team, the Packers have one run play that covered at least 20 yards. Green Bay has mustered only 34 first downs via the ground game this season.

Oakland Raiders Run Defense

Oakland has been pretty solid against the run so far this season. The Raiders has kept four of their five opponents under 100 yards on the ground and two of those were limited to under 50 yards. Oakland has given up 3.5 yards per carry or less in three of their five games. The only team to do serious damage on the ground against the Raiders was the Vikings in week 3: Minnesota ran for 211 yards and three scores. Oakland’s four other opponents have combined for 249 yards and one score on 85 attempts.

Tahir Whitehead leads the team with 31 tackles (25 solo) this season. Safeties Karl Joseph (27 tackles, fumble recovery), Lamarcus Joyner (23 tackles) and Erik Harris (21 tackles) along wth linebacker Nicholas Morrow (20 tackles) round out the top five tacklers for the Raiders’ defense this season. Benson Mayowa (eight tackles, two forced fumbles) leads the team with four tackles for loss while Whitehead has 3.5 on the season. Joyner, Clelin Ferrell (10 tackles) and Joseph each have three. As a team, Oakland has recorded 30 tackles for loss, forced three fumbles and recovered two this season.

Stats

GB

  • 18th in run play percentage (40.41 percent)
  • 16th in rushing attempts per game (26)
  • 17th in rushing yards per game (105.8)
  • 18th in yards per carry (4.1)
  • Tied for 7th in rushing TD (eight)
  • Tied for 12th in longest rush (45 yards)

OAK

  • 19th in percentage of run plays against (40.46 percent)
  • 14th in run plays per game against (24.6)
  • 10th in rushing yards allowed per game (92)
  • 6th in opposing yards per carry (3.7)
  • Tied for 8th in rushing TD allowed (four)
  • 6th in longest rush allowed (26 yards)

Who has the Edge?

The Packers haven't been overly successful running the ball this season. While Green Bay had success in the last couple games, the Cowboys and Lions aren't slowing down much in the way of opposing running games. Oakland has been stout against the run outside of their loss to the Vikings in week three and they'll bring that swagger with them to Lambeau Field. Jones scored four touchdowns against Dallas in week five and was a relative nonfactor in week six, finishing with 47 yards on 11 carries. Until Green Bay shows a commitment to the ground game and has success, you have to fade them a bit.

Advantage: Oakland Raiders

The Passing Game

Oakland Raiders Passing Offense
vs. Green Bay Packers Passing Defense

Oakland Raiders Passing Offense

Oakland hasn’t had to go to the air as much as they did last season as the run game has been effective. That has helped the Raiders’ defense as they aren’t getting burned out from being on the field and it has really turned things around for the team. Oakland isn’t having to throw 35 or more times a game each and every week in order to try and climb back into contests. The Raiders have yet to go over 259 yards through the air in a game this season and they’ve been held under 200 yards twice in the first five games.

Derek Carr is 118 of 161 passing for 1,117 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions. He has been sacked eight times for a loss of 48 yards this season. Tight end Darren Waller leads the team with 37 receptions for 359 yards this season. Tyrell Williams (17 grabs, 216 yards, four TD), Hunter Renfrow (12 catches, 101 yards) and tight end Foster Moreau (10 receptions, 97 yards, TD) are the only players so far this season with double-digit receptions. The Raiders have 12 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards on the year: Waller, Williams, Jacobs (six grabs, 77 yards) and Derek Carrier (five receptions, 55 yards) each have two on the year.

Green Bay Packers Passing Defense

Green Bay was active in free agency trying to find new pieces for the defensive side of the ball and it has helped pay dividends in the pass rush. The Packers were solid in the first quarter of the season as they didn’t allow more than 230 yards through the air in any game this season. Green Bay allowed 228 yards to the Bears in the opener while keeping Chicago out of the end zone. The Packers gave up 230 yards to Minnesota in week 2 and 213 yards to Denver in week 3. Against the Eagles in week 4, Green Bay gave up only 160 yards through the air, though they gave up three touchdown passes while not recording a sack or interception for the first time all season. It was tougher sledding the last couple of weeks as the Packers allowed 463 yards to the Cowboys, though much of it came in garbage time, before giving up 265 yards to the Lions Monday night.

Preston Smith leads the Packers with seven sacks on the season. Za’Darius Smith is next in line with six sacks while Kenny Clark (19 tackles, forced fumble) has 1.5 sacks on the year. Jaire Alexander (20 tackles, half-tackle for loss, forced fumble, fumble recovery) leads Green Bay with 10 pass defenses while King has seven. Preston Smith, Darnell Savage (18 tackles, half-tackle for loss, forced fumble) and Tramon Williams (13 tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery) each have three. King leads the team with two interceptions while Savage, Preston Smith, Alexander, Chandon Sullivan (six tackles, pass defense) and Amos each have one interception this season. As a team, the Packers have totaled 18 sacks, 32 pass defenses and seven interceptions on the year.

Stats

OAK

  • 27th in pass play percentage (55.05 percent)
  • 1st in completion percentage (73.3)
  • 24th in passing yards per game (213.8)
  • Tied for 26th in TD passes (six)
  • Tied for 7th in INT thrown (three)
  • 19th in net yards per pass attempt (6.6)
  • Tied for 30th in longest pass play (43 yards)
  • 11th in passer rating (96.7)

GB

  • 15th in pass play percentage against (59.58 percent)
  • 13th in passing yards per game allowed (239.3)
  • 5th in completion percentage allowed (57.9)
  • Tied for 8th in TD passes allowed (six)
  • Tied for 4th in INT (seven)
  • Tied for 6th in sacks (18)
  • 5th in passer rating allowed (77)
  • 13th in net yards per pass attempt (6.9)

Who has the Edge?

Carr hasn't had to do everything to try and keep the Raiders in games this season and the change is noticeable. It's also a good thing because the receivers are less than proven outside of Williams and there have been injuries taking a toll on the group. Waller has been terrific and just inked a multiyear extension to keep him with the team long term. Facing a Green Bay defense that has been excellent getting after the quarterback and very good at making plays in the secondary is a challenging task for Carr. The Packers, led by the Smiths, get the edge.

Advantage: Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers Passing Offense
vs. Oakland Raiders Passing Defense

Green Bay Packers Passing Offense

The Packers have improved offensively as the season has worn on as they try to adjust to Matt LaFleur’s offensive system. Green Bay threw for 240 yards against the Bears in the season opener in a low-scoring victory. Against Minnesota in week two, the Packers threw for 209 yards and followed that up with 235 yards in a victory over Denver in week 3. In week four against the Eagles, Green Bay had their best passing game of the season to date, racking up 422 yards against the shredded Eagles’ secondary, though those numbers came in a loss. Green Bay threw for 238 yards against Dallas in week five and followed that up with 283 yards against Detroit Monday night.

Aaron Rodgers has hit 137 of 219 passes for 1,590 yards with eight touchdowns and two interceptions this season. He has been sacked 11 times, losing 92 yards in the process. Davante Adams leads the team with 25 receptions for 378 yards on the season: he’s missed the last two weeks with a toe injury. Marquez Valdes-Scantling (19 catches, 283 yards, TD) and Aaron Jones (23 grabs, 163 yards) are solid secondary options in the passing game this season The Packers need more from Jimmy Graham (14 catches, 149 yards, two TD) and Geronimo Allison (13 receptions, 144 yards, two TD) in order to take pressure off Adams. Green Bay has 13 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Adams and Valdez-Scantling each have five such plays to tie for the team lead.

Oakland Raiders Passing Defense

Oakland hasn’t been torched through the air as much as they were in recent seasons as they’ve been able to make some plays on that side of the ball. The Raiders can look at the moves they made in the offseason and the fact that their offense has stepped up to help account for staying fresher in games. Oakland has given up more than 300 yards through the air only once in the first five games: that came in week two against the Chiefs when Patrick Mahomes went for 443 yards. The Raiders haven’t allowed more than 268 yards in their other four games: they allowed 231 yards to the Bears in their week five game but recorded a season-high four sacks.

Mayowa leads Oakland with 4.5 sacks on the season. Maurice Hurst (10 tackles, two tackles foe loss, pass defense) has two sacks while Ferrell and Maxx Crosby (11 tackles, 1.5 tackles, two pass defenses) each have one. P.J. Hall (nine tackles, two tackles for loss) has the other half a sack this season. Daryl Worley (19 tackles, fumble recovery) leads the team with three pass defenses. Harris (TD), Morrow and Gareon Conley (17 tackles, two pass defenses) each have one interception to share the team lead. As a team, the Raiders have nine sacks, 20 pass defenses and three interceptions, including one pick-six, this season.

Stats

GB

  • 15th in pass play percentage (59.59 percent)
  • 21st in completion percentage (62.6)
  • 13th in passing yards per game (249.7)
  • Tied for 17th in TD passes (eight)
  • Tied for 4th in INT thrown (two)
  • 16th in net yards per pass attempt (6.8)
  • Tied for 17th in longest pass play (58 yards)
  • 15th in passer rating (92.8)

OAK

  • 14th in pass play percentage against (59.54 percent)
  • 22nd in passing yards per game allowed (263.6)
  • 17th in completion percentage allowed (65.1)
  • Tied for 24th in TD passes allowed (11)
  • Tied for 22nd (three)
  • 28th in sacks (nine)
  • 26th in passer rating allowed (103.9)
  • 25th in net yards per pass attempt (7.7)

Who has the Edge?

While the Raiders have been better this season against the pass, they still have to develop a pass rush. Since Khalil Mack was dealt before the start of last season, Oakland's pass rush has gotten home at a ridiculously low rate. The team had only 13 sacks a year ago, so while nine sacks in five games is an improvement, it still lags near the bottom of the league. Rodgers is capable of picking you apart with time, so that's something to watch for here. The Packers are banged up but if Rodgers has five or six seconds to throw, even you could get open.

Advantage: Green Bay Packers

Intangibles

Oakland Raiders

Oakland has been close to league average offensively as they are 19th in the league in scoring with 20.6 points per contest. The Raiders are 21st in total offense with 348.2 yards per contest and stand 13th in yards per play with an average of 5.7 yards a snap. Oakland is 21st in the league in scoring defense as they give up 24.6 points per game. The Raiders are 17th in total defense by allowing 355.6 yards per game and 22nd in yards per play allowed as they give up 5.8 yards per play on average. Oakland is tied for 17th in the league in giveaway/takeaway with a -1 margin this season.

The Raiders enter this one 13th in the league in scoring touchdowns in the red zone as they cash in 58.82 percent of their chances. Defensively, Oakland has had their struggles as they are 24th in red zone defense by allowing 62.5 percent of drives to reach the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Raiders are very good in third down conversions, ranking 8th by converting 47.62 percent of their third down situations in addition to five of six fourth downs. Oakland’s defense has struggled getting off the field as they are 26th in those situations as opposing teams convert 46.03 percent of their third downs. The Raiders are 9th in the league in time of possession by holding the ball 52.34 percent of the time this season.

Daniel Carlson has hit all 13 extra points and four of five field goal attempts with a long of 41 this season. A.J. Cole averages 47.2 yards per boot on 22 punts, though his net average is just 37.4 yards per kick. He’s dropped nine punts inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with two touchbacks but the Raiders have allowed 12.6 yards on 14 punt returns. Dwayne Harris averages 43.7 yards on three kick returns with a long of 72 while Davis has averaged 28.3 yards on three runbacks with a long of 52. Harris has averaged 10 yards on two punt returns with a long of 11 while Davis has averaged 5.7 yards on three punt returns with a long of 13 this season.

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay is 14th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 23.7 points per game on the season. The Packers are 17th in the league in total offense with 355.5 yards per game and stand 18th in yards per play with 5.5 yards per snap. Green Bay is ninth in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 19.2 points per contest. The Packers are 21st in total defense as they allow 363.8 yards per game and stand 18th as they give up 5.7 yards per play. Green Bay is tied for 7th in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a +4 on the season.

The Packers are 11th in red zone success as they have cashed in 60.87 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition’s 20-yard line into touchdowns. Green Bay is 8th in red zone defense as they hold opposing teams to a 50 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns goes. Green Bay is a miserable 27th in the league in third down conversions as they have converted 30.99 percent of their situations this season. The Packers are solid in getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 34.25 percent of their third downs, which is 10th in the league. Green Bay is 6th in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 53.25 percent of the time.

Mason Crosby has hit all 16 extra point attempts and 10 of 11 field goal tries with a long of 48 on the season. Punter JK Scott has boomed the ball, averaging 48.6 yards on his 32 punts with a 44.8-yard net average. He has placed 13 punts inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with only two touchbacks. Tremon Smith has averaged 22.7 yards on his three kick returns this season while the team has mustered negative eight yards on five punt returns. Tony Brown blocked an extra point against the Vikings in week 2.

Who has the Edge?

This is going to test the Packers' defense: they play well on first and second downs but when it comes to getting off the field on third down, they struggle. Oakland has been very good at extending drives, wearing down the opposition while keeping their own defense fresh. Carlson was a castoff when the Vikings dumped him early last season but he's stepped right in and produced for the Raiders in the kicking game. Crosby booted the winner against the Lions on Monday night as he is having a solid year. Both punters are solid. In the coaching department, Chucky gets the edge given his Super Bowl ring as a head coach with Tampa Bay. Sure, it was 17 years ago, but you can't take it away from him. Give a slight edge to the Raiders, provided they curtail the stupid penalties like the one that cost Vontaze Burfict the season.

Advantage: Oakland Raiders

Final Outlook

Oakland is coming in off a bye, so they're rested and they have momentum in their back pocket after winning two straight games. What was more impressive is that the Raiders prevailed on the road in Indianapolis before beating the Bears in England. Oakland was an underdog in both those games and won outright. Green Bay is limping in off a short week and they are dealing with a slew of injuries to their pass catchers. The Packers may be caught looking ahead to their week 8 primetime clash with the Chiefs at Arrowhead. Don't sleep on the Raiders: they've shown that they can hang with teams and the road doesn't intimidate them.

The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 5-2 in their last seven after a bye week. Green Bay has gone 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

Oakland comes in off the bye and, while it did help them get some form of health back, there are still some critical pieces missing. Tyrell Williams is out as he continues to deal with plantar fasciitis in his foot. That is going to put pressure on a thin receiver group: Trevor Davis steps in at his spot again with more reps for Keelan Doss, Hunter Renfrow and the recently acquired Zay Jones. Arden Key is out on the defensive line with a strained knee ligament: he'll be replaced by Maxx Crosby and Benson Mayowa. Trent Brown is doubtful with a calf injury: David Sharpe and Brandon Parker could split reps here. In addition, backup receiver and kick returner Dwayne Harris is questionable, as is guard Gabe Jackson, who could make his season debut here.

Green Bay has their own injury woes to deal with in this one and the biggest ones come at the receiver position. Davante Adams is out again with turf toe while Geronimo Allison is doubtful with a concussion and Marques Valdez-Scantling is questionable with ankle and knee issues. That means that Darrius Shepherd, Allen Lazard, Jake Kumerow and the recently inked Ryan Grant all have to step up. Safety Darnell Savage is out again, pushing Will Redmond to start again. Backup tight end Robert Tonyan is doubtful with a hip injury while defensive lineman Kenny Clark (calf/back) and corner Tony Brown (hamstring) are both questionable.

The weather looks like it is expected to be decent for late October in the frozen tundra. Game-time temperatures are projected to be in the low to mid-50s with clear skies. Winds are expected to come from the south-southeast between five and 10 miles per hour. There is no precipitation expected to fall during this contest, making for optimal weather conditions for both offenses here: the problem is that neither team is expected to have their full complement of weapons.

When the initial lines opened for this contest, Green Bay was a seven-point favorite with the over/under set at 46 points. As of Friday night, the line has shifted slightly to the Packers being a 4.5-point favorite in the contest. The over/under has ticked upward slightly as it has moved to 46.5 points in this contest. Currently, the moneyline shows Green Bay as a solid -220 to -240 favorite while the Raiders can be found as a +180 to +200 underdog depending on the sportsbook. As of this writing, 54 percent of the bets are backing the Raiders +4.5 points. When it comes to the moneyline, a solid majority, 68 percent of the wagers, are backing the Raiders as the visiting team. Meanwhile, 51 percent of bets are projecting this one to stay under the total.

The injury report that came out Friday is rather damning for the Packers, who may, at best, have one of their three starting receivers in the mix in this contest. That's a daunting task, even for a veteran superstar quarterback like Rodgers: he's not overly familiar with the options he has left to work with. Oakland is coming off a bye and they had two weeks to prepare for this contest. Expect a heavy dose of Jacobs to help Oakland steal one: take the points and the visitors.

Prediction: Oakland Raiders +5.5

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Oakland has played inspired football as they have put together solid outings in their last few games. They continue this long stretch without a game in their own home stadium that began with the Minnesota game on September 22. Since then, they've been to Indianapolis and London, where they were the nominal home team: they go to Houston next week before returning home to face Detroit November 3. Green Bay is in the midst of a rough stretch where they beat Dallas on the road before squeaking past Detroit. On a short week with the Chiefs looming and injuries piling up, what can the Packers pull out?

The over is 4-1 in the Raiders' last 5 games following a bye week, 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games, 4-1 in their last five in week seven and 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Green Bay has seen the over go 7-2 in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 7-3 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Raiders have gone over in each of their last three games: this one follows suit as both teams are in the mid to high 20s more than likely.

Prediction: Over 47

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Raiders are the team with better health at this point in time, which is saying something given the status of their receiver group. Oakland has been tough with back to back wins, including a tough win over Indianapolis and a win overseas against the Bears. The Packers have a slew of injury issues to deal with themselves and they struggled to get points on the board again in the first half against Detroit. Take the points and the Raiders in this one.

Prediction: Oakland Raiders +3

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Oakland has double-digit points in the opening half of four of their five games this season: in the one game they didn't get there, they put up seven against the Vikings. Green Bay has been effective in the first half at putting points on the board: they had 10 against Chicago, 21 against Minnesota, 17 against Denver, 20 against Philadelphia, 17 against Dallas and 10 against Detroit. We've seen both teams have some numbers put up against them as well, pushing this one over the total.

Prediction: Over 23
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.