Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#255 Los Angeles
#256 Chicago
2-5
3-3
2-4-1
2-4
2-5
3-3
19
18
20
17

More

In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Chargers vs. Bears Prediction

Sunday, October 27, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
Soldier Field, Chicago

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

Have thoughts or feedback? Let us know!

Table of Contents

Last Updated: Sunday, October 27, 2019 at 12:59am EDT

Introduction

The Chicago Bears will host the Los Angeles Chargers in an inter-conference battle Sunday afternoon from Soldier Field. The Chargers could not secure the win in a tough 23-20 road loss to the Titans last week. The Bears are coming off an ugly 36-25 home loss to the Saints last week to fall to 3-3 on the season. This marks the first meeting between these two sides since 2015 in a game the Bears won 22-19.

Los Angeles Chargers Review

The Los Angeles Chargers were expected to be a force in the AFC and so far their season has been a major disappointment. The Chargers have lost three straight games to plummet into last place in the AFC West with a 2-5 record on the season. L.A. could not score a touchdown with a first and goal opportunity with under a minute remaining in their 23-20 road loss to the Titans. Philip Rivers played well last week, but overall he is having an inconsistent season. The veteran QB has tossed four interceptions in his last three games, and he has collected 2114 passing yards with an 11:6 TD to INT ratio.

Melvin Gordon has struggled since returning from a lengthy contract holdout. The 26-year old RB has only tallied 81 rushing yards in three games played on the season, and they will need more production from him going forward. Chargers’ #1 receiver Keenan Allen has cooled down recently, although he still has 564 receiving yards on the year.

Los Angeles has battled key injuries to their defense all season. They are still performing well which is a reflection of their depth. L.A. had trouble defending the pass last week, although their pass defense ranks fifth in the NFL. The Chargers are scoring an average of 20 points on the season, ranking them 24th overall. They are conceding an average of 20.1 points, placing them 10th in the NFL. L.A. is 1-2 on the road.

Chicago Bears Review

The Chicago Bears have dropped to 3-3 after posting a 3-1 start to the season. The Bears offense has been a glaring issue this season. They are coming off a 36-25 home loss to the Saints last week in which the offense was booed by the Soldier Field crowd. Mitchell Trubisky made his return after missing two games and he struggled for most of the game. Trubisky finished with 251 yards for an average of only 4.6 yards per reception. He picked up most of those passing yards in the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach. The 25-year old QB is having trouble leading the Bears offense, recording 839 passing yards with a 5:2 TD to INT ratio.

The Bears' rushing offense also continues to stumble. Rookie David Montgomery leads the way with only 231 rushing yards on the season. Allen Robinson II has been one of the few bright spots on offense. The 26-year old WR tallied another 97 receiving yards last week, and he has accrued a total of 464 receiving yards. The Bears offense needs to find answers quick.

The Chicago defense is coming off their worst performance of the season after surrendering 424 total yards to the Saints. The Bears struggled against the run last week, although they still rank 11th in the NFL in rush yards allowed per game. Chicago is currently averaging 18.7 points, placing them down at 26th in the NFL. They are holding opponents to 17.5 points, positioning them fifth overall. The Bears stand at 1-2 at Soldier Field.

The Running Game

Los Angeles Chargers Running Offense
vs. Chicago Bears Running Defense

Los Angeles Chargers Running Offense

The Chargers' rushing offense is underachieving right now. They only managed 39 rushing yards on 19 attempts against the Titans last week, and 32 yards against the Steelers in the prior week. Chargers #1 RB Melvin Gordon sat out the first four games due to a contract dispute and he has looked rusty in his three games since his return. The 26-year old has only amassed a combined 81 rushing yards on an average of only 2.3 yards per attempt. Gordon is a talented RB and he should return to his previous form at some point this season after posting 885 rushing yards in 12 games in 2018.

“I didn’t get the job done. The one thing I hate most yesterday is I let you all see me sweat and show emotion out there,” he said. “We’re in a position where every game counts.” -Melvin Gordon after last week’s loss. (source: Associated Press)

Austin Ekeler has seen a drop in his rush attempts since Gordon’s return. Ekeler has only attempted 13 rushes in his last three games, and he currently has a season total of 248 rushing yards. He remains a useful weapon through screen passes and as a wide receiver. Chargers #3 RB Justin Jackson can also be a threat. He has 142 rushing yards on an average of 7.9 yards per attempt. He is dealing with a calf injury and is questionable for this game.

The Chargers offensive line is dealing with several injuries that have added to their running woes. Center Mike Pouncey is out for the season and now guard Forrest Lamp is also out for the rest of the year. The good news is offensive tackle Russell Okung will make his season debut.

Chicago Bears Run Defense

Chicago’s rush defense was stellar through their first four games, but they have taken a step back in their last two clashes. They squandered 123 rushing yards to Raiders’ RB Josh Jacobs, followed by 119 rushing yards to Saints' back Latavius Murray. This Bears defense did neutralize the powerful Dalvin Cook earlier this season.

The Bears are playing without Akiem Hicks on the defensive line which is a huge loss. The good news is lineman Bilal Nichols made his return after last week missing three games.

Khail Mack hasn’t been a threatening presence in the last few games. The intimidating linebacker has not made a sack or a tackle for a loss in two straight games. The former Defensive Player of the Year remains at 4.5 sacks and 23 combined tackles on the season. The steady Danny Trevathan picked up another 10 combined tackles last week, and he continues to lead the Bears with 55 tackles and two tackles for a loss. According to Football Outsiders, the Bears have stuffed their opponent 13% of the time, placing them below the NFL average of 19%. Chicago has 18 sacks, placing them 18th overall.

Stats

Chargers:

  • Rushing Attempts per Game: 21.1 (26th)
  • Rushing Yards: 520 (26th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Game: 74.3 (27th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Carry: 3.5 (26th)

Bears:

  • Opponent Carries Per Game 26.2 (18th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards: 556 (7th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game: 94.3 (12th)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry: 3.6 (4th)

Who has the Edge?

I expect the Bears to contain the Chargers running game in this matchup. The Chargers haven’t been able to generate significant yards on the ground, registering 39 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games against the Broncos, Steelers, and Titans. While the Bears haven’t looked great against the run recently, overall they have excelled against the run with a rush defense that is limiting opponents to 94 rushing yards per game. Moreover, the Chargers aren’t running the ball a whole lot. They have attempted a combined 51 rushes compared to 130 pass attempts in their last three games.

Advantage: Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears Running Offense
vs. Los Angeles Chargers Running Defense

Chicago Bears Running Offense

The Bears rushing offense continues to have big issues, and they stand 28th in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Chicago only scrounged 17 rushing yards against the Saints last week, although they abandoned their run game early. Tarik Cohen saw the most carries with three for only 10 yards.

David Montgomery is having trouble in his first year in the NFL. The 22-year old running back has rushed for 53 or fewer yards in three straight games. He only has 231 rushing yards for an abysmal average of only 3.3 yards per attempt on the season. It will be interesting if coach Matt Nagy will start giving a majority of the handoffs to Cohen instead of Montgomery.

’There weren’t a lot of runs and then we ended up getting behind in the second half,” Nagy said. “But to have seven rushes and two fumbles — that’s not good either. ”

-Bears coach Matt Nagy on the running game. (Source: Associated Press)

Chicago’s offensive line has played a role in their struggles on the ground. They have a big hole with the absence of guard Kyle Long who has landed on the IR with a hip injury. Ted Larsen has missed the last two games with a knee injury and he is questionable. Overall, the Bears will need to find a way to generate more offense on the ground if they are to compete for a playoff position.

Los Angeles Chargers Run Defense

The Chargers rush defense has been a different story when compared to their pass defense. They rank 22nd in rushing yards allowed per game. They minimized the damage last week after holding the Titans to 97 rushing yards which is a step in the right direction. L.A. played without three starting defensive linemen last week which made their performance even more noteworthy. Brandon Mebane and Justin Jones are both day-to-day after missing last week’s contest. Melvin Ingram III is expected to make his return.

Linebacker Thomas Davis Sr.continues to excel, leading the Chargers with 54 combined tackles and three tackles for a loss. Second-year linebacker Uchenna Nwosu also deserves some credit as he has collected 4.5 tackles for a loss on the year. Denzel Perryman is also a key figure. The 26-year old linebacker has made three tackles for a loss. He exited last week’s game and is listed as probable.  Football Outsiders has the Chargers at a 15% stuff rate, placing them below the league average of 19%. The Chargers have tallied 14 sacks, pegging them 21st overall.

Stats

Bears:

  • Rushing Attempts per Game: 20.8 (28th)
  • Rushing Yards: 420 (29th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Game: 70 (28th)
  • Average Rushing Yards Per Carry: 3.4 (28th)

Chargers:

  • Opponent Carries Per Game 27.9 (21st)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards: 820 (22nd)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game: 117.1 (22nd)
  • Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry: 4.2 (15th)

Who has the Edge?

I give a slight edge to the Chargers here. The Bears are struggling in a big way on the ground, ranking near the bottom of the NFL in most rushing categories. I do not see them posting a sharp reversal considering they do not have an established running back. David Montgomery is a struggling rookie, and Tarik Cohen’s season career-high is only 444 rushing yards. Moreover, the Bears are not attempting many rushes per game. The Chargers were decent against the run last week, and I expect them to at least content the Bears running game.

Advantage: Los Angeles Chargers

The Passing Game

Los Angeles Chargers Passing Offense
vs. Chicago Bears Passing Defense

Los Angeles Chargers Passing Offense

The Chargers passing offense has been their greatest strength this season, ranking third in the NFL in passing yards per game. Philip Rivers is an experienced quarterback who has eclipsed 300 passing yards in five of his seven games played on the season. The 37-year old recorded 329 passing yards with two touchdowns last week. Rivers has accrued 2114 passing yards with an 11:6 TD to INT ratio on the year.

“I think we’re at our best when we’re balanced,” Rivers said. “Whatever it means, that needs to be our No. 1 objective. I think that could be the answer to some of our questions, is scoring.”

-Philip Rivers on the Chargers offense (Source Associated Press)

The Chargers also feature one of the best receivers in the NFL in Keenan Allen. The 27-year old is sixth in the NFL with 564 receiving yards accompanied with three touchdowns. Allen has cooled off recently, bringing in only 112 receiving yards in his last three games.

RB Austin Ekeler has been very involved in the passing game. He was even lined up as a wide receiver in the fourth quarter last week. The third-year back is second in team receiving with 488 receiving yards.

Watch for tight end Hunter Henry who has made a huge impact upon his return from injury a few weeks ago. Henry has accumulated 197 receiving yards in his last two games, and he has 257 receiving yards on the season. L.A. also features WR Mike Williams who is up to 350 receiving yards.

Chicago Bears Passing Defense

The Bears pass defense has been sharp most of the season. They did not look organized against the Saints last week as Teddy Bridgewater was able to collect 281 passing yards. Khalil Mack is an elite pass rusher, and he has 4.5 sacks. Roy Robertson-Harris has not made a sack in two games, and the third-year defensive end tallied 2.5 sacks.

Cornerback Kyle Fuller draws another difficult assignment this week. He was matched up against the potent Michael Thomas last week, and Thomas was able to record 130 receiving yards. Fuller will be guarding another star receiver in Keenan Allen. The 27-year old corner has made five pass deflections along with two picks.

The corner on the other side is Prince Amukamara. The veteran has also broken up five passes on the season. He has allowed 16 receptions on 23 targets according to PFF. Safety Ha Ha Clinton Dix and Eddie Jackson have combined for four pass deflections. Chicago remains at four interceptions on the year. Chicago does not have any significant injuries to their secondary.

Stats

Chargers:

  • Passes Completed: 184 (2nd)
  • Average Yards Per Completion: 7.7 (11th)
  • Passing Yards Per Game: 293.4 (3rd)
  • Passing Touchdowns: 11 (13th)

Bears:

  • Opponent Passing Yards Per Game: 236.5 (13th)
  • Opponent Passes Completed: 158 (22nd)
  • Opponent Completion Percentage: 69%: (25th)
  • Opponent TD Passes: 6: (4th)

Who has the Edge?

This is a very close and interesting matchup. Chicago had trouble against Teddy Bridgewater last week, while Chargers’ QB Philip Rivers posted 329 passing yards against the Titans last weekend. I am going to give the slight edge to the Chargers considering the consistent production from Rivers. The veteran QB recorded over 300 passing yards against the Texans, Steelers, and Titans this season, and L.A. has the third-ranked passing offense in the NFL.

Advantage: Los Angeles Chargers

Chicago Bears Passing Offense
vs. Los Angeles Chargers Passing Defense

Chicago Bears Passing Offense

The Bears' offensive struggles have been a reoccurring theme this season. Their passing game has been a big issue. Mitchell Trubisky is being criticized by the media for his play in Sunday’s loss to the Saints. He found his groove in the fourth quarter but the Saints were in prevent defense with the game out of reach.

The third-year QB has not been able to duplicate last season’s success, recording 839 passing yards with a 5:2 TD to INT ratio. Trubisky is only averaging 5.2 yards per reception which is a number that needs to increase going forward.

"We've got each other's back and we've just got to continue to remind each other of that because people are going to continue to try and break us apart, saying we're not doing this and we're not doing that," Trubisky said Wednesday. (Source: Associated Press)

Allen Robinson II is the only Bears player with more than 200 receiving yards on the season. The 26-year old WR has tallied at least seven receptions in three straight games, and he has accumulated 464 receiving yards. Anthony Miller has been more involved in his last two games, making nine grabs for 116 yards, and he has 144 receiving yards on the year.

Tarik Cohen is a running back but he is utilized in the passing game. Cohen will run option routes at times, and I believe they need to find a way to get him more involved in their offense. The 24-year old is second in team receiving with 147 yards.

Los Angeles Chargers Passing Defense

The Chargers have dealt with an unfortunate string of injuries to their defense. Star safety Derwin James is out indefinitely and his replacement Adrian Phillips is also out long term. Moreover, Melvin Ingram III who is one of the best defensive ends in the NFL is dealing with a hamstring injury, but he is expected to play this week.

The Chargers have contained opposing quarterbacks this season despite their key injuries. They took a step back last week after squandering 312 passing yards to Ryan Tannehill.

Joey Bosa remains a force as an elite pass rusher. The 24-year old defensive end leads the Chargers with five sacks along with 35 total tackles. The Chargers feature a solid set of cornerbacks led by Casey Hayward Jr. and Desmond King II. Heyward Jr. has deflected four passes along with one interception. He left last week’s game with an injury and is questionable for this one. King II is considered one of the top corners in the NFL. Desmond King II has yet to make an interception. Michael Davis has also played well, deflecting three passes along with one interception.

Stats

Bears:

  • Passes Completed: 147 (16th)
  • Average Yards Per Completion: 5.8 (31st)
  • Passing Yards Per Game: 193.7 (29th)
  • Passing Touchdowns: 8 (21st)

Chargers:

  • Opponent Passing Yards Per Game: 216.1 (5th)
  • Opponent Passes Completed: 138 (8th)
  • Opponent Completion Percentage: 74.6%: (32nd)
  • Opponent TD Passes: 12: (23rd)

Who has the Edge?

The Chargers have the edge in this category despite their injuries. L.A. deserves credit for their accomplishments against opposing QB’s considering their mounting defensive injuries. They are holding opponents to 216 passing yards per game, good for fifth in the NFL. Bears’ QB Mitchell Trubisky appears lost at times, and the Bears offense is not in sync right now. Chicago is placed down at 29th in the NFL with an average of only 193 passing yards per game.

Advantage: Los Angeles Chargers

Intangibles

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers have been without their kicker Michael Badgley due to injury and he is questionable for this one. They recently signed Chase McLaughlin who is 5 for 7 on field goals with his longest a 50-yarder. His two misses were in the 40-49 range. Desmond King II has returned a good portion of the kicks. King II has tallied 182 return yards, ranking him 11th in the NFL.

Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn has led the Chargers to the playoffs in one of his three seasons as the top boss. Lynn owns a 23-16 career head coaching record at the NFL level. Lynn is on the hot seat due to the Chargers 2-5 record, although injuries are partly to blame for their issues.

Chicago Bears

Bears kicker Eddy Pineiro has been accurate, succeeding on 9 of his 10 field goal attempts on the season. His longest was a 53-yard conversion while his lone miss was in the 40-year range. Look out for Cordarrelle Patterson on the kick returns. The wide receiver returned a kick for 102 yards against the Saints last week. He now accrued 308 yards on nine returns.

Bears HC Matt Nagy had a successful inaugural season in his first year at the helm last year. He now features a 15-7 record as the Bears head coach. Nagy is understandably the subject of some criticism for the Bears offensive woes, and it will be interesting to see how he responds.

Who has the Edge?

I am classifying this as a push. Both coaches are under some pressure right now, and I don’t see an edge for each team regarding coaching. I will give a slight edge to the Bears special teams as Eddy Pineiro is 9 for 10 on field goals and Cordarrelle Patterson is second in the NFL in return yards. Also, Chargers #1 kicker Michael Badgley is questionable.

Advantage: Push

Final Outlook

The Chargers with the points is my top pick in this game. The Chargers are 1-2 on the road this season, and both road defeats were only by three points. I expect Philip Rivers to post another outstanding effort. Rivers has accumulated at least 290 passing yards in six out of the Chargers’ seven games this season. The Bears just surrendered 281 passing yards to Teddy Bridgewater last week, giving me confidence Rivers can do the same.

Furthermore, the Bears offense is not clicking right now. Mitchell Trubisky looks nothing like he did last year, and the Chargers pass defense stands fifth in the NFL with an average of only 216 passing yards against. Melvin Ingram III is expected to return and he and fellow defensive end Joey Bosa should be able to pressure Trubisky. The Bears rushing offense has only tallied a combined 59 rushing yards in their last two games, so the Chargers rush defense is not a concern.

The Chargers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss.

The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 October games and 0-5 ATS in their last five games after recording less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game.

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

Injuries

The Chargers have been decimated with several injuries this season. Keenan Allen practiced Monday but not practice on Friday. The star receiver is officially listed as questionable with a hamstring injury and will be a game-time decision. Mike Williams will be targeted heavily if Allen doesn’t play, and Austin Ekeler will likely be implemented in the passing game as well.

Melvin Ingram III was a full participant in Friday’s practice and he is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury, but chances are good he plays. The good news is linebacker Denzel Perryman will play. Kicker Michael Badgley is questionable as well. Moreover, safety Nasir Adderley, along with defensive tackles Justin Jones, Cortez Broughton, and Brandon Mebane are out.

The Bears are playing without defensive tackle Akiem Hicks and offensive lineman Kyle Long who are both on the IR which are two costly injuries. Offensive lineman Ted Larsen will play and defensive tackle Bilal Nichols is questionable.

The line in this one is moving. The Bears opened as 5.5 point favorites on some books, and they are currently favored by 3.5 points as of Saturday afternoon. The total has remained steady, opening at 40.5, and it’s currently at 41.

The weather in the Windy City should be a non-factor. The forecast calls for 57 degree temperatures with mostly sunny skies.

Prediction: Los Angeles Chargers +4

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I recommend the under between two underachieving offensive units. The Bears may have scored 25 points last week, but seven occurred on a kick return. Trubisky regularly failed to connect on throws that should be routine, and Chicago only managed 17 rushing yards. The under is a safe bet when the Bears are involved. The under is 5-1 in the Bears’ last six home games, and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.

In addition, the Chargers are also having trouble scoring points with consistency. They have scored 20 or fewer points in three consecutive games. Melvin Gordon has yet to find his groove this season which has played a role in their issues, and Keenan Allen will be a game-time decision with a hamstring issue. Also, consider the under is 5-1 in the Chargers’ last six games overall, and 4-1 in their last five games following an ATS loss.

Prediction: Under

Full-game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over on the Chargers team total offered on PointsBet is another attractive option. This total of 18.5 points is more than attainable. The Bears have squandered 24 and 36 points respectively in their last two games. The Chargers offense is due for a breakout game. They came one yard away from scoring 27 points last week, and I expect Melvin Gordon to start increasing his production. 

Prediction: Chargers Team Total: Over

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am sticking with the Chargers on the halftime line. The Bears continue to start slow in the first half which has cost them in their last two games. They were shutout in the first half against the Raiders, and last week they only scored 10 points in the first half with seven of those points occurring from a kick return. Also, the Chargers are holding opponents to an average of only 11 points in the first half this season.

Prediction: Los Angeles Chargers +3

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I especially anticipate minimal offense in the opening half. Chicago is playing stellar defense in the first half where they are limiting opponents to seven points, placing them 3rd in the entire NFL. Chicago’s first-half offensive woes have been well documented. They have only averaged 6.7 points in the first half in their last three games overall, and 7.7 points on their home field.

Prediction: Under

Half-time Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

An attractive prop to consider is the over on Philip Rivers passing total. Philip Rivers is a model of consistency from a production standpoint. The 37-year old quarterback has led the Chargers to the third-ranked passing game in the NFL. Chicago’s pass defense hasn’t been very good recently. They allowed Raiders’ QB Derek Carr to complete 79% of his passes on October 6th, and Bridgewater recorded 281 passing yards last week.

Prediction: Philip Rivers Passing Total: Over
Loading...

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.