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Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Jets,
10-21-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#465 Minnesota
Vikings -3.5
#466 New York
Jets 47

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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The Minnesota Vikings will head on the road to battle the New York Jets in a week 7 battle Sunday afternoon from MetLife Stadium. The Vikings are coming off a decisive 27-17 home win against the Cardinals, and the Jets notched a solid 42-34 home win over the Colts in their previous action. These teams last met in 2014 in a game the Vikings won 30-24.

Vikings Cruise Past Cardinals in Second Straight Win

The Minnesota Vikings enter this inter-conference battle hunting for their third straight win. They played strong defense in their 27-17 home win against Arizona last week. Kirk Cousins was sharp, collecting 233 passing yards with one TD against one INT. The 30-year old QB is living up to his lofty expectations, accumulating 1,921 passing yards with a 12:3 TD to INT ratio. Vikings’ leading rusher Latavius Murray came through with a spectacular effort against Arizona, racking up a season-high 155 rushing yards. The veteran RB has now tallied 261 rushing yards on the season. RB Dalvin Cook remains questionable again this week. Vikings #1 receiver Adam Thielen is one to watch. The 28-year old WR has tallied over 100 receiving yards in all six games played, and he leads the entire NFL with 712 receiving yards on the season. The Vikings offense has steadily produced this season led by their 8th ranked passing game.

The Vikings defense was outstanding for the second straight game against the Cardinals, limiting them to only 268 total yards and only 60 rushing yards. The Vikings rush defense has been consistent this season, although they will give up a decent amount of yards in the air. Minnesota stands in second place in the NFC North, and they cannot afford to take the Jets lightly considering they have the high-scoring Saints in week eight followed by a big game against the Lions. Minnesota is scoring an average of 23.3 points, ranking them 20th overall. They are conceding an average of 24.7 points, pegging them 18th in the NFL.

Jets Offense Shines in Win Over Colts

The New York Jets have rebounded from a three-game skid by collecting two consecutive wins including a 42-34 home win over the Colts last week. Sam Darnold was outstanding, amassing 280 passing yards with two TD’s. The rookie QB out of USC has posted mixed results this season, and he has only completed 60% of his passes for 1346 yards and a 9:7 TD to INT ratio. The Jets rotate between Isaiah Crowell and Bilal Powell on the ground, and the duo have combined for 753 rushing yards. Crowell has stood out, averaging 6.1 yards per carry for 430 yards. Jets #1 receiver Quincy Enunwa injured his ankle last week, and he is questionable for this one. Jermaine Kearse brought in 94 receiving yards last week, and he now has 165 yards on the year. The Jets offense has now scored over 30 points in three games this season which included a 34-16 win against Denver in week five.

The New York defense wasn’t at their best last week, squandering 428 total yards to the Colts. Overall their defense has played well enough to keep them in games, and they don’t particularly stand out in any area. CB Trumaine Johnson is questionable for this one. The Jets are only one game back of first place in the AFC East, and they are currently averaging 27.5 points, ranking them 11th in the NFL. They are conceding an average of 23.2 points, pegging them 15th overall.

Updated on Oct 21 at 2:35am EDT

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

The Vikings are 3.5 point favorites after opening as -3 point favorites. That is despite the fact that 71% of the tickets are on the Vikings. There may be a little sharp money holding this line back a little.

Injury / Weather Report

It should be sunny and around 50 degrees during the game. the weather should not be an issue.

Minnesota’s Injury Report:

CB Mike Hughes (19 tackles, 1 INT, 1 Sack) is out as is RB Dalvin Cook (205 total yards). S Andrew Sendejo (22 tackles) is questionable as is DE Danielle Hunter (seven sacks). The Vikes have a banged up defense and that could be an issue against an improving Jets offense.

New York’s Injury Report:

S Marcus Maye (17 tackles, 1 INT) is out as is CB Buster Skrine (19 tackles). CB Trumaine Johnson (11 Tackles, 1 INT) is doubtful as is WR Terrelle Pryor (14 catches, 235 yards). RB Isaiah Crowell (430 yards).

Some injuries to key players on both teams.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I am taking the Vikings in this matchup. The Vikings have found a rhythm, defeating the Eagles on the road, followed by a 27-17 home win against the Cardinals last week, and this is another matchup they should take in convincing fashion. The Jets pass defense is well below average, allowing an average of 272 passing yards per game, ranking them 23rd overall, and Kirk Cousins and the Vikings passing offense is averaging a stellar 303.8 passing yards per game.

Furthermore, the Jets have generated a significant portion of their offense through their running game, and Minnesota features an outstanding rush defense that is limiting opponents to only 93 rushing yards per game, good for ninth in the NFL. In addition, Sam Darnold and the Jets passing offense is only averaging 210 passing yards per game. The Vikings are a strong play considering this small spread.

Prediction: Minnesota Vikings

Full-Game Total Pick

The under is a solid option in this matchup. While the Jets have fared well offensively in their last two games, they are up against an outstanding defense this week that will slow down their running game. The Jets are only averaging 340 total yards per game, pegging them down at 26th in the NFL, and the Vikings just held the Eagles to 21 points in their latest road game two weeks ago, plus the under is 12-5 in their last 17 games in October.

In addition, overall the Vikings running game has not produced with any consistency, ranking down at 28th in the NFL, and the Jets defense is holding opponents to an average of 23.2 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Jets’ last six games after a straight up win, and it should convert in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

The over on the Vikings team total is a solid option. The Jets have allowed an average of 27 points in their last three games, and I expect Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins to have another big game. The Jets pass defense ranks 22nd in the NFL, and Cousins is averaging 319 passing yards over his last three games. In addition, Minnesota is averaging a solid 27.7 points on the road this season.

Prediction: Vikings Team Total: Over 24.5

Half-Time Side Pick

I am taking the Jets on the halftime line. The Jets have fared well in the first half recently, averaging a solid 14.7 points over their last three games. In addition, the Vikings are only scoring an average of 11.2 points in the first half this season, plus they are on the road in this one.

Prediction: New York Jets +2.5

Half-Time Total Bet

The under on the halftime total is worth a look. Both teams are averaging more points in the second half this season. The Jets are averaging 2.5 more points in the second half, and Minnesota is only averaging 11.2 points in the first half compared to 12.2 in the second half. I expect the offense on both teams to come alive in the second half.

Prediction: Under 23.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

I am taking the Vikings on the first quarter three-way money line. The Jets have consistently started slow this season, averaging a measly 2.8 points in the first quarter this season, ranking them down at 30th in the NFL. In addition, the Jets first quarter defense has been below average, conceding an average of 5.7 points over their last three games.

Prediction: Vikings First Quarter Money Line

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.


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