Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#465 Philadelphia Eagles vs.
#466 Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 4:25pm EDT
Oakland Coliseum, Oakland
Written by Nathaniel Reeves

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The Philadelphia Eagles will visit the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday afternoon at Allegiant Stadium in a Week 7 matchup. Philadelphia is off to a 2-4 start this season after losing 28-22 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last Thursday night as a seven-point home underdog. Las Vegas is coming off an emotional 34-24 victory over the Denver Broncos on Sunday as a five-point road underdog, and is in contention so far this season at 4-2 overall.

These teams haven't met since Christmas Day back in 2017, when Philadelphia picked up a 19-10 home win to take a 7-6 all-time lead in the series against the Raiders.

Eagles offense can't keep up with Buccaneers in loss

Any slim hope the Eagles had of contending in the NFC East is quickly fading away, as they were unable to pull off an upset against the defending champion Buccaneers in Philadelphia last Thursday. Zach Ertz scored on a five-yard reception midway through the first in what would be his last game as an Eagle to tie the score, but that would be it for the Philadelphia offense until late in the third quarter, and two Jalen Hurts' touchdown runs down the stretch weren't enough to erase Tampa Bay's three-score lead.

Hurts had a rough game passing the ball, finishing 12/26 for 115 yards, one touchdown and one interception while adding 10 carries for 44 yards and two scores. Miles Sanders was efficient with nine carries for 56 yards, while Quez Watkins was the team's top receiver with three catches for 44 yards. Philadelphia was held to just 213 yards of total offense, and couldn't finish many drives as it was only 3/10 on third down.

“Obviously right now, these last two games in particular, we’ve been bad on offense. There’s no hiding that, and there’s no question about it," first-year head coach Nick Sirianni said via NJ.com. “There is no doubt we got to get the ball the Miles more. We have to be more balanced with the pass and the run. We’re doing everything we can do to fix it.”

The Eagles are an even 3-3 against the spread after covering in each of the last two games, including a comeback win over the Carolina Panthers as an underdog. Overs are 2-4 for the Eagles, with each of their last two games going under the betting total as last week's game fell a field goal short of clearing 53 points.

Sirianni's offense is struggling to get going in his first year as the head coach in Philadelphia with an average 0f 22.8 points and 346 yards per game. The Eagles defense also ranks in the bottom 10 with an average of 25.3 points and 347.1 yards per contest, although they have faced a very difficult schedule of opposing offenses.

Hurts has carried the load offensively, completing 130 of 208 pass attempts for 1,480 yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions while also leading the Eagles with 53 carries for 300 yards and five scores. First-round pick DeVonta Smith has already made an impact as the team's top receiver with 27 catches for 345 yards and a score, while Sanders has carried the ball 57 times for 270 yards. Javon Hargrave is having a monster season in the middle of the Philadelphia defensive line with 32 tackles including seven for a loss, six sacks, nine quarterback hits and a forced fumble.

The Eagles will get a boost this weekend, as star right tackle Lane Johnson is set to return after missing time due to a personal matter. Tight end Dallas Goedert missed practice on Thursday after being activated from the COVID list, but is expected to be in the lineup Sunday. Long snapper Rick Lovato is questionable with a hamstring injury. A couple of stars are on injured reserve for the Eagles, with defensive end Brandon Graham (Achillies) and guard Brandon Brooks (pectoral) both sidelined.

Tumultuous week for Raiders end with huge win

Following the sudden resignation of head coach Jon Gruden just a few days before, the Raiders turned in a strong all-around effort on Sunday to beat the Broncos while snapping a two-game losing streak. Henry Ruggs III capped off Las Vegas' opening drive with a 48-yard touchdown catch and the Raiders were rolling early in the third thanks to a pair of Kenyan Drake scores on either side of halftime, with Denver only getting within 10 later in garbage time.

Derek Carr turned in another efficient outing, completing 18 of 27 passes for 341 yards and two touchdowns. Josh Jacobs carried the ball 16 times for 53 yards and a score, while Ruggs III reeled in three catches for 97 yards and the long touchdown. While Las Vegas finished with just a 426-421 advantage in total yards, the Broncos were undone by turning the ball over four times.

"These guys we have in this building are resilient, from the coaching staff to the players to the trainers, everybody has a positive outlook on this organization. Everyone’s talking, ‘What are the Raiders going to do? Is the season over?’ We’ve heard all of it. For us to have a great week of practice and go out there and play good football, it’s a testament to all these guys in the locker room,” star defensive end Maxx Crosby told the Associated Press.

The Raiders are an even 3-3 against the spread, including outright wins over the Broncos, Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers as an underdog. Overs are also 3-3 for Las Vegas after last Sunday's game went comfortably over the betting total of 45 points to snap a run of two straight unders.

Las Vegas has managed a solid offense so far with an average of 24.5 points and 385.1 yards per game despite playing some tough opposing defenses in the early going. After putting up some of the worst defensive numbers in the NFL last year, the Raiders are closer to average this season with 24 points and 353.3 yards per contest allowed.

Carr has generally played well, completing 149 of 232 passes for 1,946 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Jacobs has managed just 175 yards on 54 carries while dealing with injuries although he has scored four times, while Ruggs III is having a breakout campaign with 20 receptions for 445 yards and two touchdowns. Crosby could be headed for an All-Pro season with 16 tackles including four for a loss, five sacks, two pass breakups and a whopping 18 quarterback hits already.

While Las Vegas had a staggering 17 players on the injury report, most are expected to suit up, as defensive tackle Quinton Jefferson (personal) and tight end Nick Bowers (neck) were the only ones to miss Thursday's practice. Safety Dallin Leavitt is questionable after being limited with a quad injury. The secondary is missing some key pieces, as Damon Arnette (groin), Trayvon Mullen Jr. (toe) and Roderic Teamer (shoulder) all hit injured reserve over the last 10 days. Guards Richie Incognito (calf) and Denzelle Good (knee) are also sidelined. Defensive tackle Gerald McCoy is serving a six-game suspension for PEDs.

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Las Vegas proved last week that it will be just fine without Gruden, and should be a much bigger favorite than this at home as it is a better all-around team than Philadelphia. Sirianni's offense isn't clicking yet in his first year with the Eagles, and the much more trustworthy Raiders passing attack will make enough plays to pull away here.

The Eagles put some big point totals on a pair of bad defenses in the Chiefs and Falcons but have struggled otherwise, as the coaching staff hasn't shown a lot of trust in Hurts to dial up deep passes down the field and they refuse to give the ball to Sanders despite his efficient numbers. On the other side, Carr is right up there with the NFL's elite at 8.4 yards per pass attempt, as the emergence of Ruggs III as a deep threat to complement the always steady Darren Waller gives the Las Vegas offense plenty of flexibility, and the unit has been great outside of an ugly 20-9 loss to the Bears.

Even more impressive for the Raiders is the fact that the defense has improved so much with 5.1 yards per play allowed to rank fifth in the NFL after being 26th in that same stat a year ago, as Crosby and Yannick Ngakoue have been a terror to opposing quarterbacks. Las Vegas isn't getting enough respect at 4-2 with some strong wins on the resume' and will be able to beat the rebuilding Eagles by a touchdown in this one.

Prediction: Raiders -3

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Even though these are capable enough offenses at times, both defenses are very underrated and have enough playmakers to force an under here. Philadelphia matches Las Vegas in the top five with 5.1 yards per play allowed, as Darius Slay finally looks fully healthy to steady the secondary while Javon Hargrave has been one of the most disruptive defensive linemen in the NFL.

A passable running game would do Las Vegas wonders, but it is dead last with 3.3 yards per attempt, which hurts what the offense can do overall as teams will start loading up against the pass more. Both defenses have played well despite facing a difficult schedule of opposing offenses and will start to show it this Sunday in a lower-scoring game.

Prediction: Under 48.5
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Written By Nathaniel Reeves , "Nathaniel Reeves"

Nathaniel Reeves is an avid sports fan with degrees in journalism from the University of Washington and statistics from Western Washington University. He's always had a passion for applying statistical analysis to sports betting and has successfully handicapped college football, college basketball, and Esports for years. Nathaniel has endured being a lifelong fan of the Seattle Mariners, along with the Seattle Seahawks, UW Huskies and soon to be Seattle Kraken. He has been a very successful sports bettor the last several years and we are thrilled that Nate has chosen to bring his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. You would be very wise to follow him daily. 
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