Upcoming Free Picks

New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears,
10-21-2018 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NFL games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#453 New England
Patriots -2
#454 Chicago
Bears 50

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

Where and when: October 21, 2018, Soldier Field, Chicago, IL, 1:00 PM ET

The New England Patriots proved they are still the team to beat in the AFC after an offensive shootout for the ages with the Kansas City Chiefs. They’ll go on the road on Sunday in a pivotal meeting with a top-five defense in the Chicago Bears. That juggernaut defense featuring former Defensive Player of the Year Khalil Mack will be looking to rebound after losing to a Brock Osweiler-led Miami Dolphins team.

Brady magic carries the Patriots to another primetime win

Tom Brady is the greatest quarterback in NFL history, but he might also be the most clutch athlete in any sport, period. In a wild, wild West-styled shootout with Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the 41-year-old Brady was the last man standing. He was dropping dimes all over the field to various receivers, including a 39-yard teardrop right into the awaiting hands of tight end Rob Gronkowski that setup the game-winning field goal kick by Stephen Gostkowski.

We are witnessing the emergence of a much different offense than we saw earlier in the season when the Patriots suffered consecutive losses to the Jacksonville Jaguars and Detroit Lions.

Brady finally has his favorite receiver, Julian Edelman, back on the field, and the newest addition, Josh Gordon, appears to be absorbing the offense quicker than anyone thought possible. Rookie running back Sony Michel is also coming on strong and beginning to make a case for Offensive Rookie of the Year. He finished Sunday’s game with 106 rushing yards and two touchdowns, while Brady threw for 340 yards and one touchdown.

Bears’ defense lays an egg

The Miami Dolphins were without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill and still managed to light up the vaunted Chicago Bears defense, which allowed 380 passing yards and two touchdowns to Osweiler. Perhaps the most shocking stat of the night was the fact that a defense led by Mack couldn’t even register a sack on a backup quarterback. Osweiler was working in a clean pocket for the most part and picking the Bears’ secondary apart.

After the game, Bears linebacker Leonard Floyd admitted the defense simply failed to execute.

Imagine what would happen if the Bears were playing against Brady and his plethora of offensive weapons. It’ll be a harsh reality if the Bears fail to clean things up by game day.

The offense has always taken the blame for the Bears’ struggles, but they were actually effective when playing against the Dolphins. Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky had another solid game, throwing for 316 yards, three touchdowns and only one interception. That followed a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers where the offense scored 48 points, and he threw for 354 yards and six touchdowns.

Updated on Oct 20 at 9:40pm EDT

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

Looks like the sharp have made a move on the Bears. The line has gone from New England -2.5 to -2, despite the fact that 76% of the bets are coming in on the Patriots. They must feel that the Bears defense will bounce back after a horrible showing against the Dolphins.

Injury / Weather Report

50’s and sunny. No weather issues for this one.

New England’s Injury Report:

Marcus Cannon (OL) is questionable. TE Rob Gronkowski is expected to miss the game due to a back injury.

Chicago’s Injury Report:

CB Prince Amukamara (11 Tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) is questionable as is WR Allen Robinson II (24 catches, 281 yards), LB Khalil Mack (5 Sacks), and DB Bryce Callahan (20 tackles). *Mack is expected to play but might be limited.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Bears have yet to lose at home this season, but they also haven’t faced an offense with the same firepower as the Patriots. Granted, the defense is much better than it showed in the game against the Dolphins, but I don’t envision them faring any better in stopping “Tom Terrific” if they couldn’t even slow down Osweiler.

The often overlooked element of that game was the fact that Miami’s 35-year-old running back, Frank Gore, ran up and down the field on Chicago’s defense for 101 yards on 15 carries. Michel should be licking his chops for an opportunity to continue to pile up rushing yards, while simultaneously helping the Patriots play keep-away from opposing offenses.

I also have to believe Patriots head coach Bill Belichick’s defense will play better in this game. His teams typically play well against young quarterbacks. Trubisky has shown some excitable traits to get people talking in Chicago, but he is certainly no Mahomes. If the Bears defense can’t slow down Brady, the former No. 2 overall draft pick could be in for a long night.

Prediction: New England Patriots (-3.5)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The Bears defense showed some unexpected cracks in the secondary against the Dolphins, and I expect Brady to advantage of those same opportunities. There are simply too many weapons for the Patriots’ offense to expect the Bears to keep this to a low-scoring game. The over is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Prediction: Over 49.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The Patriots offense just finished dropping 43 points on the Chiefs and 38 points in back-to-back games against the Dolphins and Lions. Meanwhile, the Bears defense gave up 31 points and 541 yards of total offense to a Dolphin offense with Osweiler as the starter. Brady and the Patriots looked great neutralizing Mack a year ago at a neutral site in Mexico City, when he still played for the Raiders. Not much will change in this game as the Patriots offense run up the score for a fourth consecutive week.

Prediction: Patriots total points (Over 25.5)

Jordy McElroy

Coming Soon!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Monday, Nov 19
NFL
#473 Kansas City Chiefs 63.5
#474 Los Angeles Rams -2.5
8:15pm
View Pick
NBA
#501 Boston Celtics -3
#502 Charlotte Hornets 216
7:05pm
View Pick
#503 Utah Jazz -3.5
#504 Indiana Pacers 205
7:05pm
View Pick
#505 Phoenix Suns 221
#506 Philadelphia 76ers -11
7:05pm
View Pick
#507 Cleveland Cavaliers 211
#508 Detroit Pistons -10
7:05pm
View Pick
#509 Los Angeles Clippers -7.5
#510 Atlanta Hawks 228
7:35pm
View Pick
#511 Denver Nuggets 227.5
#512 Milwaukee Bucks -6
8:05pm
View Pick
#513 San Antonio Spurs 225
#514 New Orleans Pelicans -7.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#515 Dallas Mavericks 206
#516 Memphis Grizzlies -3
8:05pm
View Pick
#517 Oklahoma City Thunder -2
#518 Sacramento Kings 220.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#557 Duke -13
#558 San Diego State 154.5
5:00pm
View Pick
#563 Hampton 149.5
#564 Bowling Green -4
5:00pm
View Pick
#539 St. Bonaventure 144
#540 Georgia State -4
5:00pm
View Pick
#571 Richmond 139.5
#572 Loyola - Chicago -7
6:30pm
View Pick
#519 Western Michigan
#520 Cincinnati
7:00pm
View Pick
#521 Eastern Michigan 135
#522 Rutgers -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#575 California
#576 St. Johns
7:00pm
View Pick
#579 Nebraska
#580 Missouri State
7:00pm
View Pick
#549 Missouri 130
#550 Kansas State -8
7:30pm
View Pick
#541 Boise State 146.5
#542 Creighton -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#523 Arkansas - Little Rock 140.5
#524 Tulsa -12
8:00pm
View Pick
#583 Utah State 142.5
#584 St Marys -4
8:30pm
View Pick
#525 Cal Poly 148.5
#526 Washington State -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#559 Arizona 147
#560 Iowa State -1
9:00pm
View Pick
#573 Wyoming 149.5
#574 Boston College -8
9:00pm
View Pick
#577 VCU 146
#578 Temple -3
9:30pm
View Pick
#581 USC 142.5
#582 Texas Tech -6.5
9:30pm
View Pick
#585 Arizona State 149.5
#586 Mississippi St -4
11:00pm
View Pick
#561 Gonzaga
#562 Illinois
11:30pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 Dallas -115
#2 N.Y. Rangers -105
7:05pm
View Pick
#3 Buffalo 5.5
#4 Pittsburgh -170
7:05pm
View Pick
#5 Columbus 6
#6 Toronto -135
7:05pm
View Pick
#7 Florida -140
#8 Ottawa 6
7:35pm
View Pick
#9 Washington 5.5
#10 Montreal -120
7:35pm
View Pick
#11 Tampa Bay 6
#12 Nashville -145
8:05pm
View Pick
#13 Los Angeles 5.5
#14 St. Louis -150
8:05pm
View Pick
#15 Vegas 5.5
#16 Calgary -145
9:05pm
View Pick
#17 Winnipeg -190
#18 Vancouver 6
10:05pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Nov 20
NCAAF
#101 Northern Illinois
#102 Western Michigan
7:00pm
View Pick
#103 Ball State
#104 Miami - OH
7:00pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#719 Pacific
#720 UNLV
10:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Nov 22
NFL
#105 Chicago Bears -4.5
#106 Detroit Lions 45
12:30pm
View Pick
#107 Washington Redskins 41
#108 Dallas Cowboys -7
4:30pm
View Pick
#109 Atlanta Falcons 59
#110 New Orleans Saints -13
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#113 Mississippi St
#114 Ole Miss
7:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Nov 25
NFL
#269 Pittsburgh Steelers -3
#270 Denver Broncos 47.5
4:25pm
View Pick
Friday, Nov 23
NCAAF
#119 Eastern Michigan
#120 Kent State
12:00pm
View Pick
#121 Buffalo
#122 Bowling Green
12:00pm
View Pick
#123 Nebraska
#124 Iowa
12:00pm
View Pick
#141 Oklahoma
#142 West Virginia
8:00pm
View Pick
#143 Washington
#144 Washington State
8:30pm
View Pick