Upcoming Free Picks

Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens,
10-26-2017 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#101 Miami
Dolphins
#102 Baltimore
Ravens

Thursday, October 26, 2017 at 8:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

Miami Dolphins (4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 1-6 O/U) at Baltimore Ravens (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U)

When and Where: Thursday, Oct. 26, M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Md., 8:25pmET

Line: Baltimore -3.5

Total: 37.5

Don’t look now, but the Miami Dolphins are fighting for first place in the AFC East. After an improbable 20-17 road win over Atlanta, where they came back from being down 17-0, the Fins did it again. This time, Miami was down 28-14 at home against the New York Jets and found a way to win, 31-28, thanks to the heroics of backup quarterback Matt Moore. Baltimore is trying to find a healthy wide receiver after losing at Minnesota, 24-16.

Moore back in the saddle

Some Miami fans wondered why Jay Cutler was brought in the first place after Ryan Tannehill went down with a torn ACL in the preseason. Of course, the relationship with head coach Adam Gase (back in Chicago) was the reason but Cutler is not known for his consistency. The 34-year old veteran has 995 yards passing with seven TDs and five picks (78.8 QB rating). After injuring his ribs against the Jets, in steps 33-year old backup Matt Moore and he brings the Dolphins back from a 28-14 deficit in the fourth quarter with two touchdown passes to Kenny Stills. Thanks to an ill-advised Josh McCown pass with the game tied at 28-28 (picked off by Bobby McCain), Miami won the game on a Cody Pankey 39-yard field goal with 22 seconds left.

Cutler wasn’t bad before he got injured, completing 12 of 16 for 138 yards with two TDs and one pick. Moore though outplayed him, throwing for 188 yards with two TDs and a pick. Both needed to throw, considering RB Jay Ajayi was held to 51 yards on 23 attempts. Ajayi has 442 yards rushing on the season, while Jarvis Landry leads in receiving with 365 yards. Miami ranks 32nd in total offense in the league with 261.8 yards per game and 81.7 rushing yards (29th). Defensively, they’ve been solid, allowing just 308.2 yards per game (9th), 82.3 rushing yards (5th) and 18.7 points allowed per game (7th).

When you’re kicker is your best player…

Justin Tucker is Baltimore’s best weapon on offense. The problem with that statement is that Tucker is a kicker. When your kicker nails three field goals and you don’t score a touchdown until time expires, you are in trouble. The Ravens went into their road contest without their best possession receiver (Jeremy Maclin) and their best vertical weapon Mike Wallace dealing with a back injury. To make matters worse, Wallace was knocked out of the game early on due to a concussion and Baltimore was left with three receivers. That didn’t help Joe Flacco’s case, who had little protection (five sacks) and no running game (64 yards) against one of the league’s top rushing defenses. Flacco completed 27 of 39 for 186 yards with one TD and no picks, though most of the completions were of the short variety. Running back Buck Allen caught eight passes on check downs for 29 yards.

The defense brought back top defensive tackle Brandon Williams but still managed to struggle against the run. Minnesota had their own injury issues on the offensive line and at running back, but still managed to run for 169 yards on 33 carries. The Ravens now rank a pitiful 32nd in the league against the run, giving up 145.3 yards per game, though their pass defense is fine (189.3 yards). Offensively, they are terrible, averaging 18.3 points per game (23rd), and a paltry 157.4 yards passing per game (32nd).

NFL Trends:

Miami is:

  • 12-3 ATS last 15 in Week 8.
  • 8-3 ATS last 11 after an ATS win.

Baltimore is:

  • 7-18-2 ATS last 27 in October.
  • 5-14-2 ATS last 21 after a SU loss.

Baltimore has lost two straight at home and two straight overall. It’s hard to believe they are even favored in this game. Moore is a quality backup and a decent starter with Stills and Jarvis Landry at receiver. They don’t even need to throw that often against the Ravens’ run defense, with Ajayi likely to rush for over 100 yards. Even if Maclin (shoulder) returns, Wallace probably will be out with a concussion. That still gives the Ravens one of the worst group of receivers in the league.

Pick: Miami

Baltimore went over last week against Minnesota thanks to last-second touchdown pass to Chris Moore as time expired. Miami was 5-0 Under in their first five games before Moore led the Fins on their comeback trail. Hard to believe that this will be a shootout. Miami is 14-3 Under last 17 in Week 8, while Baltimore is 11-5 Under their last 16 home games.

Under

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Thursday, Feb 21
NBA
#501 Miami Heat 218
#502 Philadelphia 76ers -6.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#503 Phoenix Suns 219
#504 Cleveland Cavaliers -1
7:05pm
View Pick
#505 Portland Trailblazers
#506 Brooklyn Nets
7:35pm
View Pick
#507 Boston Celtics
#508 Milwaukee Bucks
8:05pm
View Pick
#509 Houston Rockets
#510 Los Angeles Lakers
10:35pm
View Pick
#511 Sacramento Kings
#512 Golden State Warriors
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#601 UCF 132.5
#602 Cincinnati -8
7:00pm
View Pick
#603 Georgia State -2
#604 Appalachian State 159.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#605 Cleveland State 145
#606 Wright State -13
7:00pm
View Pick
#607 Michigan -4.5
#608 Minnesota 131.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#609 UNCW -1
#610 Elon 152
7:00pm
View Pick
#611 James Madison 140.5
#612 Northeastern -11.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#613 Youngstown State
#614 Northern Kentucky
7:00pm
View Pick
#615 Towson
#616 Hofstra
7:00pm
View Pick
#617 Charleston -1.5
#618 William & Mary 149
7:00pm
View Pick
#619 Georgia Southern -1
#620 Coastal Carolina 157.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#623 UL Lafayette 149.5
#624 UT Arlington -3
8:00pm
View Pick
#621 UL Monroe 142
#622 Texas State -5.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#625 San Francisco 147.5
#626 BYU -4.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#627 Pepperdine
#628 Gonzaga
9:00pm
View Pick
#629 Oregon 137.5
#630 USC -2.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#631 California
#632 Arizona
9:00pm
View Pick
#633 UConn 146.5
#634 SMU -6.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#635 St Marys -7.5
#636 Pacific 136
10:00pm
View Pick
#637 Portland
#638 San Diego
10:00pm
View Pick
#641 Cal Poly
#642 Cal Irvine
10:00pm
View Pick
#643 UC Davis 132.5
#644 Cal State Fullerton -6.5
10:30pm
View Pick
#639 Hawaii 133.5
#640 UCSB -3.5
11:00pm
View Pick
#645 Oregon State 151.5
#646 UCLA -1.5
11:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 San Jose 7
#2 Pittsburgh -125
7:05pm
View Pick
#3 Minnesota -105
#4 N.Y. Rangers -115
7:05pm
View Pick
#9 Washington 6.5
#10 Toronto -170
7:05pm
View Pick
#7 Carolina -110
#8 Florida -110
7:05pm
View Pick
#5 Ottawa 6.5
#6 New Jersey -140
7:05pm
View Pick
#11 Buffalo
#12 Tampa Bay
7:35pm
View Pick
#13 Philadelphia 6
#14 Montreal -140
7:35pm
View Pick
#15 Los Angeles 5.5
#16 Nashville -220
8:05pm
View Pick
#17 St. Louis -125
#18 Dallas 5.5
8:35pm
View Pick
#19 N.Y. Islanders
#20 Edmonton
9:05pm
View Pick
#21 Arizona 5.5
#22 Vancouver -140
10:05pm
View Pick