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Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins,
10-21-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#471 Dallas
Cowboys -1
#472 Washington
Redskins 42

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 4:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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The Dallas Cowboys will try to keep their momentum going on Sunday afternoon as they travel on the road to FedEx Field for an NFC East clash against the first place Washington Redskins.

The Redskins currently sit atop the division with a 3-2 overall record, while the Cowboys are tied for second place with the Philadelphia Eagles. Both the Cowboys and Eagles enter the week with an identical 3-3 overall record through their first six games.

Prescott, Beasley spark Cowboys passing game

The Cowboys got back to the .500-mark with an impressive 40-7 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. Dak Prescott and Cole Beasley helped spark a lifeless Cowboys passing game against one of the best defenses in the NFL. Prescott completed 17 of 27 passes for 183 yards and two touchdowns — both to Beasley, who finished with nine grabs for 101 yards on the night. Running back Ezekiel Elliot ran for 106 yards on 24 carries including a 15-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter, but it was the Dallas defense that stole the show, limiting the Jaguars to 204 yards of total offense and forcing two turnovers in the blowout win.

Despite the victory, Dallas could be one of the team’s primed to make a deal before the NFL’s trade deadline. Bill Barnwell of ESPN recently suggested the Cowboys could take a look at former first-round pick Davante Parker, who has struggled to see the field this year with the Dolphins. Even without a deal on the table, Cowboys fans seem optimistic about their chances of winning the NFC East this year.

Dallas comes into the week averaging 20.5 points per game, while allowing 17.2 points per game on the defensive side of the ball. The strength of this Dallas team still lies between the trenches though. The Cowboys have been stiff against the run, surrendering just 90.7 rush yards per game, while running for 147.5 per game on offense.

Norman, Peterson earn praise from teammates in win

The Redskins escaped with a 23-17 victory over the Carolina Panthers last week thanks to big-time performances from a couple of wily veterans. Josh Norman bounced back from his primetime benching by intercepting a pass and forcing a fumble to help stifle the Panthers’ offense, while Adrian Peterson played through pain to finish with 97 yards on 17 carries in the grind-it-out win. Alex Smith was conservative, but effective on the night, completing 21 of 36 passes for just 163 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions to help Washington remain atop the NFC East standings through six weeks.

Washington enters the week averaging 21.2 points per game and 344.0 yards of total offense per contest. On defense, they have given up 20.8 points per game and 326.2 yards of total offense — 73 percent of which have come through the air. Like the Cowboys, they are also among the league leaders against the run this year, allowing just 90.2 yards per game on the ground.

Updated on Oct 21 at 8:15am EDT

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

Low 50’s and sunny at game time, but wind could be a factor as it will be at 15 mph through much of the game.

Dallas’ Injury Report:

WR/ PR Tavon Austin (7 catches, 130 yards) is out and that could hurt their special teams some. DB Chidobe Awuzie (25 tackles) and DE Demarcus Lawrence (5.5 sacks) are both listed as questionable.

Washington’s Injury Report:

WR Jamison Crowder (13 catches, 134 yards) is out, while Paul Richardson Jr. (16 catches, 212 yards) is doubtful. RB Chris Thompson (40 touches, 300 total yards) and DB Quinton Dunbar (26 tackles, 1 INT) are both questionable.

Injury / Weather Report

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Dallas played its most complete game of the season last week against a tough Jacksonville defense and it helped open up some additional running lanes for Zeke in the process. I expect Washington to load up against the run in this game, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Prescott and Beasley hook up early and often again in this game. The Cowboys have covered the spread in five of their last seven meetings against the Redskins and each of their last four meetings in Washington. The under dog has covered the spread 30 of the last 40 times that these two teams have come together. Take the Cowboys with the points in this matchup in Washington on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Pick: Dallas Cowboys +1.5

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Dallas is fresh off of a 40-point performance and arguably their best offensive game of the season last time out against the Jaguars. Meanwhile, the Redskins continue to play Jekyll and Hyde. They had a terrific first half versus Carolina before slowing down and squeezing out a narrow six-point win. Both of these defenses are playing well right now, but with so much on the line in this game, you have to like the over here. These two teams have gone over the projected total in each of their last five games against one another. Look for that trend to continue at FedEx Field on Sunday.

Prediction: Over 41

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The Cowboys offense looked much better last week, thanks in part to the connection between Dak Prescott and Cole Beasley. Beasley commanded 11 targets last week against the vaunted Jaguars’ secondary and he has the type of quickness that can give cornerbacks fits on underneath routes. Washington is going to have to sell out to stop Zeke, which should open up the middle of the field for Beasley, who found the end zone twice last week. Expect Prescott to look for him early and often in this one and take your chances with Beasley to score the first touchdown of this game at FedEx Field on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Cole Beasley to score the first touchdown

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

The Cowboys enter this game favored by a half-point in the first half, so obviously there has been a fair bit of line movement here. That shouldn’t stop you from rolling with the Cowboys in this spot though. The Redskins have been inconsistent so far this year and the Cowboys’ defense is coming off of its most complete performance of the season. Washington is going to have to commit to stopping the run,  which should open things up for the Cowboys offense. Take Dallas to cover the first half spread in Washington on Sunday afternoon, as these two teams battle it out for the top spot in the NFC East.

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys -1.5

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

These are two of the top run defenses in football and they are both coming off of good showings last week. With that being said, this is a divisional matchup, so the Redskins and Cowboys are going to be very familiar with one another, so expect a few wrinkles on offense from both teams. They’ve gone over the projected total in each of their last five games, so feel confident in taking the over the projected first half total in this game on Sunday.

Prediction: Over 21

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.

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